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This document provides an overview of financial management and capital budgeting concepts. It discusses key terms like net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), modified internal rate of return (MIRR), payback period, cost of capital, and cash flow estimation. Examples are provided to illustrate how to calculate NPV, IRR, MIRR and choose between projects. It also covers capital rationing and choosing projects under a budget constraint.
Description originale:
A basic document that discusses capital budgeting.
This document provides an overview of financial management and capital budgeting concepts. It discusses key terms like net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), modified internal rate of return (MIRR), payback period, cost of capital, and cash flow estimation. Examples are provided to illustrate how to calculate NPV, IRR, MIRR and choose between projects. It also covers capital rationing and choosing projects under a budget constraint.
This document provides an overview of financial management and capital budgeting concepts. It discusses key terms like net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), modified internal rate of return (MIRR), payback period, cost of capital, and cash flow estimation. Examples are provided to illustrate how to calculate NPV, IRR, MIRR and choose between projects. It also covers capital rationing and choosing projects under a budget constraint.
Dr. Niti Nandini Chatnani Associate Professor Indian Institute of Foreign Trade, New Delhi Sessions 9, 10 and 11 Recap of Session 8:
1. ___________ is the composite number that represents the claims of all suppliers of capital to the firm on an aggregate basis.
2. Cost of ______ is the rate that equates the internal rate of return of the cash flows of a bond with its market price.
3. If a firm with a tax rate of 40% can borrow by issuing bonds carrying an annual coupon of 16%, the cost of debt for this firm is __________.
4. The approximate cost of preference capital for a firm that has issued preference shares with a face value of Rs.100 and a promised dividend of Rs. 12 per annum is _________ if its issue costs are 3%.
5. Retained earnings, though like equity capital, are cheaper because there are no __________ and ___________ costs and no ___________
6. The shares of firm a quoted in the market at Rs.220. If this firm ahs paid a dividend of Rs.10 last year, and the expected dividend this year is Rs.11, the firms cost of equity capital is _________.
7. Market price in excess of the issue price of a bond implies an increase in the cots of debt and vice versa. True/False
8. When using the CAPM to estimate cost of equity for an unlisted firm, the beta used must be
A. That of the firm itself B. That of a similar listed firm C. Weighted average of A and B D. Average of A and B
Case: Gupta Bricks - I Capital Budgeting Decisions:
These are the long-term investment decisions of a firm
Include expansion, replacement or renewal of long-term assets
Involve an exchange of current funds for future benefits, wherein future benefits come to the firm for a long time in the future and the funds are invested in long-term assets
These decisions are involve sizeable capital outlays, and commit the firm to some course of action
The decisions can be risky, difficult to make, irreversible to a large extent, and may affect the risk complexion of a firm
Firms treat their Capital Budgeting and Financing Decisions separately, without regard to the specific method of financing used
Capital Budgeting Process
Proposal Generation
Review and Analysis
Decision Making
Implementation
Follow-up Most Time and Effort consuming Mostly ignored Key motives for making capex:
1. Expansion 2. Replacement 3. Renewal 4. Others a. Advertising b. Research & Development c. Management Consulting d. Installation of Pollution Control and Safety Devices
Basic Terminology:
1. Independent versus Mutually Exclusive Projects 2. Unlimited Funds versus Capital Rationing 3. Accept- Reject versus Ranking Approaches 4. Conventional versus Non-Conventional Cash Flow Patterns
Investment Evaluation:
- Requires:
1. Estimation of cash flows (not profits) 2. Estimation of the required rate of return on investments 3. Application of an evaluation technique (or a decision rule)
- Evaluation Techniques:
1. Non-discounted Methods: (a)Payback Period (PBP) (b)Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)*
2. Discounted Methods (a)Net Present Value (NPV) (b)Internal Rate of Return (IRR) (c)Profitability Index (PI) *based on profits; not used in practice
Cost of Capital Return on Capital The cost of capital, or discount rate, or required rate of return, or opportunity cost, is an important link between the investment decision and the financing decision It is the minimum or hurdle rate for the return a firms investment must earn
Pay Back Period (PBP):
The amount of time required for a firm to recover its initial investment in a project, as calculated from its cash flows
Decision Criterion:
If PBP < Minimum Acceptable PBP, then accept the project If PBP > Minimum Acceptable PBP, then reject the project
Pros and Cons of PBP:
Simple to compute and easy to understand Can be viewed as a measure of risk exposure
