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TABLE OF CONTENTS.................................................................................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................................................................. 2 RECOMMENDATIONS............................................................................................................................................ 3 CALCULATION OF COST RATIO FOR POTENTIAL SIDE-TRACK:.................................................................................. 4 Key to deviation of constants used in the equations.............................................................................................4 CALCULATION OF COST RATIO FOR WELLS REQUIRING RE-SPUD............................................................................ 5 Graphical Determination of Optimum Fishing Time (OFT)...............................................................................5 CASE EXAMPLE (PART 1) ....................................................................................................................................... 6 Calculation of Optimum Fishing Time - DEVELOPMENT WELL ...................................................................6 Calculation of side-track costs...............................................................................................................................7 The Combined Equation:.......................................................................................................................................8 CASE EXAMPLE ( 2 ) ............................................................................................................................................... 9 Anticipated Side-track Costs():............................................................................................................................9 Optimum fishing time............................................................................................................................................10
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The knowledge gained in a development area, from the offset data or from
the actual situations, should always be considered when deciding if there are any overriding factors that affect the decision to fish for a shorter or longer period of time.
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R = Hourly Rig Operating Rate (). D = Estimated Measured Depth of Stuck Point (ft ) V = Value of Drillstring Below Stuck Point ($ or ). T = Time Taken to Drill Original Hole from Stuck Point to Depth where Sticking took place (Hours).
1.43R
- On investigation of cases when pipe was freed the time taken to get back to the same depth prior to getting stuck consisted of 43% remedial work. - Time taken for post sticking operations. Severance, certain plug, kick-off etc. - Back-off depth related costs.
56R
5D
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Cost ratio
... ( 2 )
Using the calculated Cost Ratio, draw a line vertically upwards on the graph, i.e. Figure 1 until it meets the curve i.e. A - B. Draw a horizontal line from this point (i.e. B - C) and read off the value of Optimum Fishing time ( OFT ) this gives the time (in hours) which should be used for fishing before starting a side-track.
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Cost Ratio =
R = Operating Rate (2,059.) D = Stuck Point (1781m). V = Value of Lost Drillstring (281,192). T = Time taken to Drill from stuck point to TD (24 hours). Therefore Cost Ratio = 0.0061. Hence (reading off graph), Optimum Fishing Time ( OFT ) = 23 hours.
In this particular case the stuck pipe scenario was such that no rotation or circulation was possible from the point of sticking. Prior to side-tracking the time spent attempting to work the string free was 19.5 hours. This shows that although formula is based on statistical analysis of historic events, there may be situations in which the drilling team can better judge and ascertain the probabilities and risks involved. The drilling team should therefore also estimate the risk and probabilities involved and take advantage of previous experience in known areas in the field as an overriding factor whether to keep on fishing or to opt straight for the side-track operation which is based on an economic decision.
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Of the 209 stuck pipe cases between January 1987 and June 1990, an analysis was made of all the wells side-tracked. The results led to equations being formulated to give a reasonable side-track cost estimate. The cost equation omits certain costs which were deemed to be low in relation to those rig-time related (e.g. special helicopter/personnel costs). The results are as follows: Back-off/Severance Cost: 17R + 5D + 4000 RD -------3R + 1250 2 RD -------10R + 1250 + 2900 2 RD -------8R + 1250 2 RD -------18R + 1250
Cementing:
Dress-Off Trip:
Kick-Off Cost:
Re-drill Cost:
Re-drill Time x R
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7RD Side-track Cost = --------------------------------------------------------( 3 ) 56R + 5D + 1250 + 7,000 + Re-drill Time R R = Hourly Rig Operating Rate (). D = Stuck Point (m). Note: As expected this ties into the Optimum Fishing Time Equation.
(4)
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CASE EXAMPLE ( 2 )
Leading on from Case Example (1 ), a comparison can be made with the sidetrack costs and the costs determined by the graph. As previously shown the side-track costs can also be used to calculate the optimum fishing time. This calculation has been performed, and a comparison made with that determined by the graph in the Case Example ( 1 )
7 RD ----------------------------------------------------------56R + 5D + 1250 + 7,000 + Re-drill Time. R. R = 2,059. D = 1781m. Re-drill Time = 24 hours. Note: Re-drill Time is the anticipated actual time spent re-drilling the section, after kick off - best estimate will often be the time it took to drill the original section. Anticipated Side-track Cost = The actual anticipated was = 201,728. 285,904.
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Cost Ratio =
C = Value of Fish Lost Down hole + Cost to Side-track to Original Depth. Therefore : C = 281,192 + 201,728 = 482,290 (Estimated Cost). C = 281,192 + 285,904 = 567,096 (Actual Cost).
Therefore: Cost Ratio Cost Ratio = = 0.0061 (for the Estimated Cost) 0.0052 (for the Actual Cost)
From the curve illustrated, it can be seen that the difference between the estimated cost optimum fishing time and the anticipated actual cost optimum fishing time is negligible. i.e. Optimum Fishing Time (Estimated Cost) = 23 hours Optimum Fishing Time (Actual Cost) = 26 hours
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{PRIVATE}Example Consider the following situation. Calculate how long should attempts be made to free the pipe before side-tracking. Well depth: 3000m , Stuck point: 2500m , Rig rate: $1500/hour Value of drill string below stuck point: $176500 Time taken to drill from 2500m to 3000m: 24 hours Cost ratio: CR = (1.43 x 1500) (176500 + 84000 + 21875 + 2100 + 12250 + 36000) = 2145 351625 = 0.0061 Optimum Fishing Time: From graph OFT = 24 hours
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