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ABSderivetheircashflowsfromapoolof
underlyingassets
MBS=mortgagebackedsecurities
CARS=certificatesforautomobilereceivables
CARDS=certificatesforamortizingrevolving
debts
HELS=homeequityloansecurities
AssetBackedSecurities
Theunderlyingassetsgeneratecashflowsof
principalandinterestwhichcanberepackaged
andsoldtoinvestors.
Fixedincome
assets
Assetbacked
securities
Principal
Interest
AssetBackedSecurities
InABS,theunderlyingassetsarecollectedinto
apool.
Poolassetsarestandardized.
Theassetpoolisplacedintrust.
Claimsonthecashflowsgeneratedbytheasset
poolarestructured:
Passthroughstructures
Multiclassstructures
Securitiesrepresentingtheseclaimsaresold.
Securitization
Bypoolingandrepackagingcashflows,ABS
issuerscanconvertilliquidfixedincomeassets
intomarketablebonds.
Requirestruststructuretoholdunderlying
assets,and
Creditenhancementtoachieveinvestment
gradebondrating
External:guarantees
Internal:overcollateralization.
Issuers
Mortgagerelatedagencies
GinnieMae(passthoughs)
FreddieMac(PCs)
FannieMae(MBS)
PrivatelabelMBS
Citi,GE,Prudential
PrivatelabelABS
GMACandotherautocompanies
Financecompanies
Creditcardissuers
Investors
Insurancecompanies
Pensionfunds
Mutualfunds
Wealthyindividuals
MBS
Backedbymortgageloans.
Amortgageloanisaloansecuredbyrealestate
Themortgageisasecurityagreementthatgivesthe
lendertherighttoseizebyforeclosuretheproperty
securingtheloaniftheborrowerdefaults
Mortgageloansareoriginatedbybanksand
otherfinancialfirms.
Onceoriginated,amortgageloanmaybeheld,
soldtoaninvestorforcash,orpooledand
securitized.
MortgageLoanTypes
Fixedrate,levelpay(plainvanilla)
Termofloanisfixed(30yearsiscommoninUS)
Contractrateofinterestisfixedforthelifeofthe
loan.
Payments(usuallymonthly)areconstantforthe
termoftheloan
Thepaymentsfullyamortizetheloan.
FHA,conventional,conforming,
nonconforming,jumbo
MortgageLoanTypes
Graduatedpaymentloans(GPMs)
Lowinitialpaymentsandperiodofnegative
amortization
Graduatedequityloans(GEMs)
Fixedcouponwithgrowingpayments
Balloons
Adjustableratemortgages(ARMs)
Variousindexrates
Capsandcollars
MortgageLoanPayments
Thepaymentsonaplainvanillamortgageare
determinedby
i
12
X =P0
12T
i
1(1+ 12)
Initial
principal
Contract
rateof
interest
Mortgage
termin
years
ForExample
Themonthlypaymentsona$187,000loan
writtenat10%for15yearsis
.10
12
X =$187,000
.51
180 =$2,009
.10
1(1+ 12)
InExcel,youcanusethefinancialfunction
PMT(rate,nper,pv,fv,type)
MortgageLoanPayments
Eachpaymentconsistsof
interestequaltoi/12timestheamountofprincipal
owingatthetimethepaymentisdue,and
scheduledprincipalrepayment
Paymentsarecalculatedsuchthattheinterest
dueispaidfirstandthentheremainderofthe
paymentisusedtoreducetheprincipalowed.
Atablelistingthepaymentsandhowtheyare
dividedbetweeninterestandprincipaliscalled
anamortizationschedule.
AmortizationSchedule
Forexample,herearethefirstfewlinesofan
amortizationschedulefora15year,10%fixed
rateloanwithaninitialprincipalof$187,000
Payment
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Due date
1/15/93
2/15/93
3/15/93
4/15/93
5/15/93
6/15/93
7/15/93
8/15/93
9/15/93
Balance
Before
Payment
$187,000.00
$186,548.82
$186,093.88
$185,635.15
$185,172.60
$184,706.20
$184,235.90
$183,761.69
$183,283.53
Payment
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
Interest
$1,558.33
$1,554.57
$1,550.78
$1,546.96
$1,543.11
$1,539.22
$1,535.30
$1,531.35
$1,527.36
Scheduled
Principal
Repayment
$451.18
$454.94
$458.73
$462.55
$466.41
$470.29
$474.21
$478.16
$482.15
Balance
After
Payment
$186,548.82
$186,093.88
$185,635.15
$185,172.60
$184,706.20
$184,235.90
$183,761.69
$183,283.53
$182,801.38
AmortizationSchedule
Abetterwaytovisualizetheamortization
processistolookatagraphofthepayments
$2,500.00
$2,000.00
$1,500.00
Principal
Interest
$1,000.00
$500.00
$0.00
1
23
45
67
89
AmortizationSchedule
Theprincipalbalanceremainingafterany
numberofpaymentscanbedeterminedby
constructinganamortizationscheduleorby
employingtheformula
( T s)
11+ i 12
(
)
12
Ps =P0
12T
( i 12)
11+
AmortizationSchedule
Thelogicofthisformulaisthattheprincipal