Minimum Acceptable PBP is set subjectively Time Value of money is not integrated into PBP calculations Cash flows that occur after PBP are not considered
Net Present Value (NPV):
The value left after subtracting a projects initial investment from the present value of its cash inflows, discounted at a rate equal to the firms cost of capital
NPV= CF t - CF 0 (1+k) t
Decision Criterion: If NPV > 0, then accept the project If NPV < 0, then reject the project
Pros and Cons:
Integrates time value of money into calculations Is in sync with the wealth maximization goal
Absolute Measure
t=1 n Internal Rate of Return (IRR):
The discount rate that equates NPV of a project with 0. The compound annual rate of return a firm will earn it it invests in the project and earns the cash inflows
CF t - CF 0 (1+ IRR) t
Decision Criterion:
If IRR > the firms cost of capital, then accept the project If IRR < the firms cost of capital, then reject the project
Pros and Cons:
Easy to communicate and compare
Difficult to compute Assumes intermediate cash flows are reinvested at IRR Multiple IRRs can result in case of non-conventional cash flows Provides conflicting rankings for mutually exclusive projects t=1 n DETERMINING THE NPV and IRR Firm's Cost of Capital 10% Year End Cash Flow Year Project A Project B 0 -42000 -45000 1 14000 28000 2 14000 12000 3 14000 10000 4 14000 10000 5 14000 10000 PV of Cash Flows $53,071.01 $55,924.40 NPV $11,071.01 $10,924.40 Choice of Project IRR 20% 22% Choice of Project Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR):
An improved version of the internal rate of return (IRR) approach MIRR = [nSum of Terminal Cash Flows other than Initial Investment ] -1 Initial Investment
Decision Criterion:
If MIRR > the firms cost of capital, then accept the project If MIRR < the firms cost of capital, then reject the project
In case of mutually exclusive projects, the project with higher MIRR should be preferred.
Does not require the assumption that the project cash flows are reinvested at the IRR Factors in a discrete reinvestment rate into the model
MIRR Example:
You are an assistant to Rajan, the corporate finance director at BTC, a civil engineering firm. Two of the company's recent bids are accepted. The first relates to construction of a new airport in Jaipur. The second relates to construction of a motorway connecting Jaipur with Ahmedabad. Both the projects are expected to take 3 years. The applicable finance rate is 10% and the project's cash flows are given below:
The company submitted bids for both projects because both had positive net present values. The CEO of BTC has asked Rajan to recommend which project the company should accept. The CEO is a fan of the IRR approach. Rajan, on the other hand, is worried about the shortcomings of the IRR approach. He believes that the economy might slow down a little in next few years and a lower reinvestment rate should be factored in. He has asked you to calculate MIRR for both the projects. You double-check whenever and wherever possible, so you decide to calculate the MIRR using the manual formula approach and then verify the results using MS Excel MIRR function. NPV Profiles:
Depict project NPVs for various discount rates Allow projects to be compared graphically
NPV Profiles Discount Rate NPV of A NPV of B 0% 25000 28000 5% 18612 17251 10% 11071 10924 15% 4930 5686 20% 0 22% 0 Example: Consider the following two projects:
Cash flow Project A Project B Year 0 -1000 -1000 Year 1 500 100 Year 2 400 300 Year 3 300 400 Year 4 100 600 The firms WACC is 10%. For each project, find its:
1. PBP and Discounted PBP 2. NPV 3. IRR 4. PI 5. MIRR Comment on the acceptability of both A and B in each case. Choosing projects under Capital Rationing:
Exists when budgets are created for long-term investments Soft versus hard forms of capital rationing Two approaches:
1. IRR Approach Involves graphing project IRRs in descending order against total initial investment, to determine the group of acceptable projects
2. NPV Approach Based on the use of present values to determine the group of projects that will maximise owners wealth
Project Initial Investment IRR in % PV of Cash Flows A 80,000 12 100,000 B 70,000 20 112,000 C 100,000 16 145,000 D 40,000 8 36,000 E 60,000 15 79,000 F 110,000 11 126,500 Budgeted for investment = 250,000 Cut-off Rate = 10% The objective of a firm that operates under capital rationing is to use its budget to generate the highest present values of inflows 1. Using the IRR Approach
Selected Projects = B, C and E Total Investment = 230,000 Total Present Value = 336,000 NPV of Projects B, C and E = 106,000
2. Using NPV Approach
Selected Projects = B, C and A Total Investment = 250,000 Total Present Value = 357,000 NPV of Projects B, C and A = 107,000
Project F is not selected under the NPV approach due to budget constraints. Estimation of Cash Flows:
Cash flows are different from accounting profits Relevant Cash Flows are the firms Incremental Cash Flows, which are
C f to firm with project C f to firm without project
Major Components of Cash Flows: 1. Initial Investment; 2. Operating Cash Inflows 3. Terminal Cash Flows
Expansion versus Replacement Cash Flows All Capital Budgeting Decisions can be viewed as Replacement Decisions. Expansion Decisions are merely Replacement Decisions in which all cash flows from old asset are zero.
