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Session 8
Preference of money
Liquidity preference theory
Risk aversion (uncertainty and risk) Preference for consumption (now then later) Investment opportunities (to earn more)
PV & NPV
Investment project Vs. Financing project Present value (PV) = C1/(1+r) Net Present Value (NPV) = C0 + {C1/(1+r)} where, C0 is normally negative in an investment project We have seen that; PV= {C1/(1+k)1} + {C2/(1+k)2}++{(Cn/(1+k)n}
NPV=Wealth = {C1/(1+k)1} + {C2/(1+k)2}++{(Cn/(1+k)n} C0 Return is defined as rt=(pt-p0)/p0 to make it annual ra=365/t for a period t
114 107
Ram wants to consume now but Shikha wants to wait. But both want to invest. Shikha, who is aggressive, prefers to invest in a high risk high return instrument giving her 14% return and would wait till the maturity. Whereas Ram, who is also in the same risk class, would invest and simultaneously borrow Rs. 106.54 at risk free rate of @7%. He will use the borrowed money Rs 106.54 for immediate Consumption and would payoff the loan and the interest the next year with his Investment of Rs.100 @ 14%.
NPV of Shikhas investment (114/1.07) -100 = 6.54 NPV of Rams investment 106.54 -100 = 6.54
100
106.54
Rs. Now
Future Value
Concept of simple interest & compounded interest Future value of a single cash flow
Future sum=principal + interest on principal + interest on interest F2=F1 + F1x i = F1 (1+i) = P (1+i) (1+i) = P (1+i)2 General form Fn= P (1+i)n Here, (1+i)n is known as Compounded value factor (CVF) of Rs.1 (or any currency). Its value will be >1 for any positive I (why?).
Future value of F at i rate of interest for n period Fn= P x CVF n.i
Annuity
Fixed payment/receipt every year/period Over a specified period E.g. Annual lease rent, repayment of house loan in equal installments End of year Deposit at the end of the year
1 Rs.1 2 Rs.1 3 Rs.1 4 Rs.1.000 Rs.1.060 Rs.1.124 Rs.1.191 Rs.4.375
Future sum
Where, [{(1+i) 1}/ i] is known as Compounded Value Factor for an Annuity (CVFA) for Rs. 1 (or any currency)
Future value = Annuity cash flow x compounded value factor for annuity of Rs. 1 Fn= A x CVFA n,i
Sinking Fund
How much should we deposit per annum/period to accumulate x amount at the end of n period when the interest rate is i? Created to retire debt, special provision/reserve Problem is just opposed to Future Value of Annuities here for a given Future value, we are required to create annuities.
Sinking fund annuity = Future Value / Compounded value factor of an annuity of Rs. 1 The general form is A = Fn [ i / {(1+i)n -1}] (how?)
Present Value
Present value of cash flow (inflow or outflow?) What is the present value of future flows For comparison and decision making Net Present value (negative vs. positive) Signs (- / +) of cash flows (Investment project and Financing/borrowing project)
Study from your text to prepare for the next class which will be continuation of the current topic under discussion (Present value onwards).