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GROUP 6
AGENDA
Executive Summary
Investment Rationale
Valuation Pre post Investment Scenario
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Singapores sovereign wealth fund GIC and Baring Private Equity Partners India to invest $100 million in public listed FMCG company Marico Marico will use this amount to fund its recent acquisition of personal care brands, including Set Wet, Livon and Zatak among others, from Reckitt Benckiser. GIC is investing $75 million and Baring India Private Equity Fund is putting $25 million. Share purchase value is Rs 170 per share at par with market.
3
Demand for new categories (e.g men's grooming)
India
Japan
11.1
-0.6
9.9
2.4
10.5
1.5
9.8
1.4
9.8
1.0
Increasing consumer demand Food, beverages, tobacco: Market 2011 demand growth (% change pa) Asia and Australasia 3.0 2012 2.8 2013 3.6 2014 3.3 2015 2.7
China
Hong Kong India Japan
4.2
5.1 -0.5 2.7
2.8
4.6 1.6 2.7
1.6
5.1 0.9 1.5
1.4
4.6 0.7 2.3
1.0
4.7 0.4 2.3
INDIAN FMCG INDUSTRY (1/3) Fast Facts: Indian FMCG Industry FMCG industry represents 2.5% of the Indias GDP The industry has grown at ~17%CAGR FMCG accounted for 1.9% of the total FDI inflows in April 2000- September 2012 Food products and personal care together make up two-third of the sectors revenues. Rural India accounts for 70% of the Indian population and accounts for 50% of the total FMCG market. Changing lifestyle and increasing consumer demand, the Indian FMCG market is expected to cross $80 bn by 2026 in towns with population of up to 10 lakh. India's labour cost is amongst the lowest in the world, after China & Indonesia, giving it a competitive advantage over other countries.
Opportunities in FMCG Sector: Untapped rural market India is one of the worlds biggest producers of a number of FMCG products but the countrys exports account for a very small proportion of the overall output. Food-processing Industry: With 200 mn people expected to shift to processed and packaged food, India needs around USD 30 bn of investment in the food processing industry.
Key Concerns of FMCG Sector: High inflation Rising cost of inputs Emergence of private labels Counterfeits and pass-offs Rupee depreciation may hit margins of companies Infrastructure bottlenecks
INDIAN FMCG INDUSTRY (3/3) Major segments in FMCG sector (India specific)
Household Care
Fabric Wash Household Cleaners
Personal Care
Oral Care Hair Care Skin Care
About GIC
Investment Approach
Strengths
Investment management organization with investments over $100b 30 yrs of experience with exchange traded and OTC markets in stocks, derivatives, fixed income, natural resources, cash One of worlds top 10 real estate investment firm in terms of AUM
Investing with a long-term horizon with exposure to equity and equity like assets Identifying and managing risk an integral part of management responsibility Established framework for risk taking to maximize clients returns
Investment in cross-asset opportunities with defined and clear drivers for investment Skilled and experienced team Global presence and efficient governance structure GIC has the highest corporate credit ratings by both Standard & Poor and Moody
Active Portfolio
Investment within each asset class and asset classes other than policy portfolio Active portfolio controlled by clear risks defined by the GIC board
Policy Portfolio
GIC co-invested in consumer products and services business with Actis in Bangalore-based Nilgiri Dairy Farms
About Baring PE
Investment Approach
Accolades
Founded in 1984, one of first pan-European providers of private equity capital Invested in major markets outside USA via regional funds with $12b AUM Finalized its MBO from parent company ING Group in August 2004
Follows top-down approach for investment decisions Seeks significant minority stakes or control and Board position to influence key decision making Controls the exit decision and have well defined exit rights through IPO
Pioneer in providing private equity capital in India First fund to conclude a MBO of listed company in Asia First cross-border M&A in India and first venture capital to invest in the Indian BPO sector
Baring India Investment Limited PCC - $40mn Mphasis Software Mphasis Inc SRA Systems (Exited) Jyothy Laboratories (Exited)
Baring India Private Equity Fund II - $177mn Maples Technologies Secova Auro Mira Energy Integra Infrasoft Technologies
Baring India Private Equity Fund III - $563mn Marico Sintex Muthoot Finance Shilpa Medicare TD Power Systems
Source: www.bpepindia.com
Industry: Consumer goods Founded: 1987 Headquarters: Bandra, Mumbai, India Management: Harsh Mariwala (CEO) Products: Edible Oil, Hair Oils, Skin Care, Fabric Care, etc. Revenue: INR 40083 million CAGR : 44% for the past 5 years Major Brands: Parachute, Saffola, Mediker, Sil, Revive, Kaya clinic, etc
