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Fundamentals of Corporate

Finance
by
Robert Parrino, Ph.D. & David S. Kidwell, Ph.D.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

CHAPTER 10
The Fundamentals of
Capital Budgeting

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Outline
Introduction to Capital Budgeting
Net Present Value
The Payback Period
Accounting Rate of Return
Internal Rate of Return
Capital Budgeting in Practice

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
The Importance of Capital Budgeting
Capital-budgeting decisions are the most important

investment decisions made by management.


The goal of these decisions is to select capital

projects that will increase the value of the firm.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.1: Key Reasons


for Making Capital
Expenditures

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
The Importance of Capital Budgeting
Capital investments are important because they

involve substantial cash outlays and, once made,


are not easily reversed.
Capital-budgeting techniques help management

to systematically analyze potential business


opportunities in order to decide which are worth
undertaking.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Sources of Information
Most of the information needed to make capital-

budgeting decisions is generated internally, likely


beginning with the sales force.
Then the production team is involved, followed by

the accountants.
All this information is then reviewed by the

financial managers who evaluate the feasibility of


the project.
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Classification of Investment Projects
Capital budgeting projects can be broadly classified

into three types.


1. Independent projects
2. Mutually exclusive projects
3. Contingent projects

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Classification of Investment Projects
1. Independent Projects
Projects are independent when their cash

flows are unrelated.


If two projects are independent, accepting or
rejecting one project has no bearing on the
decision for the other.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Classification of Investment Projects
2. Mutually Exclusive Projects
When two projects are mutually exclusive,

accepting one automatically precludes the


other.
Mutually exclusive projects typically perform

the same function.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Classification of Investment Projects
3. Contingent Projects
Contingent projects are those where the

acceptance of one project is dependent on


another project.
There are two types of contingency situations

1. Projects that are mandatory.


2. Projects that are optional.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Basic Capital-Budgeting Terms
The cost of capital is the minimum return that a

capital-budgeting project must earn for it to be


accepted.

It is an opportunity cost since it reflects the rate of

return investors can earn on financial assets of


similar risk.
Capital rationing implies that a firm does not have

the resources necessary to fund all of the


available projects.
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Introduction to Capital
Budgeting
Basic Capital-Budgeting Terms
Capital rationing implies that funding needs exceed

funding resources.

Thus, the available capital will be allocated to the

projects that will benefit the firm and its


shareholders the most.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


Net Present Value (NPV)
It is a capital-budgeting technique that is consistent

with goal of maximizing shareholder wealth.


The method estimates the amount by which the

benefits or cash flows from a project exceeds the


cost of the project in present value terms.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.2: Sample


Worksheet for Net Present
Value Analysis

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


Valuation of Real Assets
Valuing real assets calls for the same steps as

valuing financial assets.


Estimate future cash flows.
Determine the investors cost of capital or

required rate of return.


Calculate the present value of the future

cash flows.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


Valuation of Real Assets
However, there are some practical difficulties in

following the process for real assets.


First, cash-flow estimates have to be prepared

in house and are not readily available as they


for financial assets in legal contracts.
Second, estimates of required rates of
return are more difficult than estimates of
financial assets because no market data is
available for real assets.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


NPV The Basic Concept
The present value of a project is the difference between the present

value of the expected future cash flows and the initial cost of the project.

Accepting a positive NPV project leads to an

increase in shareholder wealth, while accepting a


negative NPV project leads to a decline in
shareholder wealth.
Projects that have an NPV equal to zero implies
that management will be indifferent between
accepting and rejecting the project.
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


Framework for Calculating NPV
The NPV technique uses the discounted cash flow

technique.

Our goal is to compute the net cash flow (NCF)

for each time period t, where:


NCFt = (Cash inflows Cash outflows)
for the period t

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Exhibit 10.3: Pocket Pizza


Project Timeline and Cash
Flows

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Exhibit 10.4: Pizza Dough


Project Timeline and Cash
Flows

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


A five-step approach can be utilized to compute the NPV
1.Determine the cost of the project.
Identify and add up all expenses related to the

cost of the project.


While we are mostly looking at projects whose
entire cost occurs at the start of the project, we
need to recognize that some projects may have
costs occurring beyond the first year also.
The cash flow in year 0 (NCF0) is negative,
indicating a cost.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


A five-step approach can be utilized to compute the NPV
2.Estimate the projects future cash flows over its
forecasted life.
Both cash inflows (CIF) and cash outflows

(COF) are likely in each year of the project.


Estimate the net cash flow (NCFt) = CIFt COFt
for each year of the project.
Remember to recognize any salvage value

from the project in its terminal year.


