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DATA PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS

INTRODCUTION:
Data presentation and analysis is the heart of the project. This represents the analysis of secondary data. The secondary data are analyzed with the help of annual growth rate and quarterly growth rate analysis, simple moving average (SMA), and weighted moving average (WMA) of different nifty companies script price. Firstly, it analyzed the annual and quarterly growth rate of nifty securities which is more important factor when investor makes their investment decision. The growth rate of a share is an important investment criterion. Last 6 years Growth rate of nifty different companies helpful for investor to understand the growing pattern of share price of the particular script and from that investor make effective investment decision. After that it also represents Simple moving average and weighted moving average of nifty scripts. The moving average is one of the most widely used technical indicators because it is versatile and easily constructed. It serves as a device to follow trends in the movement of a stock. Its purpose is to identify and signal to a technical trader that a new trend, a sustained movement either up or down in the Stock price, has begun or that an old trend has ended or reversed. And lastly it contains the different government small saving schemes, ICICI bond, RBI relief bond etc. and their interest rate.

GROWTH RATE ANALYSIS:

ANNUAL GROWTH RATE ANALYSIS

(In %) Date RANBAXY SBI BANK INFOSYS TATASTEEL HDFC BANK ICICI BANK BHEL 2003 -13.89 36.89 16.67 72.35 -3.55 57.25 22.48 2004 85.31 46.36 17.11 195.86 65.08 110.60 191.91 2005 14.34 17.42 -62.15 -13.11 42.16 25.88 51.88 2006 -71.37 28.27 41.91 -2.30 37.34 56.72 78.63 2007 7.71 27.00 -25.07 26.70 52.35 51.78 69.26 2008 9.46 47.48 -21.59 93.80 60.21 39.01 11.25 2009 41.04 -84.67 -36.86 -76.72 -42.29 -63.86 -47.19

Annual Grow th R a te
250 200 150 100 50 0 - 50 - 100 2003 2004 2005
Info sy s icici

2006
R a nb a x y hdfc SBI

2007
B he l

2008

2009

ta ta ste e l

The growth rate of a share is an important investment criterion. The above table and chart represent the annual growth rate of nifty securities. Each of them is explain below.

The growth rate of TATA STEEL was 195.86% in 2004 which is highest during last 6 years. But after that it was declining it shown negative growth that is -76.72% in 2009.but it is observed that the return of tata steel from 2003 to 2009 was 148% which shown good signal for investors to invest in it.

The annual growth rate of INFOSYS was 16.67% in 2003 but after that its sharply decline to -62.15% in 2005 and then it gradually increases to 41.91% in 2006. Its shown declining growth rate from 2007 to 2009 i.e. -25.07% to -36.86%. SBI Bank shows good growth rate in last 6 year. The highest growth rate of SBI was 47.48%in 2008 and recently it shows negative return i.e. -84.67% in 2009. ICICI Bank shown positive growth rate in last 5 year and it touches the highest growth rate 110.60% in 2004. It can be observed that ICICI share shows tremendous performance during last 5 years. But in 2009 its shares give negative return. The annual growth rate of HDFC Bank was -3.55% in 2003. After that it gradually increases to 65.08% in 2004 and it was continue till 2008. in 2009 it decline to -42.29%. It is observed that share price of HDFC Bank increase from 228 n 2002 to 998.35 in 2009 which was shown 338% growth rate or return on investment. BHEL was shown tremendous performance in last 6 years. It growth rate is 22% in 2003 & after that it starts to increasing & it touches its highest point in 2004 i.e. 191.91%. The return getting by investing in BHEL from 2003 to 2009 was much highest as compare to others. RANBAXY shown decline growth rate in last 5 years. It growth rate in 2003 was -13.89% it shown high growth rate in 2004 i.e. 85.31% as compare to previous years. But after that the growth rate starts to decline till 2009 From annual growth rate analysis it is observing that all company gives (-) negative return in 2009.

QUARTERLY GROWTH RATE ANALYSIS

Date Apr-03 Jul-03 Oct-03 Jan-04 Apr-04 Jul-04 Oct-04 Jan-05 Apr-05 Jul-05 Oct-05 Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09

TATA STEEL -11.97 27.18 59.51 65.65 -14.67 -19.84 -4.16 32.54 3.55 -16.03 25.18 -10.24 41.23 -0.82 -0.02 -9.53 -8.06 35.28 42.86 9.07 -25.37 4.29 -40.96 -49.73

INFOSYS -16 -18.4 37.32 24.43 -11.56 -71.82 24.37 18.73 9.67 3.8 7.68 19.21 -0.33 2.83 -39.22 20.11 -11.19 -2.5 -2.82 -6.78 -18.2 20.69 -18.29 -21.72

