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October 8, 2009
Key Takeaways
What value does Reebok add to Adidas? How should Adidas value Reebok and with what synergies? Has the merger been a success or failure?
Agenda
Adidas & Reebok Background Acquisition Background Industry Overview SWOT Analysis Valuation Model Synergies Integration Plan Post Integration Conclusions
Adidas
Founded in 1926 World leader in soccer shoes #2 behind Nike worldwide - #4 in the US Three acquisitions before Reebok: Company Sports Inc in 1993 Salomon in 1997 Arc'Teryxin 2002 Culture of control, engineering, and production
Reebok
Founded in 1895 First athletic shoe for woman #2 in US - #4 in Europe Strong sales growth from 2002-2004 Unique portfolio of long term league licenses Creative marketing-driven culture
Industry Overview
One of the most competitive industries. Over 75% of the industry controlled by branded items. Large players supplier power and access to shelf space. Small players anticipating a fashion trend. Private label a threat.
US Footwear Market
Expected Trend
Expected growth rate ~9% Change from Supply Push to Demand Pull model. Blurring line between sport wear and active wear.
Demand for athleisure shoes.
Acquisition Background
Goal: increase share in the U.S. market + better compete with Nike Stock prices improved the day of announcement Reebok sales down in fourth quarter of 2005 Deal closed on January 2006 Price: $3.52 billion
SWOT Analysis
Strengths
Adidas is strong in Europe, Reebok is strong in US, & Asia
Weaknesses
Many overlapping products Two HQs that will be hard to integrate Two very strong, distinct corporate cultures
SWOT Analysis
Opportunities
Leverage combined R&D strengths & budgets Bring Reeboks womens wear to Europe Reduce costs to retailers by larger distribution networks Ability for better reaction to global trends
Threats
Competition between brands employees Cannibalization of sales Realization of revenue growth synergies Adidas may treat Reebok as a second tier brand
Pre-Tax Cost of Debt Effective Tax Rate Cost of Debt Multiplied by: Reebok Debt % Cost of Debt Portion WACC
Valuation Model
Total Revenues Annual Growth EBITDA Annual Growth Margin Less: Depreciation Margin EBIT Annual Growth Margin Less: Income Taxes Effective Tax Rate Unlevered Net Income Plus: Depreciation Less: Capital Expenditures Margin Less: Increase in NWC Margin Free Cash to Equity Annual Growth 2000 2865.24 216.37 7.6% 46.20 1.6% 170.17 5.9% 49.00 36.1% 121.17 46.20 -29.16 -1.0% 33.39 1.2% 171.60 2001 2992.88 4.5% 221.06 2.2% 7.4% 36.62 1.2% 184.44 8.4% 6.2% 48.30 31.0% 136.14 36.62 -27.40 -0.9% 42.48 1.4% 187.84 9.5% 2002 3127.87 4.5% 247.48 12.0% 7.9% 32.03 1.0% 215.45 16.8% 6.9% 60.57 31.0% 154.88 32.03 -27.61 -0.9% 59.51 1.9% 218.82 16.5% 2003 3485.32 11.4% 288.00 16.4% 8.3% 35.64 1.0% 252.36 17.1% 7.2% 72.12 30.8% 180.25 35.64 -44.48 -1.3% -70.58 -2.0% 100.83 -53.9% 2004 3785.28 8.6% 333.19 15.7% 8.8% 38.85 1.0% 294.35 16.6% 7.8% 68.49 25.8% 225.86 38.85 -55.46 -1.5% -24.61 -0.7% 184.63 83.1% 2005E 4057.82 7.2% 323.94 -2.8% 8.0% 47.95 1.2% 275.99 -6.2% 6.8% 85.28 30.9% 190.71 47.95 -45.10 -1.1% 14.71 0.4% 208.27 12.8% 2006E 4349.99 7.2% 350.74 8.3% 8.1% 51.41 1.2% 299.33 8.5% 6.9% 92.49 30.9% 206.84 51.41 -48.35 -1.1% 15.77 0.4% 225.66 8.4% 2007E 4663.19 7.2% 379.75 8.3% 8.1% 55.11 1.2% 324.64 8.5% 7.0% 100.31 30.9% 224.33 55.11 -51.83 -1.1% 16.90 0.4% 244.51 8.4% 2008E 4998.94 7.2% 411.16 8.3% 8.2% 59.08 1.2% 352.09 8.5% 7.0% 108.79 30.9% 243.29 59.08 -55.56 -1.1% 18.12 0.4% 264.93 8.4% 2009E 5358.86 7.2% 445.17 8.3% 8.3% 63.33 1.2% 381.84 8.5% 7.1% 117.99 30.9% 263.85 63.33 -59.56 -1.1% 19.43 0.4% 287.05 8.3% 2010E 5744.70 7.2% 482.00 8.3% 8.4% 67.89 1.2% 414.11 8.4% 7.2% 127.96 30.9% 286.15 67.89 -63.85 -1.1% 20.82 0.4% 311.01 8.3%
189.1641266 186.1611281 183.2043614 180.2931545 177.4268439 Assumptions WACC Revenue Growth Tax Rate Terminal EV/EBITDA Margins EBITDA Depreciation CAPEX NWC Initial 8.0% 1.2% -1.1% 0.4% 10.1% 7.2% 30.9% 7.50x Growth 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Equity Value Calculation PV of 5-Year Estimates PV of Terminal Value Enterprise Value Less: Net Debt Equity Value Shares Outstanding Implied Value Per Share Premium to Market Price 916.25 2234.44 3150.69 41.30 3191.99 59.21 53.91 26.8%
1.5%
Synergies
Geographies and Categories
Idea sharing across markets and geographies Capitalize on Reebok's skills and know how to accelerate Adidas position in North America Benefit from Adidas expertise in Europe and Reebok's in Asia
Synergies contd
Technology
Enhance profile as technology leader and innovation leader Bigger combined R&D spend More products to capitalize on R&D spending New technology developments and awareness across brands Applications Materials
Synergies contd
Distribution Channels
Capitalize on Adidas in-depth understanding of specialized sporting goods channel Benefit from Reebok's strong insights into department store and general merchandise channel Selective Channel Diversification Expand on retail initiatives in emerging markets
Operating Efficiencies
Sales, Marketing & Distribution 40% of Synergies Higher efficiency through combined sales and marketing scale Better utilization of available distribution capacity Admin Services & IT 40% of Synergies Simplify overlapping functions Remove Duplicative IT Functions Operations and Sourcing 20% of Synergies Greater economies of scale in global sourcing Improved warehousing facilities
Based on our model Adidas could have paid between $53.91 & $66.85
Integration Issues
Management /Structure Changes
New Brand CEOs and Reebok CEO to Advisor Head Quarters to Remain Integration planning team comprised of employees from both
Integration Issues
Research & Development
Combined to share both costs and technology Reduced employees and raised efficiencies
Post-Integration Results
Management/Structure Changes
Successful through speed, efficiency and cooperation
Employee Care
Handled as well as could be expected
Distribution Centers
Mixed Emotions in short term, spent money to become efficient Taking longer than anticipated
R&D
Successful at reaching companies goals on new products & efficiency
Post-Integration Results
Brand Imaging
Continue to face uphill battle and challenge Success is still possible in long term
Gross margins dropped 3.6% in 2007. Sales and order back log of Reebok declined. The whole group still made money.
Q&A