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Images Source: Setiyono 2015, Soc Trang DARD Seed Center, Vietnam
Tri Setiyono
International Rice Research Institute
Outline
Background
Climate information, crop modeling, and remote sensing
applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling Role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensing-based
Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging
Economies)
Implementation potentials
Background
Rice the staple food of most of the world's poor are
vulnerable to climate shock events such as drought and
flood
Timely and accurate information on rice productivity
On demand to support decision making for food
security and economic development
Can facilitate development of a cost-effective crop
insurance system and effective linkage to social safety
net and other risk transfer measure
Putting farmers in a better position to adopt new
technologies
We can make use of current advances in climate
information, crop simulation modeling, and remote sensing
applications for developing crop monitoring system with
the above interests
Outline
Background
Chronology of climate information, crop modeling,
and remote sensing applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensing-based
Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging
Economies)
Implementation potentials
Pre-Season
In-Season
Post-Season
Climate
Informati
on (CI)
Long-term
forecast
Seasonal
Weather
Forecast
Short-term forecast
Real-time weather
monitoring
Weather monitoring
and evaluation
Remote
Sensing
(RS)
Historical
(baseline)
Real-time crop
monitoring
Real-time crop
monitoring
Crop
Simulatio
n Model
(CSM)
Seasonal
yield forecast
In-season yield
forecast
Post-season yield
estimates
Example
Applicatio
ns
Climate
early warning
(CI)
Impact
outlook
(CI,CSM)
Production
monitoring (CI,
CSM , RS)
Impact confirmation
(CI, CSM, RS)
Pest and Disease
Early Warning
Reducing yield
gaps (CI, CSM, RS),
Disaster impact
assessment &
intervention (CI,
CSM, RS)
Outline
Background
Chronology of climate information, crop modeling, and
remote sensing applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensing-based
Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging
Economies)
Implementation potentials
2003
2004
Cambodia
2013 SEPLandsatLook
06
"Natural Color" Image (USGS)
Cambodia*
2014 SEPLandsatLook
18
"Natural Color" Image (USGS)
Outline
Background
Chronology of climate information, crop modeling, and
remote sensing applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensing-based
Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging
Economies)
Implementation potentials
Management
Fertilizer N
Water
Genotype
Maturity Duration
Crop
Yield
Solar, Temperature
Rainfall, Wind Speed
Soil
Hydraulic properties
Texture, Soil N
Explanatory
500
400
Count
300
200
FN
R
TPD
100
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
-1
Oryza200
0
EXP
TPD
1
TPD
2
TPD
3
Yield (kg ha )
PPD
1
PPD
2
PPD
3
FNR
1
FNR
IRA1
IRA2
IRA3
2
FNR Transplanting
TPD
3
date
PPD Population
density
FNR Fertilizer N rate
IRA Irrigation amount
Outline
Background
Chronology of climate information, crop modeling, and
remote sensing applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensing-based
Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging
Economies)
Implementation potentials
-10
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
8
LAI: CSM
LAI :CSM + RS
LAI ; RS
Yield :CSM
Yield: CSM + RS
Yield :Obs.
