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III Module
NATIONAL INCOME
National Income Different measure of National Income Methods of Measuring National Income Value added method Factor Income Method Expenditure approach Inflation ,Types of Inflation ,Price Level Employment ,Types of Employment Unemployment
1. 2. 3.
The concept of National Income has been interpreted in 3 ways National Product National Dividend National Expenditure
1. 2.
Production of Goods & services are categorized in 2 categories Economic Production Non Economic Production Economic Production: It refers to the production of goods & services which are meant for sale and have market value and those goods which are produced and provided to people jointly by Govt and public organizations for which people pay directly through tax payments
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ECONOMIC PRODUCTION
Economic Production Includes both marketable production & non Marketable production Goods & services produced by farmers ,firms, hotels, lawyers, medical practitioners are marketable production Goods & services produced & supplied by Govt, social organizations, charitable societies fall in non marketable production All marketable production are economic production but all economic production is not marketable
It includes those products & services that are not meant to be sold, nor do they have any market or any market price Service rendered to self ex: exercising, washing clothes, Cooking for self Services provided to family members like parents teaching their own children, doctors treating their own family members Services provided by neighbors to each other These production are not included in measurement of national income
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FINAL GOODS
Final Goods are classified under 2 categories Final Consumer Goods: These goods flow to ultimate consumers Final Producer Goods: These goods are finally used by the firms for production process. These are also called as Investment Goods
DOUBLE COUNTING
The value of same product being counted more than once in national income accounting Avoiding Double counting is a necessary condition for estimating national income
Transfer Payments: These are the payments made by people to people and people to Govt without corresponding transfer of goods & services It refers to flow of money without reverse flow of goods & services Transfer payments are not taken in calculating the national income as they do not lead to addition in total production
1.
2.
Consumer Goods: The goods & services that consumed by people to directly satisfy there needs are consumer goods Producer Goods: These are final goods which are not used for direct consumption by people but they are used for increasing the production capacity of nation, to increase the flow of money into the economy
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GDP at constant prices: It is the market value of final goods & services produced in a country for one year after adjusting for inflation GDP at current prices: It is the market value of final goods & services produced in a country for one year at current prevailing prices
GDP=Market Value of Final Goods+ income earned by foreigners in India- income earned by Indians abroad
GNP=Market Value of Final Goods+ Income earned by Indians abroad- Income earned by foreigners in India
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PERSONAL INCOME
It is defined as sum of all kinds of incomes received by the individuals from all sources of incomes It includes wages,salaries,fees,comission,interest, dividends, unemployment allowances,pensions,income earned through illegal means like smuggling,bribe,cheating,theft
DISPOSABLE INCOME
It refers to the personal income against which they do not have any legal payment obligation Legal obligations include Income tax, Payment due for Govt Loan, fines or penalties imposed by legal authorities
EXAMPLE
Estimated GNP at current prices for year 2000=600 Billions and price index number(PIN) for base year=100 Estimated GNP increases to Rs 600 Billion in Year 2005 and PIN increases to 110 GNP Deflator=PIN of Chosen Year=110=1.1 PIN of base Year 100
Real GNP=Nominal GNP=Rs 600 Bill=Rs 545.45 Bill GNP Deflator 1.10
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Rate of Inflation
1.
2. 3.
The three methods of Measuring National Income Net Product method or Value Added method Factor Income method Expenditure Method
The estimated GDP is then adjusted for Net income from abroad to arrive at GNP
I.
II.
III.
Net Product method is also called as Value added method This method consists of three stages Estimating the gross value of the output of several sectors of the economy Estimating the cost of materials & services used & depreciation of physical assets to produce the gross output. Deducting the Cost of Materials & services & depreciation amount from the Gross output of several sectors of the economy
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1.
2.