Revenue Segregation
Coconut Oil International Business Other 4% 7% 14% Saffola Hair Oil Kaya Clinic 35%
24%
16%
Peers Review
Peers Marico Emami P&G Hygiene Godrej Colgate-Palmolive Market Cap (INR Cr) 13629 10664 10010 26229 17851
30.67
34.76
36.04
43.94
63.58
53.16
43.67
32.05
30.97
23.9
8.43
8.71
12.66
12.75
12.91
12.81
13.73
13.21
12.22
13.78
6.51
6.76
7.54
6.4
8.46
8.55
9.16
8.18
8.13
8.34
0.06
0.25
0.92
1.31
1.14
0.83
0.68
0.85
0.69
0.44
63
65
70
70
77
79
94
121
134
143
19
17
11
10
19
25
41
44
39
Investment in 2012
Marico
(brands: parachute hair oil and saffola edible oil)
Paras Pharmaceuticals
(brands: Set Wet, Livon, Zatak)
Reckitt Benckiser
(brands: Set Wet, Livon, Zatak)
DEAL STRUCTURE(2/3) Deal Details Reckitt Benckiser acquired Paras Pharmaceuticals for INR 32.6bn ($726mn) in April 2011 Marico acquired brands like Set Wet, Livon, Zatak from Reckitt via preferential allotment Fund parass personal care brands acquisitions and other capital expenditures
Deal price (as on 06/04/2012) Rs. 170 Current Price (as on 02/26/2014) Rs. 211.8
16th May, 2012 Board resolution was passed for the investment
Baring India PE
No. of shares: 7mn Total (INR mn): 1250 Stake(%): 1.14
Marico Transaction Size (INR mm): 5000 Price per share(INR): 170
Advisors
Kotak Mahindra Capital Company Ltd
Clients
Marico Ltd
Marico Ltd
Indivest Pte Ltd (Legal)
INVESTMENT RATIONALE
Investment Rationale
Products
Incorporation of ERP and SAP tools Disintegration of Inbound Copra supply chain
Customers
Global Presence 30% of Revenue from exports Direct Reach: Over 900,000 outlets Indirect Reach: 4 million outlets Segment Diversification via Acquisitions
Operational Innovation
Distribution Network
Opportunities
Inorganic Growth
Final Value
Discounted Cash Flow
Trading Comparables
Transaction Comparables
Country
India
8.78%
8.22% 0.455
Levered Beta
S&P credit rating Damodaran risk spread
0.480
bb4%
9.60%
12.70% 7.40%
WACC
12.51%
13812.10 80034.30
93846.40 7953.5 0 249 3983.6 89627.44 614.93 145.75
Selection Criteria
Company Shortlisted
Location: Asia Pacific Emerging Markets Industry: FMCG - Household and Personal Products Product Lines: Similar product lines as Marico
Colgate-Palmolive (India) Limited (BSE:500830) Pidilite Industries Limited (BSE:500331) Dabur India Ltd. (BSE:500096) Godrej Consumer Products Limited (BSE:532424)
Value
NTM TEV/Forward Total Revenue High Low Mean Median 226779.65 116100.34 160033.25 148626.50 NTM TEV/Forward EBITDA 149107.47 100773.76 124452.56 123964.51
VALUATION OF MARICO (6/11) Transaction Comparables Selection Criteria Location : Asia Pacific Industry : FMCG - Emerging Markets Minimum TEV/Revenue: Transaction Types : Private Maximum TEV/Revenue: Placement OR Merger/Acquisition Period : [4/1/2009-3/31/2012] Average TEV/Revenue:
Multiple
1.03x 3.83x 2.65x
Value
38454.95 142992.67 99198.83
Multiple Minimum TEV/EBITDA: Maximum TEV/EBITDA: Average TEV/EBITDA: 9.98x 33.6x 18.77x
Value 55522.73 186930.24 104425.02 Revenue : 45175.229 million INR EBITDA: 6,731.71 million INR
20.00%
78203
93972
7.50% 12.50%
Trading Comparable
226780 149107
116100 100774
160033 124453
7.50% 12.50%
Transaction Comparable
EV/Revenue EV/EBITDA
142993 186930
38455 55523
99199 104425
77905
104385.1
Transaction Comparable
220.56
126.69
169.75
Final Value
VALUATION OF MARICO (10/11) Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) ( At present) Key Assumptions
Country Risk free Rate (rf) Market Risk Premium Unlevered Beta Levered Beta S&P credit rating Damodaran risk spread Cost of Debt Cost of Equity India 8.78% 8.22% 0.455 0.480 bb4% 9.60% 11.90% Plus: Cash and Equivalents 3803.50
DCF Output
Values
PV of Cash Flows PV of Terminal Value Enterprise Value Less: Amount in INR MILLION 9897.20 107575.10 117472.30
Total Debt
Preferred Stock Minority Interest
8742.90
0 351.40
Equity Value
Shares Outstanding Implied Per Share Value
1,12,181.50
644.9 173.96 (INR)
D/E
WACC
6.40%
11.8%
Figures in INR
Purchase Price in 2012 Market Price in 2014 Gain Percentage Gain IN 2 YEARS CAGR
PRE INVESTMENT SCENARIO Performance Analysis ( Source: Annual Report 2011-2012) Revenue growth of 28% over previous year Focused on acquisitions to pursue growth
Explore opportunities in skin care, hair care, food in Asia & Africa
Small packs led to 11% growth in parachute International business contributed 24% to the revenue and growth of 30% over FY11
Entered new geographies and scaled up presence in Malaysia, Bhutan & Myanmar
Launched exciting range of water gels, ice gels, rave gels & wax Acquisition of Paras in line with the strategy of strengthening in hair care, skin care & male grooming Acquisition provides an entry into growing deodorant business Acquired portfolio gives access to chemist & cosmetic channels
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