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RAROC
Chapter 26
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
Economic Capital
A
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
1.2
X percentile
Capital
0.8
0.6
0.4
Loss over
one year
0.2
0
0
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
-0.2
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
Choice of Parameters
For
Non-Business Risk
(regulatory capital):
Business Risk
(no regulatory capital):
Credit Risk
Market Risk
Operational Risk
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
-6 Gain-4
0.45
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
-2
4 Loss 6
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
10
15
Loss
20
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
Loss
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
Characteristics of Distributions
(Table 26.1, page 497)
Second
Moment
(Variance)
Third
Moment
(Skewness)
Zero
Fourth
Moment
(Kurtosis)
Low
Credit Risk
Operational
Risk
Low
High
High
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
10
Interactions of Risks
Credit
Risk
LGD and PD
depend on
market value
Market
Risk
Operationa
l
Risk
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
11
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
12
total
i 1 j 1
ij
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
13
Business
Unit 2
Market Risk
30
40
Credit Risk
70
80
Operational Risk
30
90
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
14
Correlations
Market
15
16
Alternatives
Allocate
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
17
12,013
Market Risk
12,738
Operational Risk
Diversification benefits
5,253
(4,515)
Business Risk
1,682
27,171
300,369
12.8%
16.9%
18.5%
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
18
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
19
20
.IR
0
2
5
1
0
.
0
1
.
0
7
1
0
A
O
C
2
%
4
f04s.8k
inte
r2sa%
onithe%
consm
ibecoapitlsncludeandthe
Example continued
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
21
Ex-ante vs Ex-post
RAROC was originally suggested as a tool to be
used on an ex-ante basis. This means that we
have to forecast the expected loss
It is then used as a tool to allocate capital to the
most profitable parts of the business
It is also sometimes used on an ex-post basis
for performance evaluation. Realized loss then
replaces expected loss
Risk Management and Financial Institutions 4e, Chapter 26, Copyright John C. Hull 2015
22