Out put is classified into categories based on Nature of Industry Significance of industry in the total economic activities of nation Availability of data Gross Value of output is computed in any of the 2 methods below By multiplying the output of each category or sector with their respective market prices & adding them together Collecting data on gross sales & inventories from records of the companies and adding them together
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III-Deducting Cost of Materials, Services & Depreciation from Gross value of output
After estimating the Cost of Materials and Depreciation, it is deducted from the estimated gross value of output to arrive at sectoral product The GDP of different sectors of the economy are then added together to arrive at total GDP GDP of a sector 1=Gross Value of 1 Sector-Cost of Materials-Total Depreciation of Sector 1 GDP of a sector 1=Gross Value of 2 Sector-Cost of Materials-Total Depreciation of Sector 2 Total GDP= GDP of a sector 1 + GDP of a sector 2
National Income consists of three components Labour Income Capital Income Mixed Income
Labour Income
Labour Income Includes Wages,Salaries,Commision,Bonus paid to residents of the country Supplementary Labour including Employers contribution to social security,EPF,VPF, Employee welfare funds, pension payments to retire employees Labour income paid in Kinds ex Free of cost health check up,food,accomodation called perks Transfer payments like old age pensions,grants,compensation to victims are not included in Labour Incomes
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Capital Incomes
It includes income in the form of Dividends Undistributed before tax profits of company Interest on Bonds, Debentures Interest earned by insurance companies Interest paid out by commercial banks for its depositors Rents from Land & Building Royalties Copyrights
Mixed Incomes
It includes earnings from Farming enterprises Other Professions like Doctors,Lawyers,Bankers,Consultancy services, Transportation, trading
All the three incomes i.e Labour Income, Capital Income & Mixed Incomes are added together to obtain National Income under Factor Income Method
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Expenditure Method
It is also known as Final Product method It measures the National Income at the Final Expenditure stage of buying the final product It uses 2 methods Income Disposal Method: Under this method all the money expenditures at market prices are added up together to obtain final expenditure Product Disposal Method: Under this method the value of the products finally disposed off are computed and added together. This gives a measure of total final expenditure and a measure of National Income
Classification of Economy
1.
2. 3. 4. 1. 2. 3. 4.
Primary Sector Agriculture Forestry & Logging Fishing Mining & Quarrying Secondary Sector Manufacturing Registered & Unregistered Manufacturing Construction Electricity,Water & Gas Supply
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Classification of Economy
Tertiary Sector Transport, Trade & Communication Railways Other means of Transport Hotels & Restaurants
Definition: Inflation
It is a continuous rise in the general level of prices of product & services is Inflation. Inflation means consistent & continuous increase in the prices of commodities over a long period of time It means any price rise over & above the base year level is called as inflation
The rate of inflation which is needed for an economy to grow & develop is called as Desirable rate of inflation It is linked to the economic & social needs of the nation. Moderate rate of inflation keeps the economic outlook optimistic, promotes economic activity and prevents economic stagnation It is helpful in the mobilization of resources by increasing the overall rate of savings & investments Moderate of inflation is essential for the progress of the economy 2-3 % inflation is considered moderate rate for developed economies & 4-5% inflation is considered moderate for the developing economies
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Rate of Inflation
Two widely used PIN numbers are WPI & CPI WPI is whole sale price index which measures increase in prices of products at a producers level CPI is Consumer Price Index number which increase in level of prices at consumer level or it measures cost of living
GNP Deflator
Rate of Inflation
Types of Inflation
Moderate Inflation: When general level of prices rises at a moderate rate over a long period of time, it is called a s moderate inflation or creeping inflation Galloping Inflation: It refers to inflation that increases at an exceptionally high rate in double digits Hyper Inflation: It refers to price rise at more than 3 digits rate per annum Open & Suppressed Inflation: When there is no control on the increase in prices & prices are free to find their own level its called as Open Inflation Increase in the level of prices after using the control measures is called as suppressed inflation
