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Buyout Intro:
1. Mature and traditional industries 2. Single up front investment leading to 100% ownership 3. Management allowed to buy 5-20% at favorable terms 4. High financial risks 5. 2-7 years before returns are realized
3. Distressed/undervalued co 4. Significant asset to collateralise loan 5. Non-cyclical industries without rapidly changing tech
Valuing PE
Industry comparables Target of return approach
APV
Discount Rate: Risk Free + Asset Beta (E Risk P) Asset Beta: equity beta * % cap in equity
APV Structure
2001E Income Statement Net Sales EBITDA EBIT Interest Expense @ Pre-Tax Income Taxes @ After-Tax Income 537.3 2002P 618.8 88.7 67.6 30.5 37.1 14.8 22.3 2003P 711.6 109.1 87.3 29.6 57.7 23.1 34.6 2004P 817.3 134.2 109.8 27.8 82.0 32.8 49.2 2005P 938.8 161.6 133.5 24.6 108.9 43.6 65.3 2006P 985.7 169.7 140.2 19.9 120.3 48.1 72.2 9.6% 40%
BALANCE SHEET ITEMS Net Working Capital @ 18% of Sales Cash Flow After-Tax Income Plus: Depreciation & Amortisation Less: Working Capital Requirements Less: Capital Expenditure After Tax Cash Flow DEBT BALANCES Beginning Debt (Staple Financing) Debt Repayment Ending Debt
96.7
111.4
128.1
147.1
169.0
177.4
Asset Beta
Risk Free Rate (10 Year Treasury Bond) Average Asset Beta of comparable companies Equity Market Premium Equity Discount Rate = 5.2%+(1.0 x 7.7%) = 5.2% 1.0 7.7% 12.9%
Selected Data From Exhibit 8 5-Year Avergae Equity Beta Leverage 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.2 8.4% 17.1% 18.1% 4.4%
Calculations 5-Year Avergae Equity Per Cent Asset Beta 91.6% 82.9% 81.9% 95.6% 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.0
APV
CALCULATE EQUITY CASH FLOWS EBITDA Less Depreciation & Amortisation EBIT Less Taxes @ 40% After-Tax Income With Equity Financing Plus Depreciation & Amortisation Less: Working Capital Requirements Less: Capital Expenditure Cash Flow With Equity Financing 2002P 88.7 21.1 67.6 27.0 40.6 21.1 -14.7 -19.5 27.5 2003P 109.1 21.8 87.3 34.9 52.4 21.8 -16.7 -21.0 36.5 2004P 134.2 24.4 109.8 43.9 65.9 24.4 -19.0 -21.5 49.8 2005P 161.6 28.1 133.5 53.4 80.1 28.1 -21.9 -22.5 63.8 2006P 169.7 29.5 140.2 56.1 84.1 29.5 -8.4 -22.5 82.7
12.9%
Calculate Present Value of Annual Equity Cash flows Equity Discount Factor PV of Year 1-5 Equity Cash Flow 171.9
0.886 24.3
0.785 28.6
0.695 34.6
0.615 39.3
0.545 45.1
2002P
Cash Flow With Equity Financing 27.5
2003P
36.5
2004P
49.8
2005P
63.8
2006P
82.7
Growth Rate In Perpetuity 4.0% Terminal Value = 82.7m x 1.04%/(12.9%-4%) = PV of Terminal Value 526.6
965.9
SUM PRESENT VALUES TO OBTAIN ENTERPRISE VALUE PV of Year 1-5 Equity Cash Flow 171.9 PV of Terminal Value 526.6 PV of Interest Tax Shield 41.3 Enterprise Value 739.8 Less Initial Staple-On Financing -317.5 Equity Value 422.3