balanceremainingafterspaymentsisalways
thepresentvalueoftheremaining12Ts
paymentsdiscountedatthecontractrateof
interest
( T s)
11+ i 12
(
)
12
Ps =P0
12T
( i 12)
11+
AmortizationSchedule
Graphically
Principal Balance Outstanding
$200,000.00
$150,000.00
$100,000.00
Balance Remaining
$50,000.00
$0.00
1
16
31
46
61
76
($50,000.00)
MortgageServicing
Servicing
Collectionandforwardingofpayments
Administrationofescrowaccounts
Servicingfees
Typically50basispoints
Righttoserviceloanissoldbyownerof
mortgageloan
MortgageServicing
Forexample
Payment
1
2
3
4
5
6
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
Payment
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
$2,009.51
Thisservicing
annuityisworth
about$5,450ata
9.5%discount
rate
Servicing
Fee
$77.92
$77.73
$77.54
$77.35
$77.16
$76.96
$8.00
$7.23
$6.45
$5.67
$4.88
$4.08
$3.28
$2.47
$1.65
$0.83
Interest
$1,480.42
$1,476.84
$1,473.24
$1,469.61
$1,465.95
$1,462.26
$152.03
$137.39
$122.63
$107.74
$92.73
$77.59
$62.33
$46.94
$31.42
$15.78
Scheduled
Principal
Repayment
$451.18
$454.94
$458.73
$462.55
$466.41
$470.29
$1,849.48
$1,864.89
$1,880.43
$1,896.10
$1,911.90
$1,927.84
$1,943.90
$1,960.10
$1,976.43
$1,992.90
Balance
After
Payment
$186,548.82
$186,093.88
$185,635.15
$185,172.60
$184,706.20
$184,235.90
$17,354.50
$15,489.61
$13,609.18
$11,713.08
$9,801.17
$7,873.34
$5,929.44
$3,969.34
$1,992.90
($0.00)
Prepayments
Paymentsmadebyborrowersinexcessoftheir
scheduledloanpayments.
Entire(aswhenthehouseissoldorrefinanced)
Partial(acceleratedprincipalrepayment)
Mostprepaymentsareoptionaltotheborrower
putoption
Borrowerincentiveswhenrates
Rise
Fall
ForExample
Consideramortgagethatsbeenoutstanding
fortwoyearsandrateshavefallen2%
Original loan amount:
Term (yrs):
Contract rate of interest:
Monthly payment
Balance after 24 payments
New rate
Value of balance remaining
Benefit of refinancing
New montly payment
$187,000.00
15
10.00%
$2,009.51
$175,067.73
8.00%
$194,517.70
$19,449.97
$1,808.58
Prepayments
Totheextentthatprepaymentscannotbe
perfectlypredicted,theycreateuncertainty
aboutthetermofmortgageloans.
Thisuncertaintyisadisadvantagefromthe
standpointofaninvestor.
Whatsworse:Prepaymentsaremorelikely
whenratesfallandlesslikelywhentheyrise,
soprepaymentriskispositivelycorrelatedwith
interestraterisk
Passthroughs
ThesimplesttypeofMBS
Similarmortgagesarepooledand
Principalandinterestpaymentsarepassedthrough
toinvestors(prorata)
Lessservicingandinsurance(creditenhancement)
fees
Passthroughcashflowsareuncertainbecause
prepaymentsofmortgageswithinthepoolare
uncertain.
Prepaymentmodels
Topriceapassthroughbond,anestimateof
prepaymentsisneeded.
Prepaymentswillaffectthedurationofthebonds
(Canyouseehow?)
Thereareseveralmodelsforestimating
prepayments
However,noneofthesemodelsisdesignedto
describeborrowerresponsetochangesin
interestrates.
CPR
Theconstantprepaymentratemodelassumesa
constantpercentageoftheoutstandingprincipal
willprepayeachmonth.
CPRisanannualratethatcanbetranslatedtoa
singlemonthlymortalityrate(SMM)as
SMM=11CPR
(
)
1
12
AnSMMofz%meansthatz%oftheprincipalremaining
inthepoolafterallscheduledpaymentshavebeenmade
willprepayduringthemonth
CPR
Forexample,aCPRof6%
TranslatestoanSMMof.514%
Soifyouownedapassthroughwitha
beginningofthemonthbalanceof$181,824.99
and$494.30ofscheduledprincipalpayments,
thenprepaymentswouldbepredictedat
.00514
($181,824.99$494.30) =$932.58
PSA
ThePublicSecuritiesAssociationstandard
specifiesthattheCPRis.2%duringthefirst
monthofapool,
Increasesby.2%permonthuntilthe30th
month
Levelsoffat6%fortheremainder.
Prepaymentspeedsarequotedas%ofPSA
Slow:lessthan100%PSA
Fast:greaterthan100%ofPSA
FHAExperience
HUDpublishesdataonFHAinsuredmortgages
thatcanbeusedtoextrapolateprepayment
speeds.
Patternscanbediscernedfordifferenttypesof
pools.
Thepatternforagivenpooltypecanthenbe
usedtoestimateaprepaymentspeedforother
poolsofthattype.
Examplewith165%PSA
$4,000.00
$3,500.00
$3,000.00
$2,500.00
$2,000.00
$1,500.00
$1,000.00
$500.00
$0.00
1
21
41
61
81
EffectofChangingPSA
Impactonduration
Excelspreadsheet