SBI -7.24 43.01 17.49 19.58 12.3 -28.37 7.52 40 0.08 4.12 37.54 -2.72 6.3 -24.23 40 21.48 -21.68 56.28 27.58 21.93 -32.56 -30.53 33.17 -13.2

ICICI -5.97 13.53 35.53 45.57 0.27 -17.78 17.67 29.76 4.8 8.65 41.55 -2.76 1.92 -16.69 40.28 27.43 -8 19.61 8.81 13.67 -34.6 -20.64 -16.49 -14.83

HDFC 5.98 13.69 4.55 31.05 5.23 -3.14 10.76 25.93 5.8 12.87 11.16 3.47 9.24 3.33 16.25 16.02 -15.66 28.02 23.61 20.14 -23.7 -23.11 21.97 -24.2

BHEL 27.75 23.3 48.59 24.72 20 -14.22 10.99 32.93 2.74 9.14 42.33 11.93 66.42 -17.94 28.27 -3.38 -2.98 -30.67 32.12 25.18 -19.73 -32.16 14.67 -15.46

RANBAXY 3.43 27.38 21.75 15.52 -15.06 -2.97 19.47 16.12 -20.74 4.98 -53.08 -26.67 20.25 -18.21 26.61 -13.5 -10.49 1.93 21.93 -1.61 3.74 17.13 -51.93 -0.34

CHART 1: TATA STEEL LTD.

T AT A ST E E L

80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60


Jul-06 Jul-07 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-03 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-04 Apr-05

g rowth ra te

The above chart represents the Quarterly growth rate The tata steel. The quarterly growth rate of tata steel has shown decline pattern. It not shows a constant performance. It can say that it is risky to invest in tata steel.

CHART 2: INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.

Infosys
60 40 20 0 - 20 - 40 - 60 - 80

Jul-05

Jul-03

Jul-04

Jul-06

Jul-07

Jan-04

Apr-03

Oct-03

Oct-04

Oct-05

Apr-06

Oct-06

Oct-07

Jan-08

Jan-03

Jan-05

Jan-06

Jan-07

Jul-08

Oct-08

Apr-04

Apr-05

Apr-07

growt h rate

From the above chart it is observe that quarterly growth rate of infosys in last 3 years is not good as compare to its preceding years. Its shows a negative return. It can say that investment in infosys is not safe investment.

Apr-08

Jan-09

CHART 3: STATE BANK OF INDIA (SBI).

SBI

70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40


Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-05 Apr-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Apr-06 Jan-04 Jan-07 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-07 Oct-08 Jan-09

growth rate

The quarterly growth rate of SBI in last 3 years has shown average rate of return as compare to its preceding years. It is observe that growth rate of SBI was highest in 2003 and 2007. it shown a good performance as compare to other.

CHART 4: ICICI BANK.

ICICI
50 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40
Jul-04 Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-05 Jul-05 Jul-03 Apr-06 Jul-06 Apr-07 Jul-07 Apr-08 Jan-06 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Oct-07 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-08 Jan-09

growth rate

Quarterly growth rate of ICICI bank has shown average rate of return as compare to its preceding years. It noted to be highest in 2007 & 2008 in last 5 years. The share price of ICICI was 141.45 in 2003 and its increase to 526 in 2008. It observes that during last 6 years its growth rate was 272 %.

CHART 5: HDFC BANK.

HDFC
40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30

Jul-03

Jul-04

Jul-05

Jul-06

Jul-07

Apr-04

Apr-05

Apr-06

Apr-07

Apr-03

Apr-08

Jan-03

Jan-04

Jan-07

Jan-08

Jul-08

Oct-03

Oct-04

Oct-05

Oct-06

Oct-07

growth rate

HDFC has shown excellent performance from 2003 to 2007 and it starts to declining from 2008 and its continuing till 2009. For long-term investors, it is beneficial to invest in it because its give a good return for a long term.

Oct-08

Jan-09

Jan-05

Jan-06

CHART 6: BHEL.

BHEL
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 - 10 - 20 - 30 - 40 Jul-03 Jul-04 Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-05 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jul-08 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-03 Oct-07 Oct-08 Jan-09 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08

g ro w t h ra te

The above chart shows the growth rate of BHEL increasing after the Jan, 03 and its continued to till Oct, 07. Its showed a positive growth rate in last 6 years and its considered to be a safe investment.

CHART 7: RANBAXY LABORATORIES LTD.

RANBAXY
40 30 20 10 0 - 10 - 20 - 30 - 40 - 50 - 60 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-03 Jul-04 Apr-05 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-08 Jan-06 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Jan-09

growth rate

From the above chart it is observe that quarterly growth rate of ranbaxy follows a fluctuating pattern. It not give a constant return. If investors invest carefully than they got positive return by investing in ranbaxy.