6
5
4
3
2
1
180
200
220
240
260
280
Day of Year
Scale:
Field
R
S
Scale:
Spatial
-10
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
-6
6
LAI
Backscatter
-8
-10
4
-12
3
-14
Backscatter (dB)
-20
-16
1
-18
-20
Jun-25
Jul-09
Jul-23
Date
15
ORYZA2000
ORYZA2000
+ RS
Clay Content
>56%
20-56%
<20%
ORYZA2000
+ RS
ORYZA2000
Agronomic
management
Gridded weather data
(NASA power, TRMM)
Remote sensingbased
Information and
Insurance for
Crops in
Outline
Background
Chronology of climate information, crop modeling, and
remote sensing applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensingbased Information and Insurance for Crops in
Emerging Economies)
Implementation potentials
Data
Remote sensing
Technolo
gy
Informati
on
Users
Remote Sensing
Rice area
Ministry of agriculture
Crop modeling
Planting dates
Statistical bureaus
Researchers
Yield gaps
Finance/insurance
Season)
Transplanting
Irrigated
Ciherang , Inpari,
Mekonga, Sintanur
(115)
Ketan, IR42 (135)
RIICE
rice
area
(ha)
Rice
area
accuracy
64533
97%
Site
Period
Cambodia,
Oct to Apr
Takeo
Philippines, May to
Leyte East
Sep
Philippines, May to
Leyte West
Sep
Philippines, May to
A. del Norte
Oct
Vietnam, Soc
Jun to Sep
Trang
Vietnam,
Jul to Nov
Nam Dinh
Indonesia,
Nov to
Subang
Apr
India,
Jul to Jan
Cuddalore
India,
Aug to
Thanjavur
Dec
India,
Sep to Jan
Sivaganga
Thailand,
May to
Muang Yang
Nov
Thailand,
Jun to Oct
Suphan Buri
Philippines,
Jul to Nov
Nueva Ecija
Season
Establishment
Maturity
(days)
Water
source
Irrigated
(IR)
Rice area
(ha)
Accuracy
Dry
Direct seeding
(DS)
95
150,026
85%
Dry
Transplanting (TP)
114
IR
17,817
87%
Dry
TP
110-112
IR
15,229
89%
Dry
TP & DS
107-123
IR & some
rainfed (RF)
13,163
89%
Summerautumn
TP & DS
95-120
IR
55,216
87%
Summer
TP
125-134
IR
108,733
89%
Wet
TP
115-135
IR
64,533
97%
Samba
TP
130-160
IR
26,015
92%
Samba
TP & DS
135-160
IR
83,871
91%
Samba
TP & DS
100-110
Semi-dry
rice
41,825
87%
Wet
DS
150-178
RF
91,908
86%
Wet
DS
92-120
IR
555,317
87%
Wet
TP
114
IR
424,801
86%
DS 2
WS - 11
DS 7
TP - 10
92-178
IR 12
RF 3
1.65M ha
Monitoring System
for Rice Yield
ORYZA2000 + RS
www.riice.
org
Cloud* based semi-empirical model for converting radar backscatter into rice LAI
8
10 0.1 cos
B A ln
cos
BG
LAI
100.1 cos
ln
cos C
BG
0
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
40
BG
20
10 0.1 cos
B A ln
cos 2
BG
LAI
0.1
10
cos
ln
cos C
BG
-20
-40
-40
-20
20
Baseline Values:
LAI = 1.73; = 0.34; = 0.20; BG = 0.045; = 22
40
is backscattering
coefficient at full
canopy
closure, m2 m-2
is coefficient of
attenuation per unit
canopy water, m2
kg-1
BG is
backscattering from
canopy
background,m2 m-2
A, B, and C are
is incident
angle
non-linear
reg.
of
radar beam,
#
coefficients
for LAI vs W.h,
where W is amount
of canopy water (kg
m-3) and h is
canopy height (m)
A = 10.22468
B=0.3379559
C=1.7230986
10 0.1 cos
B A ln
cos 2
BG
LAI
0.1
10
cos
ln
cos C
BG
0
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
Symbols are observed data from Chen & Lin (1994) and Inoue et al. (1995)
*Attema & Ulaby (1978); #Shen et al., 2009
10 0.1 cos
B A ln
cos
BG
LAI
0.1
10
cos
ln
cos C
BG
0
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
Symbols are observed data from Chen & Lin (1994) and Inoue et al. (1995)
*Attema & Ulaby (1978); #Shen et al., 2009
B A ln
cos 2
BG
LAI
0.1
10
cos
ln
cos C
BG
0
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
Symbols are observed data from Chen & Lin (1994) and Inoue et al. (1995)
*Attema & Ulaby (1978); #Shen et al., 2009
Vietnam
Mekong River
Delta
2013
Summer
Autumn
Jun-Sep
End of Season
Sim.
