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AGENDA
0%
Global Brazil China India USA UK Healthcare Expenditure (% of GDP) Reliance on out of pocket expenditure 60% 40% 20% 0% Government Out of pocket Global Private prepaid India Others 15 0
0
Brazil Russia China India USA Hospital Beds (Per 10k Population) Lower number of Physicians as well
45 30
Brazil
Russia
China
India
USA
Changing demographics coupled with growth in per capita income and health insurance coverage to drive industry growth
Higher disposable income will increase affordability of healthcare in India
6000 5000 4000 3000 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Per capital Income 300000 200000 100000 0 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E
Health insurance coverage will also aid in making Healthcare more affordable in India
Ageing population will create a greater demand for healthcare services in India Indias Demographics 0-29 7% 31% 62% 2000 8% 35% 57% 2010 10% 37% 53% 2020 30-59 60+ 12% 40% 48% 2030 15% 41% 44% 2040 19% 41% 40% 2050
Apollo Hospital In Rapid growth phase 4
US
India
South Korea
Thailand
70,000 75,000
7000 9,000
31,750 42,000
22,000 25,000
33,000
10,200
10,600
12,700
Knee replacement
30,000
9,200
11,800
11,500
Cost differential makes India a favorite destination for medical tourism After the advent of the US Affordable Care Act, US Insurance companies plan to encourage medical tourism
AGENDA
Apollo Hospitals is the leader with national footprint and presence across value chain
FORTIS # of Beds:6881 # of Hospitals:51 Pan India Apollo has created a strong brand name
GEOGRAPHICAL PRESENCE
APOLLO Hospitals # of Beds:8420 # of Hospitals:51 MANIPAL Hospitals # of Beds:4900 # of Hospitals:15 MAX Healthcare # of Beds:1100 # of Hospitals:8
Single state
Apollo
Narrow BUSINESS SPAN AND BREDTH OF SERVICE
Apollo Hospital In Rapid growth phase 7
Wide
Pharmacy
Primary clinics
Unique markets
Integrated business model High competition Better financials Higher operational efficiency
Brand name
AGENDA
40000
30000 20000 10000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Others 2013 2008 Hospitals Pharmacy 15% 6%
7%
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Healthcare services
ROCE
Consolidated
ROCE
14% 2008
17%
2009
15% 2010
19% 2011
18% 2012
10% 2009
10% 2010
13% 2011
13% 2012
14% 2013
10
Bed count
4767
5153
5450
Occupancy rate
Reducing ALOS
73%
71%
72%
ALOS
4.79
4.78
4.65
Better occupancy rate and reducing ALOS Better case mix Higher tariff
ARPOB
18,474
20,455
21,70 2
Increasing ARPOB
11
Oncology
Neurosurgery
4-5
10
70,000-1,00,000
1,50,000-3,00,000
30-45%
16-18%
Apollo Hospital In Rapid growth phase 12
1500 1000 500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 No. of stores
10000 5000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue (Rs. Mil) Focusing on profitability
2012-2013
80% 60% 40% 20% 0% FY 08 Batch FY 09 Batch FY10 Batch Total
Apollo Hospital In Rapid growth phase 13
AGENDA
14
10000
5000 0 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E Bed addition Increased asset efficiency going forward
25% 15% 5% 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Growth in Revenue Growth in Depreciation 1500 1000 2013 2014E 2015E 2016E No. of stores
Apollo Hospital In Rapid growth phase 15
Apollo has great potential and in absolute terms is currently fairly priced but overpriced relative to its Indian peers
Apollo Market cap Earnings EV EBITDA P/E EV/EBITDA Value of Firm + Cash and marketable securities = - Value of Debt Value of Equity Number of shares outstanding Value of Equity per Share current price per share
118552.5 2940.4 123105.5 6121.0 40.3 20.1
Fortis
46463.7 4906.9 103196.0 14637.5 9.5 7.1
Indraprastha
3336.9 287.6 3807.3 799.9 11.6 4.8
16
APPENDIX
17
REFERENCES
18