Inflation Disinflation(5.5 %)
2004
2005 2006
100
100 95
5
0.0 -5.0
Disinflation(5.0%)
Zero rate of Inflation Deflation
If prices of Price variable asset increases at rate higher than the rate of inflation, then there will be change in distribution of wealth Inflation changes wealth distribution by changing the wealth accumulation ability of different sections of the society The ability to acquire wealth depends on ability to save and invest. The ability to save depends on ability to earn income High income groups have higher ability to earn and save and hence higher ability to accumulate wealth During the period of inflation income of high income groups increase at a higher rate than low income groups and hence wealth accumulation will be higher for high income groups than low income groups
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In general Borrowers tend to gain during the period of Inflation than lenders Government is the net gainer during the period of Inflation Inflation increases the tax revenue from both direct tax and Indirect tax Inflation increase tax revenue from personal income tax in at least three ways Inflation redistributes the income in favor of higher income groups, hence increases the tax base of people Inflation increases the nominal income at the rate of inflation, real income remaining the same, as a result income which was not taxable before inflation becomes taxable after inflation Incomes taxable at lower rates become taxable at higher rates after inflation
Rate of economic growth depends primarily on rate of capital formation which again depends on rate of savings & investments. Whether inflation affects economic growth positively or negatively depends on whether if affects the savings & investments positively or negatively There is positive relationship between Inflation & savings & investments During the period of inflation there is time lag between increase in output prices and input prices, particularly wage rates The time lag between increase in output prices and input prices is called as wage-lag Persistent Wage-lag enhances profit margin of producers
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MONETARY MEASURES
These are the measures which are used by the Central bank to control the money supple in the economy The monetary measures are classified in 2 categories
1. 2.
Traditional Measures Bank Rate Policy Cash Reserve Ratio Open Market Operations Non-Traditional Measures Statutory Liquidity Ratio Selective credit controls Moral suasion Credit Authorization Scheme
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TRADITIONAL MEASURES
Bank Rate Policy: The rate at which RBI lends money to the commercial bank is called bank rate. Cash Reserve Ratio: It is the percentage of total deposits which commercial banks are required to maintain in the form of Liquid cash. Open Market Operations: It is the sale & purchase of Government securities and treasury bills by the central bank of the country to control the supply of money. Repo & Reverse Repo Rate: The rate at which RBI lends money to commercial banks for short period is called as Repo Rate Reverse Repo: Rate at which RBI borrows money from the commercial Banks
NON-TRADITIONAL MEASURES
Statutory Liquidity Ratio: The banks are required to maintain certain minimum % of daily total demand in the form of liquid assets (Govt Securities & Debt Instruments like bonds) Selective credit controls: This method concentrates on distribution of bank credit to essential and priority sectors and avoid flow of credit to non priority sectors of economy Moral Suasion : It is a method of persuading and convincing the commercial banks to advance credit in accordance with the RBI direction for the overall economic interest of the economy. Credit Authorization Scheme: Under this scheme Commercial
banks are required to take prior permission from RBI to lend money in bulk to large private organization and public sector companies
FISCAL MEASURES
These measures are used by the Government or Finance ministry. These measures are adopted to control inflation if the inflation is caused because of Excess demand When excess demand is caused because of Govt Expenditure then Govt decides to cut down its expenditure programs . When excess demand is caused because of Private Expenditure, then Govt decides to Increase Tax rates to reduce disposable income of consumers and there by reducing the expenditures and lowering the demand.