Cash Flows for Replacement Decisions:
Initial Investment =
Initial investment needed - After-tax cash inflows to acquire new asset from liquidation of old asset
Operating Cash Inflows =
Operating cash inflows - Operating cash inflows from new asset from old asset
Terminal Cash Flow =
After-tax cash flows from termination of new asset Determining a projects incremental cash flows:
A note on Sunk Costs and Opportunity Costs
Sunk Costs: Cash outlays that have already been made (past outlays) and therefore, have no effect on the cash flows relevant to a current decision. These are not considered as incremental cash flows.
Opportunity Costs: Cash flows that could be realized from the best alternative use of an owned asset. These are considered as incremental cash flows.
Step 1: Finding the Initial Investment
Occurs ate time 0 when expenditure is made Includes all cash outflows occurring at time 0 reduced by all cash inflows occurring at time 0
Installed cost of new asset = Cost of new asset + Installation Cost - After-tax proceeds from sale of old asset = Proceeds from sale of old asset Tax on sale of old assets Changes in Net Working Capital ______________________________________ Initial Investment
Installed Cost: The cost of an asset plus its installation cost, equals the assets depreciable value
Book Value: the strict accounting value of an asset, calculated by subtracting its accumulated depreciation from its installed cost
Tax on Sale of old asset: Tax that depends on the relationship between the old assets sale price, initial purchase price and book value, and on existing government tax rules
Recaptured depreciation: The portion of an assets sale price that is above its book value and below it initial purchase price
Changes in Net Working Capital: The difference between a change in current assets and a change in current liabilities. Accompany capex Finding the Operating Cash Inflows:
These occur over the projects life Are measured as cash flows, not accounting profits
Revenues - Expenses (excluding depreciation) _______________________________ Profits Before Depreciation and Tax - Depreciation _______________________________ Net Profits Before Tax - Tax _______________________________ Net Profits After Tax + Depreciation _______________________________ Operating Cash Inflows
Finding the Terminal Cash Flow:
This occurs in terminal year of projects life Results from termination/liquidation of project
After-tax proceeds from sale of new asset = Proceeds from sale of new asset Tax on sale of new asset Changes in Net Working Capital ____________________________________ Terminal Cash Flow Identifying the relevant cash flows:
Initial capex, includes costs of fixed assets including shipping and installation costs Non Cash Charges (typically depreciation) are included only for tax shields offered Changes in Net Working Capital, are costs over and above capex and usually accompany capex Interest Expenses are not included in project cash flows and are treated as financing cash flows Sunk costs are not incremental costs and are ignored Opportunity costs inherent in use of assets Side effects impact the incremental cash flows and are included Timing of cash flows are relevant because of TVoM Terminal cash flow includes working capital released and salvage value of assets realized
Example:
Given the following background information for a project, calculate its NPV: Installed Cost: 600 Required NWC Investment: 400 Life: 3 years Annual Sales: 1000 Annual Costs: 500 Straight Line Depreciation to 0; Salvage Value: 100 Tax Rate: 34% Required Return: 12%
Project Cash Flows:
Initial cash flows: Capex = 600 NWC = 400
Annual and Terminal Cash flows:
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Sales -1000 (Initial C/F) 1000 1000 1000 Cost of Sales 500 500 500 EBIDT 500 500 500 Depreciation 200 200 200 EBIT 300 300 300 Salvage Value 100 (BV=0) Taxes 102 102 136 PAT 198 198 264 CFAT(add Depcn. + NWC ) -1000 398 398 864 Dealing with Inflation:
When cash flows are expressed in terms of the time of their receipt, they are nominal cash flows
When cash flows are expressed in year 0 terms, they are real cash flows
Inflation must be treated consistently in capital budgeting
Nominal cash flows must be discounted at nominal rates and real cash flows at real rates
Fisher Effect Formula:
1+Nominal Rate = (1 + Real Rate)(1 + Inflation Rate)
Nominal Cash Flow = Real Cash Flow (1 + Inflation Rate) t
A behavioural approach that uses several possible values for a given variable to assess that variables impact on the projects NPV. Helps establish a range for NPV and the variable NPV is most sensitive to
2. Scenario Analysis
A behavioural approach that evaluates the impact of the simultaneous change in a number of variables on the projects NPV
3. Break-Even Analysis
An approach that asks what is the minimum level of sales that must be achieved for project NPV to be 0
4. Risk Adjusted Discount Rates
The discount rate that must be earned on a given project to compensate the firm for the risk inherent in a project. Logic closely linked to the CAPM. Widely used in practice