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Activity, 1,000s of Units Produced
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The Scattergraph Method
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Activity, 1,000s of Units Produced
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Quick-and-Dirty Method
Intercept is the estimated
fixed cost = $10,000
Draw a line through the data points with about an
equal numbers of points above and below the line.
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Activity, 1,000s of Units Produced
X
Y
Quick-and-Dirty Method
The slope is the estimated variable cost per unit.
Slope = Change in cost Change in units
Vertical distance is
the change in cost.
Horizontal
distance is
the change in
activity.
Advantages
One of the principal advantages
of this method is that it lets us
see the data.
What are the advantages of
seeing the data?
Nonlinear Relationship
Activity
Cost
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Activity Output
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Upward Shift in Cost Relationship
Activity
Cost
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Activity Output
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Presence of Outliers
Activity
Cost
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Activity Output
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Month
Activity Level:
Patient Days
Maintenance
Cost Incurred
January 5,600 $7,900
February 7,100 8,500
March 5,000 7,400
April 6,500 8,200
May 7,300 9,100
June 8,000 9,800
July 6,200 7,800
Brentline Hospital Patient Data
Textbook Example
Brentline Hospital Patient Data
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Patient-Days
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Brentline Hospital Patient Data
y = 0.7589x + 3430.9
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Brentline Hospital Patient Data
y = 0.7589x + 3430.9
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Brentline Hospital Patient Data
y = 0.7589x + 3430.9
R
2
= 0.8964
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From Algebra . . .
If we know any two points on a
line, we can determine the slope
of that line.
High-Low Method
A non-statistical method whereby
we examine two points out of a
set of data . . .
The high point; and
The low point
High-Low Method
Using these two points, we
determine the equation for that
line . . .
The intercept; and
The Slope parameters
High-Low Method
To get the variable costs . . .
We compare the difference in
costs between the two periods
to
The difference in activity
between the two periods.
Month
Activity Level:
Patient Days
Maintenance
Cost Incurred
January 5,600 $7,900
February 7,100 8,500
March 5,000 7,400
April 6,500 8,200
May 7,300 9,100
June 8,000 9,800
July 6,200 7,800
Brentline Hospital Patient Data
Textbook Example
High/
Low
Month
Patient
Days
Maint.
Cost
High June 8,000 $9,800
Low March 5,000 7,400
Difference 3,000 $2,400
Change in Cost
V = ------------------
Change in Activity
(Y
2
- Y
1
)
V = ------------
(X
2
- X
1
)
High/
Low
Month
Patient
Days
Maint.
Cost
High June 8,000 $9,800
Low March 5,000 7,400
Difference 3,000 $2,400
The Change
in Cost
Divided by the
change in
activity
Change in Cost
V = ------------------
Change in Activity
$2,400
V = ------------
3,000
= $0.80 Per Unit
Total Cost (TC) = FC + VC
- FC = - TC + VC
FC = TC - VC
FC = $9,800 - (8,000 x $0.80)
= $3,400
FC = $7,400 - (5,000 x $0.80)
= $3,400
TC = $3,400 + $0.80X
Month
Activity Level:
Patient Days
Maintenance
Cost Incurred
January 5,600 $7,900
February 7,100 8,500
March 5,000 7,400
April 6,500 8,200
May 7,300 9,100
June 8,000 9,800
July 6,200 7,800
We have taken Total
Costs which is a
mixed cost and we
have separated it into
its VC and FC
components.
So what? You say! Thank you
for asking! Now I can use this
formula for planning purposes.
For example, what if I believe my
activity level will be 6,325 patient
days in February. What would I
expect my total maintenance cost
to be?
What is the estimated total cost if
the activity level for February is
expected to be 6,325 patient days?
Y = a + bx
TC = $3,400 + 6,325 x $0.80
TC = $8,460
Some Important Considerations
We have used historical cost to
arrive at the cost equation.
Therefore, we have to be careful
in how we use the formula.
Never forget the relevant range.
Relevant Range
$
Volume (Activity Base)
Strengths of High-Low Method
Simple to use
Easy to understand
Weaknesses of High-Low
Only two data points are used in
the analysis.
Can be problematic if either (or
both) high or low are extreme
(i.e., Outliers).
.
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.
Extreme values -
not necessarily
representative
Representative
High/Low Values
.
Weaknesses of High-Low
Other months may not yield the
same formula.
FC = $8,500 - (7,100 x $0.80)
= $2,820
FC = $7,800 - (6,200 x $0.80)
= $2,840
Regression Analysis
A statistical technique used to
separate mixed costs into fixed
and variable components.
All observations are used to fit a
regression line which represents
the average of all data points.
Regression Analysis
Requires the simultaneous
solution of two linear equations
So that the squared deviations
from the regression line of each of
the plotted points cancel out (are
equal to zero).
Production
Cost
Actual Y
Estimated y
Error
2
) ( y Y
The objective is to find
values of a and b in the
equation y = a + bX that
minimize
y = a + bX
The equation for a linear
function (straight line) with
one independent variable is . . .
Where:
y = The Dependent Variable
a = The Constant term (Intercept)
b = The Slope of the line
X = The Independent variable
y = a + bX
The equation for a linear
function (straight line) with
one independent variable is . . .
Where:
y = The Dependent Variable
a = The Constant term (Intercept)
b = The Slope of the line
X = The Independent variable
The
Dependent
Variable
The
Independent
Variable
Regression Analysis
With this equation and given a set
of data.
Two simultaneous linear
equations can be developed that
will fit a regression line to the
data.
Where: a = Fixed cost
b = Variable cost
n = Number of observations
X = Activity measure (Hours, etc.)
Y = Total cost
2
x b x a xy
x b na y
) )( ( ) (
) )( ( ) )( (
2
2
Y X X n
XY X X Y
a
) )( ( ) (
) )( ( ) (
2
X X X n
Y X XY n
b
Fixed
Costs
Variable
Costs
R
2
, the Coefficient of Determination is
the percentage of variability in the
dependent variable being explained by
the independent variable.
This is referred to as a goodness of fit
measure.
R, the Coefficient of Correlation is
square root of R
2
. Can range from -1 to
+1. Positive correlation means the
variables move together. Negative
correlation means they move in opposite
directions.
Method
Fixed
Cost
Variable
Cost
High-Low
Scattergraph
Regression
$3,400
$3,300
$3,431
$0.80
$0.79
$0.76
Coefficient of Determination
R
2
is the percentage of
variability in the dependent
variable that is explained by the
independent variable.
Coefficient of Determination
This is a measure of goodness-of-
fit.
The higher the R
2
, the better the
fit.
Coefficient of Determination
The higher the R
2
, the more
variation (in the dependent
variable) being explained by the
independent variable.
Coefficient of Determination
R
2
ranges from 0 to 1.0
Good Vs. Bad R
2
s is relative.
There is no magic cutoff
Coefficient of Correlation
The relationship between two
variables can be described by a
correlation coefficient.
The coefficient of correlation is
the square root of the coefficient
of determination.
Coefficient of Correlation
Provides a measure of strength
of association between two
variables.
The correlation provides an index
of how closely two variables go
together.
Machine
Hours
Utility
Costs
Machine
Hours
Utility
Costs
Hours of
Safety
Training
Industrial
Accidents
Industrial
Accidents
Hours of
Safety
Training
Hair
Length
202
Grade
Hair
Length
202
Grade