WAGE CONTROL
It is used to control inflation when wages tend to rise much faster then productivity or cost of living Under this method the government tries to control hike in wages directly by imposing the ceiling on the wage incomes in both private and Govt Sectors. Wage push inflation is controlled by using the method known as Wage guideposts Wage Guideposts means plan of action against inflation The plan of action is prepared by mutual consent & agreement among the Govt, Trade unions, and Business organizations for the control of hike in wages Doc/MBA/ Tchng Mtrl/B06/ 04/R00 & salaries
Unemployment
In general sense, unemployment means lack of jobs even for those who are able and willing to work at prevailing wage rates . According to ILO, only those belonging to age group between 15 years & 65 years should be included in the labour force of country. Unemployment is defined as gap between the potential full employment and the number of employed persons Full employment is a situation in which employment cannot be increased y an increase in effective demand and the unemployment does not exceed the minimum allowance that must be made for effects of frictional and seasonal factors. Unemployment=Labour force- (No.of Employed+ frictionally unemployed)
Employed: A person is considered employed if he or she has spent most of the previous week working at a paid job. Unemployed: A person is unemployed if he or she is on temporary layoff, is looking for a job, or is waiting for the start date of a new job. Not in the Labor Force: A person who fits neither of these categories, such as a full-time student, homemaker, or retiree, is not in the labor force.
Labor Force
The labor force is the total number of workers and the it is defined as the sum of the employed and the unemployed.
Labour force: It consists of group of persons belonging to age group of 15 years to 65 years who are employed and those who are unemployed but looking out for a job
Types of Unemployment
Frictional Unemployment Structural Unemployment Natural Unemployment Cyclical Unemployment
Frictional Unemployment
Frictional Unemployment is also called temporary unemployment The temporary unemployment can be caused because of economic disturbances and friction in the labour market,recession,company specific problems Frictional unemployment is defined as number of unemployed persons under the conditions that No.of Job vacancies equals the number of job seekers who somehow fail to get the job. Frictional unemployment is said to exist when Job vacancies equals job seekers and yet some persons are unemployed.
Structural Unemployment
Structural unemployment occurs due to structural changes in the economy making some workers go out of work. Structural changes include change in sectoral composition of the economy & change in technology Change in sectoral composition of the economy means gradual decline of some kinds of industries and emergence of new industries. Changes in technology means change in the skill sets required and expected by employers from workers for getting work done In Structural employment there are vacancies and job seekers and yet there is unemployment because of mismatch between the expected skills and actual skills of labour force Structural unemployment remains for long period of time
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Structural unemployment
Structural unemployment occurs when the quantity of labor supplied exceeds the quantity demanded. Structural unemployment is often thought to explain longer spells of unemployment. It occurs when labour market is unable to provide jobs for every one. It occurs because of mismatch between skills of unemployed and expectations of employers or population overgrowth.
Frictional Unemployment It is temporary in nature Here the unemployed person gets job after some time
Structural Unemployment It exists for long period of time Here the unemployed person will not get job till he learns new skills
Cyclical Unemployment
This employment is also known as Okuns Law Okuns law brings out the relationship between the output & unemployment According to this lawEvery1 % increase in unemployment rate results in 2.5 % reduction in GNP of a nation. The number 2.5% is known as Okunss Coefficient It occurs because of changes trade cycle ex Depression or recession,
Types of Unemployment
Voluntary Unemployment: In this type a person is out of job because of his own desire not to work on the prevailing wage rates. Involuntary Unemployment: In this type a person is separated from work and devoid of salaries although he is capable of earning his wages and is willing to earn. Seasonal Unemployment: Certain industries and traders engage workers for a particular season. When the season is ended, workers will be out of work
Philips Curve
Philips Curve brings out the relationship between Inflation and Rate of Unemployment Philips curve found there is inverse relationship between increase in money wages rate and unemployment rates. As Money wage rates increases, the unemployment rate decreases. As Money wage rates decreases, the unemployment rate increases. General conclusion drawn from Philips Curve is that Rise in salaries reduces unemployment rates and drop in salaries increases unemployment rates
It is difficult to distinguish between a person who is unemployed and a person who is not in the labor force.
Discouraged workers, people who would like to work but have given up looking for jobs after an unsuccessful search, dont show up in unemployment statistics. Other people may claim to be unemployed in order to receive financial assistance, even though they arent looking for work.
Summary
The unemployment rate is the percentage of those who would like to work but dont have jobs. One reason for unemployment is the time it takes for workers to search for jobs that best suit their tastes and skills. Types of Unemployment Frictional Structural Short Term Long term