TOYOTA MOTOR CORP dr Agata Kocia based on presentation by: PAWE ORZECHOWSKI, MACIEJ OWIT & ANDRZEJ BENCZEK FORD: the beginning Henry Ford designed his first moving assembly line in 1913 Wheels for the world-the motto behind popularization of cars Each section of the production process was divided into component parts Combination of precision, continuity, and fast- paced brought the world mass production In Highland Park, Model T production reached record levels, every day a car came of the assembly line every ten seconds TOYOTA: the beginning Toyota's history began at the end of XIX century Sakichi Toyoda invented Japan's first power loom which revolutionized the countrys textile industry Two years later, he founded the company Toyoda Automatic Loom Works Toyody Sakichis son, Kiichiro Toyoda invested 100,000 pounds in the creation of Toyota Motor Corporation in 1937 (TMC) Sakichi Toyoda received this money for selling the patent rights to an automatic loom
FORD The fourth-largest automotive company in the world in terms of sales Sells cars on 6 continents Car Brands: Ford, Mercury, Lincoln and Volvo in March of 2010 confirmation of sale of Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd) Since the mid-90s Ford continually loses significance in the American market Over the same period steadily increases its share in the European market Reasons for the gap between the development of the brand in the U.S. and Europe: high labor costs in the U.S. high expenditure on healthcare in the U.S. strong trade unions in the U.S. (high pension commitments) strong economic growth in lower combustion cars TOYOTA The biggest carmaker in the world in 2009 (more than 7.5 million cars) Main markets are Japan and North America, but recently we can see a strong growth in Asian and South America markets Toyota has three brands: Toyota, Lexus and Scion FORD: more economic Dominance of large cars: SUVs, Pick ups Rapid fluctuations in oil prices and legislators striving to reduce consumption of materials led to reorganization Restructuring of the three production lines for production of more economic models in Europe (Mondeo, Focus etc.) in short-run minimization of costs Ultimately, Ford intends to make engines in all their models to be more economical In 2009 to market were introduced four hybrid models based on technology leased from Toyota FORD: hybrid technology Currently, Ford has four hybrid models Ford Focus Hybrid is a direct threat to so far the most popular Prius (hybrid line of Toyota) In 2010, the company plans to spend an additional $450 million to develop electric motors By 2012, Ford wants to produce own hybrid technology and plug-ins Ford has invested more than $550 million in restructuring its manufacturing facility in Michigan What if the market chooses a different path? TOYOTA: hybrid technology Toyota as one of the first ones started a hybrid cars production line (including leasing its technology to Ford) At present, hybrid Toyota - Prius line, represents approximately 73% of all hybrid vehicles sold in the U.S. So far in the U.S. Toyota sold the 1,000,000+ hybrid cars In addition, Toyota announced its intention to manufacture electric cars with lithium-ion batteries Toyota Plug-HV FORD: ONE FORD Despite the very large amount of cars produced, so far Ford has derives small economies of scale by applying a separate, independent technologies and models for European, US and developing markets One Ford changed approach Ford moves the emphasis to universal models for use in different regions of the world (the first "world car"-new Ford Fiesta) FORD: wrong sales model From the 90s Ford has created demand sales on installments without interest charged discounts promotions combined with a loan Ford exceptionally strong suffered from a crisis on a real estate market in recent years, sales in the U.S. were strongly associated with the property market it is estimated that in California, 30% of car purchases has been financed with a mortgage Feeling the effects of this approach, Ford began to change strategy less emphasis on creating demand emphasis on quality and safety FORD: developing markets Ford is mainly engaged in the American market, which slowly begins to lose its attractiveness Fords task now is to develop a universal line for use in every country (European Ford Fiesta in the U.S., Ford Transit Van in Asia) Whether european car models will be appealing to clients in India or Brazil depends the future of Ford in the long term. TOTOTA: withdrawal of models Several serious flaws in the models has significantly hurt Toyotas image in 2009, the company had to withdraw from the market 3.8 million vehicles due to the acceleration system flaw In the short term: it is estimated that due to defects and withdrawals Toyota models suffered losses of $ 3 billion in 2010 over the past year, throughout the world over 9 million vehicles have been withdrawn for consideration more than 30 lawsuits are waiting In the long term: current crisis has significantly hurt the reputation of the company competition has used well (Chrystler, Ford and Honda hasorganized the promotions, giving discount on a new car for customers who got rid of the old Toyota) TOYOTA: the future Car Sales in highly developed countries will fall and remain at low levels majority of consumers demand is already satisfied relatively low economic growth The biggest outlays directed on emerging markets mainly Brazil, Russia, India, China (BRIC) countries Toyota earlier than other companies in the sector began to invest in the development of appropriate infrastructure and brand awareness in the above countries in 2009 Toyota announced the beginning of motor vehicle production in India (the company Toyota Kirloskar) in 2010 Toyota plans to produce 100,000 cars in the new factory opened in India