<
Season
Period covered
Yield
Stats
(kg/ha)
Yield
Estimate
Agreement
(%)
Dry
2013 05 to 09
11.11N-124.89E
19
17,817
3829
3645
90
Dry
2013 05 to 09
11.18N-124.56E
15
15,229
3390
3483
91
Summer2013 06 to 09
Autumn
9.60N-106.09E
55,216
5900
5539
90
Summer 2013 07 to 11
20.47N-106.05E
108,733
4818
4376
84
IND Cuddalore
Samba
2013 07 to 2014 01
11.74N-79.56E
26,015
3748
4276
83
IND Thanjavur
Samba
2013 08 to 12
10.87N-79.25E
83,871
4896
4523
85
IND Sivaganga
Samba
2013 09 to 2014 01
9.86N-78.50E
41,825
1827
1753
88
THA N. Ratchasima
Wet
2013 05 to 11
15.44N-102.95E
91,908
2283
2823
81
Wet
2013 05 to 09
14.53N-100.44E
555,317
5270
4941
94
* SAR-based estimates
Municipalities in Nueva
Ecija Province
Yield,
Forecasted
September
Yield,
Forecasted
October
Yield, Estimated
November
Aliaga
Bongabon
Cabanatuan City
Cabiao
Carranglan
Cuyapo
Gabaldon
Gapan City
General Mamerto Natividad
General Tinio
Guimba
Jaen
Laur
Licab
Llanera
Lupao
Muoz City
Nampicuan
Palayan City
Pantabangan
Pearanda
Quezon
Rizal
San Antonio
San Isidro
San Jose City
San Leonardo
Santa Rosa
Santo Domingo
Talavera
Talugtug
Zaragoza
(kg/ha)
6032
5788
5789
5965
5661
5626
5247
5778
5641
4994
5667
6196
5776
5931
5551
5074
5882
5678
5213
4258
5222
5520
5791
5814
6019
5564
4775
5941
5490
5649
5553
6056
(kg/ha)
5662
5635
5524
5864
5072
5424
5250
5495
5287
4822
5436
5613
5549
5696
5290
4921
5507
5423
4852
3923
5148
5592
5516
5535
5676
5302
6000
5679
5418
5424
5198
5745
RIICE
5451
5259
5211
5477
5400
4854
5352
5104
5067
4694
4927
5280
5459
5259
5554
4357
5199
5046
4433
3878
4754
5978
5353
5187
5145
4470
5500
5353
5650
5596
4242
5450
Philippines
Central Luzon
2014
Wet Season
Jul-Nov
Forecast #1
<
Philippines
Central Luzon
2014
Wet Season
Jul-Nov
Forecast #2
<
Outline
Background
Chronology of climate information, crop modeling, and
remote sensing applications
Remote sensing role drought detection
Crop modeling role
Remote sensing role linked to crop modeling
Outputs from the RIICE project (Remote Sensing-based
Information and Insurance for Crops in Emerging
Economies)
Implementation potentials
Potential Implementations
Typhoon damage assessment (Philippines) on
going
Inorganic fertilizer distribution and timing
(Indonesia)
Pest and disease warning system (Vietnam)
To support investment in irrigation infrastructure
(Indonesia)
Development of crop insurance system (Vietnam,
Cambodia, Thailand, India)
Household
food status
Risk &
vulnerabilit
y baseline
Food
security
forecasting
CS
MR
S
Food
production
Food prices
Food
security
monitoring
Emergency
needs
assessmen
t
Acknowledgements
Andy Nelson, Arnel Rala, Emma Quicho, Leo Palao, Prosperidad
Abonete, Alexis Dagmil, Cornelia Garcia, Aileen Maunahan,
Jenny Ravis, Jorrel Aunario, Hannah Bhatti, Lorena Villano, Gene
Romuga (IRRI Philippines)
Francesco Holecz, Massimo Barbieri, Francesco Collivignarelli
(Sarmap SA Switzerland)
Eduardo Jimmy Quilang, Mary Rose Mabalay (PhilRice
Philippines)
Pongmanee Tongbai (IRRI Thailand)
Sellaperumal Pazhanivelan (TNAU India)
Quyen Nguyen Huu (IMHEN Vietnam)
Vo Quang Minh (CanTho Univ. Vietnam)
Seng Vang, Touch Veasna (CARDI Cambodia)
Amornrat Intrman (Rice Dept. Thailand)
Wahyunto (ICALRD, IAARD Indonesia)
Aniruddha Shanbhag , Manoj Yadav(GIZ India)
Mirco Boschetti (CNR-IREA Italy)
Preesan Rakwatin (GISTDA Thailand)
THANK YOU!