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2014440908
Decision Making Methods and Analysis (UDM 713)
Master of Science in Urban Development and Management
Faculty of Architecture, Planning and Surveying
INTRODUCTION
Originally developed by Professor Thomas L. Saaty in 1970s when he was a professor at
Wharton Business School
involves evaluating all possible qualitative and quantitative criteria/factors in choosing the best
alternatives
widely applied to human fields such as resources allocation, project design,
planning for urban development, maintenance management, policy
evaluation etc
Decompose decision making problem into hierarchy of criteria and alternatives. From more
general to more detailed and specific (top to bottom)
Develop scale or weightage for pair wise comparison (assigning judgement on scale)
Pair wise comparison to determine the relative importance of one criteria over the other criteria.
Saaty has constructed the Ratio Index which is assigned according to the
number of criteria or alternatives under consideration
PROCEDURES OF AHP
Objective
Criteria
Alternatives
Set up a scale
1 3 = 0.333
+
n = 4 criteria being evaluated
(0.429 + 0.375 + 0.364 + 0.500) 4 = 0.333
Objective
1.000
Criteria
Alternatives
Public
Transport
0.417
Location A
Location B
Location C
Employment
Opportunity
0.121
Public School
0.193
Location A
Location B
Location C
Location A
Location B
Location C
Facilities &
Amenities
0.269
Location A
Location B
Location C
+
Location A is 2 times
better than Location B
Location A is 5 times
better than Location C
+
Location A is 3 times
better than Location C
Location B is 2 times
better than Location C
Objective
1.000
Criteria
Public
Transport
0.417
Alternatives
Location A: 0.633
Location B: 0.260
Location C: 0.106
Employment
Opportunity
0.121
Location A: 0.500
Location B: 0.297
Location C: 0.164
Facilities &
Amenities
0.269
Public School
0.193
Location A: 0.595
Location B: 0.277
Location C: 0.129
Location A: 0.589
Location B: 0.252
Location C: 0.159
Transfer figures from the hierarchy into matrix form and get overall ranking
Public
Transport
Employment
Opportunities
Public
Schools
Facilities &
Amenities
Criteria
Ranking
Eigenvector
Location A
0.633
0.539
0.595
0.589
0.417
0.602
Location B
0.260
0.297
0.276
0.252
0.121
0.265
Location C
0.107
0.164
0.119
0.159
0.193
0.132
0.269
1.000
CONCLUSION: Location A is
the best location to be
considered
for
the
development of affordable
housing since it obtains
highest
ranking
after
considering all criteria.
Overall Ranking
1.000
= (0.633 x 0.417) + (0.539 x 0.121) + (0.595 x 0.193) + (0.589 x 0.269)
= 0.602
Normalized Cost
Overall
Ranking/Normalized Cost
= Cost To Benefit Ratio
Location A
15,000,000
0.288
Location B
25,000,000
0.481
Location C
12,000,000
0.231
52,000,000
1.0000
CONCLUSION: Location A is the best location after considering the cost benefit ratio
i.e. the highest cost to benefit ratio is the best option in decision making
Extracted after a review of the foreign literature and the urban design guidelines published by the
local government for achieving sustainable development
Its validity and reliability have been verified and confirmed by more than 70 scholars in a
discussion forum
Source: The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) Approach
for Assessment of Urban Renewal Proposals
Grace K. L. Lee Edwin H. W. Chan
FINDINGS
Disadvantages
THE END