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Evaluation of various investment avenues

Return Current yield Equity shares Nonconvertible debentures Equity shares Debt Low High Capital appreciatio n High Negligible

Risk

Marketabilit Tax y/ Liquidity shelter

convenienc e

High Low

Fairly high Average

High Nil

High High

Low Moderate

High Low

High Low

High High

High

Very High

No tax on Very High dividend Low 80 C 80 C High Nil Very High Very High Very High Fair Avg

Bank deposits PPF LI Residential house Gold & silver

Moderate Nil Nil Moderate Nil

Nil Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate

Negligi High ble Nil Nil Avg Avg

Negligi Low ble Avg High

Approaches to the investment decision making

Fundamental approach
Intrinsic value of security depends upon the underlying economic factors. Factors related to company , industry and economy. Buy- undervalued (IV > MP), Sell overvalued (IV<MP)

Psychological approach
Stock prices are guided by emotions rather than reasons. Castles-in- air theory used technical analysis. Study internal market data. Chart, moving avg.

Academic approach
Stock market reaction based on information. Past price behavior cannot use for future. Positive relationship with risk and return.

Eclectic approach FA establish std & benchmarks. TA relative strength of supply &demand. AA react reasonably efficient with flow of info

Risk & Return concepts

Variation of return of income Risk can be quantified and measured Risk is the difference between expected return and actual return.

Risk

External risk are uncontrollable and broadly affect the investment- Systematic risk(undiversified) market risk. Internal environment of the firm or particular industry and is controllable to certain extend. Unsystematic risk(diversified)unique risk. Total risk = unique risk + Market risk

Types of risk

market risk
Earing power of corporate sector. price of securities tend to fluctuate. Major cause appear to change in consumer sentiment.

Interest rate risk


Interest rate goes up, market price of fixed income securities will fall & vice versa.

Business risk
Emerging new technologies, changes in consumer preference, changes in government policiesetc. poor business performance affects the interest of equity holders.

Inflation risk Currency risk

Sources of risks

Variance and standard deviation Beta

Measuring historical risk

Reward for undertaking investment. Total return =current return + capital return R=C+(Pc-PB)/PB

Return

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