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PLANNING
) CAPACITY :
DEFINITION,
Capacity is the rate of productive capability of a facility. Capacity is usually expressed as volume
of output per time period.
To identify and solve capacity problem in a timely manner to meet consumer needs.
To maintain a balance between required capacity and available capacity.
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
When output increases in an operating system, the system is likely to experience cost advantages on
account several factors. Due the following reasons the average unit cost begins to fall with the rise in
output level
The economies of scale cease to occur beyond a level of production or output. This is called
Diseconomies of scale. There can be several reasons for this:
- Inefficient management due to largeness of operation and resultant lack of coordination.
- Overuse of machineries and break down of material handling equipments
- Over hiring of employees, or excessive overtime.
- Service slowdowns due to increasing complexities
- Increase in quality problems because of mismanagement and lack of focus.
Measure
Output
Automobile manufacturer
Numbers of automobiles
Steel producer
Tones of steel
Power company
Megawatts of electricity
Input
Airline
No. of seats
Hospital
No. of beds
Tax office
No. of accountants
Actual output
Efficiency
Effective capacity
Actual output
Utilization
Design capacity
Both measures expressed in percentage
Medium term
Short term
Time frame
2-5 years
Typically 1 year
1 week to 3 months
Planning premise
Balancing
demand - supply
Maximizing availability;
Efficient use of recourses
Capacity augmentation;
Capital budgeting
exercises
Resource deployment
strategies, Maintenance
routines, Improvement
projects to be undertaken
Investment planning;
Break- even analysis.
Discounted cash flow
techniques; Decision trees
Aggregate production
planning; make or buy
System availability
Number of working days in the planning horizon : Nd
Number of working hours per day : h
System availability (hours) = Nd X h
Resource availability
Number of machine available: NM
Machine time lost in breakdowns and maintenance = b%
Number of workers available = NL
Labour : Absenteeism of workers = a%
Fabrication
Shop
Shearing
unit
Paint Shop
Pressing
unit
Electrical
and wiring
Assembly
and testing
Welding
unit
Hydraulic
Press
CNC Turret
Press
NCC Press
brake
63 tonnes
ECC Press
Denotes
Bottleneck in process
Waste Elimination
Uncover capacity from system by elimination of waste.
Multi-skilling of workforce
Capacity constraints manifest on account of non-availability of skills even when
adequate capacity is available in machines and other resources.
Multi-skilling not only solves the problem of providing each operating unit or a subdivision with the required skills but also increases the flexibility of operating such
units.
In the fabrication shop it would call for proficiency in fitting, welding, shearing etc.
At the supervisory level and shop floor managerial level, it would mean
discharging various manufacturing support functions such as production planning
and control, inventory and stores management and procurement.
Sub-contracting or outsourcing
The logic of sub-contracting decision closely follows make or buy decision.
Firms can react much faster to market requirements by using subcontracting.
Sub-contracting is also very useful for managing peak hour demand.
Factors which influence sub-contracting decision:
1. Primary is the lack of capacity to meet the current demand.
2. The technical intensity and criticality of the item for which the item being
3.
sub - contacted.
Cost When the cost of performing the activity in-house is much higher
then what is available outside.
Sub-contracting or outsourcing
Advantages :
Disadvantages :
Facilities
Product and Service factors
Process factors
Human factors
Policy factors
Operational factors
Supply chain factors
External factors
Long term
Difficult to determine, as future demand and technology are uncertain
Use of Marketing plans, product development and life cycle of product.
Change in process technology also needs to be estimated
Introducti
on
Growth
Maturit
y
Decline
(CONT..)
Economies of scale
If the output rate is less than the optimal level, increasing the output rate results in decreasing average unit costs .
(CONT..)
Diseconomies of scale
If the output rate is more than the optimal level ,increasing the output rate results in
increasing average unit costs.
Reasons for diseconomies of scale :
1.
2.
3.
4.
Distribution costs increases due to traffic congestion and shipping from centralized facility
rather than multiple smaller facilities.
Complexity increases costs
Inflexibility can be an issue
Additional levels of bureaucracy.
= Fixed Cost
VC
TC
= Total Cost
TR
= Total Revenue
= Specified Profit
(CONTD..)
FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
Once the tree is constructed, each branch in the tree is evaluated with
respect to the costs, benefits and uncertainty.
The tree is evaluated from Right to Left. As we move from end towards
beginning, the unattractive portions of the tree are eliminated to arrive at the
final decision.
EXAMPLE
Q= A manufacturer of computer accessories has a capacity of 40,000 pieces
per month. The business strategy group for the company recently
performed a forecasting exercise to assess the emerging demand of the
accessories in the next 5 yrs.
The study revealed that:
40 % probability is of strong growth in demand of accessories.
60% probability of moderate growth in demand
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Options
Cost
Revenue in case of
strong growth
Revenue in case of
moderate growth
Rs 7,50,000
Rs, 8,50,000
Rs 4,00,000
2: Augmenting/
Expanding capacity in
the existing factory
Rs 2,75,000
Rs 5,50,000
Rs 3,00,000
3: Go for subcontracting
Negligible
Rs 3,50,000
Rs 1,80,000
SOLUTION
NODE A
NODE B
DECISION POINT 2
Therefore the best option at this stage is to go for adding new capacity.
NODE C
FINAL RESULT
Since the expected value of Node A is the highest, we go with the decision
of adding new capacity at the beginning itself rather than just debottlenecking or waiting for a year to sense the demand.
D)
RESOURCE PLANNING
Planning methodologies (1960s)- problem of high inventories in manufacturing
organizations.
Process of determining the production capacity required to meet demand.
Capacity- maximum workload in certain time.
(Capacity demand) = inefficiency (minimize).
Types of Inventories:
1.
Operating (material and capacity resources)
2.
Distribution (market consumption)
OPERATIONS PLANNING
capacity
Long-range
>year, general, first, major decisions
Intermediate/medium range
6-18 months, minor changes in
Short range
Few days - few weeks, detailed and
specific.
No uncertainty, dependent
Make availability meet
requirements exactly
100% a necessity, feasible to
achieve
Often lumpy
By production planning
Known with certainty
Very critical, can be estimated
Considerably uncertainty,
independent
For a targeted service level
100% Not feasible
Often continuous
By forecasting
Estimate based on past
consumption
Cannot be answered directly
(b)
BOM
Lot
Sizing
Rule
Net
Lot
Explode
Offset
Lead
Time
Procure
ment
Advantages:
Reduction in inventory.
Increased visibility of items & dependencies.
Inculcate a certain discipline.
Major Problems:
1.
2.
3.
4.
Business Planning
MPS
Forecasting/demand
MRP
Advantage: provide numerous feedback loops,
Management
CRP
closing more and
more gaps
Order entry and
Purchasing
management
Inventory control
Routing
File
(Process
Plan)
CRP
Loading
Schedules
for Each
Resources
Criteria for
Comparison
MRP
CRP
Input
BOM
Routing
MPS
MRP
Inventory
Capacity
Capacity
Status
Lot Sizing
Output
Purchase
Capacity Loading
Work orders
Capacity usage
Organization wide planning system that utilizes a common software and an integrated
database for planning and control purposes.
Mammoth transaction engine common software
Production Planning
Purchasing
Sales and Distribution
Finance and Cost Control
Logistics
Operational (Shop Floor) Control
Accounts Payable/Receivables, Treasury Human Resources
Less expensive, higher customization.
Link various functional areas of business tightly through software.
Cut down cycle time, transaction costs, layers of decision making - improves
responsiveness and flexibility - greater sense of empowerment - better visibility of
information - improved customer service - improved competitiveness.
Similar to the manufacturing situation, one can develop a Bill of Resources [BOR]
in the case of service organizations and employ a similar planning exercise to
schedule service deliveries and associated resources and materials.
E) EQUIPMENT
SELECTION
7: Ease of Preparation
8: Safety
9: Ease of Installation
10: Delivery
11: State of Development
12: Effect on existing organisation
The Standing cost, which is the cost incurred by the equipment installed
and ready for use but not being operated;
The Running cost, which sets down the cost of running the equipment in
order to generate the required products or service.
b)Obsolescence- Loss in the intrinsic value of an asset due to its supersession, and is a result of a reduction in market for the product or service for
which the equipment is intended, a change in the design of equipment, or a
change in legislation.