TOYOTA: trends and expectations (1) Japan investing in luxury brands (Lexus) in 1990 10% of Japan's population was over 65 years, in 2006, the number suppose to double older society saves more and raises the demand for more luxury goods USA collapse of the real estate market strength of real estate market has always been related to car market because consumers often fund the purchase of car with a mortgage owed stagnation in credit market will reduce demand for new cars demand for green technologies oil prices are rising, resulting in increased demand for cars Hybrid (Prius model) in December of 2007. U.S. government passed a law requiring the car manufacturers to reduce the combustion of up to 35 mpg for cars, trucks and SUVs Toyota, typically produces small, economical cars and its standards are already satisfy new requirements TOYOTA: trends and expectations (2) USA hybrid legislation USA introduces new law to encourage development of hybrid technologies at present, when buying a car you can count on the hybrid tax relief of up to $ 3,400, depending on the amount of car sales (the more cars the company sells the smaller the deduction ) the aim is to support companies desiring to enter the market with hybrid technology World Market demand for cars will depend on the trend in oil, steel and aluminum prices FORD/TOYOTA: general data (in $ mln) 2006 2007 2008 Sales (FORD) 143,249 154,379 129,166 Sales (TOYOTA) 203,874 256,581 2081,262 Income from operations (FORD) -7,926
8,031
-4,130
Income from operations (TOYOTA) 19,058
22,159 -4,674 Net income (FORD) -12,613 -2,723 -14,672 Net income (TOYOTA) 13,996 16,766 -4,430 Employment (FORD) 283 247 213 Employment (TOYOTA) 286 299 316 Total assets (FORD) 279,196 279,264 218,328 Total assets (TOYOTA) 277256 318875 294627
TOYOTA: production (in 1000s) 2006 2007 2008 North America 1201 1205 1268 South America 122 147 150 Europe 623 709 711 Asia, Africa, Australia 1081 1019 1258 Japan 4684 5100 5160
FORD/TOYOTA: sales (in 1000s) 2006 2007 2008 North America (FORD) 3051 2890 2329 (TOYOTA) 2556 2943 2958 South America (FORD) 381 438 435 (TOYOTA) 233 284 320 Europe (FORD) 1846 1918 1820 (TOYOTA) 1023 1224 1284 Asia, Africa, Australia (FORD) 589 535 464 (TOYOTA) 1384 1361 1559 Japan (TOYOTA) 2364 2273 2188
Risk factors FORD Ford is exposed to various kinds of risk not only to the market risk currency risk, commodity price changes, interest rate risk, financing risk, risk of extraordinary events are just some of the most important kinds of risk present risk of loss of liquidity: hedge against it by sale of receivables (securitization), issue of debt and bank loans insurable risks: the loss (damage) of property, civil liability companies insure themselves privately they use derivatives to hedge currency, interest rate or change in commodity prices risk by forwards, swaps, options does not use derivative to speculate TOYOTA Toyota is exposed to risks arising from: changes in exchange rates interest rates availability of materials changes in prices of materials Instruments used to protect: forward contracts currency and interest rate options swaps Unfortunately, Toyota does not protect itself from price changes and changes in supply of materials only protection is to maintain reserves of some materials TOYOTA: currency risk Toyota settles its invoices in Japanese yen which increases its currency risk Changes in exchange rates reflect very strongly on company results change in the dollar-yen exchange rate of 1% will change revenues by about $42 million Toyota protect itself from risk with the help of swaps and futures Despite this, the company is unable to protect itself from a falling demand for exports of Japanese cars due to a change in exchange rates Ratio analysis Liquidity ratios (1) Current ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 1,00 1,01 1,07 Ford 2,28 2,32 1,33
Liquidity ratios (2) Quick ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0,80 0,82 0,87 Ford 2,13 2,19 1,25
Debt ratio Debt ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0,62 0,61 0,64 Ford 0,62 0,60 0,71
Turnover ratios (1) Receivables (A/R) turnover ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 32,14 29,59 26,15 Ford 15,89 17,14 14,95
Turnover ratios (2) Inventory turnover ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 13,21 14,79 11,80 Ford 13,60 13,20 13,80
Turnover ratios (3) Asset turvover ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0,70 0,76 0,66 Ford 0,57 0,62 0,67
Profitability ratios (1) Net profit margin 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0,07 0,06 -0,03 Ford -0,08 -0,01 -0,10
Profitability ratios (2) ROA 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0.05 0.05 -0.02 Ford -0.05 -0.01 -0.06
Profitability ratios (3) ROE 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0.14 0.14 -0.04 Ford 0.00 -2.52 0.00
Market value ratios (1) Earnings per share 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 4.34 5.40 -1.42 Ford -6.46 -1.38 -6.72
Market value ratios (2) Price/Earnings ratio 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 29.94 18.68 -44.58 Ford -1.16 -4.86 -0.34
Market value ratios (3) Dividend yield 2006 2007 2008 Toyota 0,01 0,01 0,02 Ford 0,11 0 0
SWOT analysis FORD Strengths Hybrid technology Well-known brand in the USA Weaknesses: Weak sales results Inability to accommodate products to changes on the market Opportunities: Promotion of ecology-friendly cars Appeal of a national brand in crisis Threaths: Further evolution of the crisis
TOYOTA Strengths Hybrid technology Ability to cope in crisis Weaknesses: Lack of protection against changes in prices and demand Opportunities: Promotion of economical and ecology-friendly cards In crisis, lesser importance of competitors Threaths: Rapid increase of material costs or decrease in supply