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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


A five-step approach can be utilized to compute the NPV
3.Determine the riskiness of the project and estimate
the appropriate cost of capital.
The cost of capital is the discount rate used in

determining the present value of the future


expected cash flows.
The riskier the project, the higher the cost of

capital for the project.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


A five-step approach can be utilized to compute the NPV
4.Compute the projects NPV.
Determine the difference between the present

value of the expected cash flows from the


project and the cost of the project.
5. Make a decision.
Accept the project if it produces a positive NPV
or reject the project if NPV is negative.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


NPV Equation

NCF1 NCF2
NCFn
NPV NCF0

...
2
1 k (1 k)
(1 k) n
n

(10.1)

NCFt

t
(1

k)
t 0

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


NPV Example
Find the net present value of the example in Exhibit 10.3.

$80
$80
$80
$80
$(80 30)
NPV -$300

1.15 (1.15)2 (1.15)3 (1.15)4


(1.15)5
- $300 - $69.58 60.49 52.60 $45.74 $54.69
-$16.91

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


NPV Example - Financial Calculator Solution
Enter

15

Answer

PV

80

30

PMT

FV

-283.09

NPV $283.09 $300.00 $16.91

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Using Excel - Net Present


Value

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


Concluding Comments on NPV
Beware of optimistic estimates of future cash flows.
Recognize that the estimates going into calculating

NPV are estimates and not market data. Estimates


based on informed judgments are considered
acceptable.
The NPV method of determining project viability is

the recommended approach for making capital


investment decisions.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Net Present Value


Concluding Comments on NPV
The NPV decision criteria can be summed up as

follows:

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


The Payback Period
It is one of the most widely used tools for evaluating

capital projects.

The payback period represents the number of years

it takes for the cash flows from a project to recover


the projects initial investment.
A project is accepted if its payback period is below
some pre-specified threshold.
This technique can serve as a risk indicatorthe
more quickly you recover the cash, the less risky
is the project.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


Computing the Payback Period
To compute the payback period, we need to know

the projects cost and estimate its future net cash


flows.

Equation 10.2 shows how to compute the payback

period.

Remaining cost to recover


PB Years before cost recovery
(10.2)
Cash flow during the year

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.5: Payback


Period Cash Flows and
Calculations

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


Payback Period Example
Calculate the payback period for the example in
Exhibit 10.5.

$70,000 - $60,000
PB 2 years
$20,000
$10,000
2 years
$20,000
2 years 0.5
2.5 years
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


Computing the Payback Period
There is no economic rationale that links the

payback method to shareholder wealth


maximization.

If a firm has a number of projects that are mutually

exclusive, the projects are selected in order of their


payback rank: projects with the lowest payback
period are selected first.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


How the Payback Period Performs
The payback period analysis can lead to

erroneous decisions because the rule does not


consider cash flows after the payback period.

A rapid payback does not necessarily mean a good

investment. See Exhibit 10.6 Projects D and E.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.6: Payback


Period with Various CashFlow Patterns

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


The Discounted Payback Period
One of the weaknesses of the ordinary payback

period is that it does not take into account the time


value of money.

The discounted payback period calculation calls

for the future cash flows to be discounted by the


firms cost of capital.
The major advantage of the discounted payback

is that it tells management how long it takes a


project to reach a positive NPV.
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.7: Discounted


Payback Period Cash Flows
and Calculations

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


The Discounted Payback Period
However, this method still ignores all cash flows

after the arbitrary cutoff period, which is a major


flaw.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


Evaluating the Payback Rule
The standard payback period is widely used in

business.

It provides a simple measure of an investments

liquidity risk.
The greatest advantage of the payback period is
its simplicity.
It ignores the time value of money.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


Evaluating the Payback Rule
It does not adjust or account for differences in the

overall, or total, risk for a project, which could


include operating, financing, and foreign exchange
risk.

The biggest weakness of either the standard or

discounted payback methods is their failure to


consider cash flows after the payback.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Payback Period


Evaluating the Payback Rule
The table below summarizes this capital-

budgeting technique:

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Accounting Rate of


Return
The Accounting Rate of Return
It is sometimes called the book rate of return.

This method computes the return on a capital

project using accounting numbersthe projects


net income (NI) and book value (BV) rather than
cash flow data.
The most common definition is the one given in
the equation below.
Average net income
ARR =
Average book value
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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(10.3)
Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

The Accounting Rate of


Return
The Accounting Rate of Return
It has a number of major flaws as a tool for
evaluating capital expenditure decisions.
First, the ARR is not a true rate of return. ARR
simply gives us a number based on average
figures from the income statement and
balance sheet.
It ignores the time value of money.
There is no economic rationale that links a
particular acceptance criterion to the goal of
maximizing shareholders wealth.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Internal Rate of Return
The IRR is an important and legitimate alternative

to the NPV method.

The NPV and IRR techniques are similar in that

both depend on discounting the cash flows from a


project.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Internal Rate of Return
When we use the IRR, we are looking for the rate

of return associated with a project so we can


determine whether this rate is higher or lower
than the firms cost of capital.
The IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV
to equal zero.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Calculating the IRR
The IRR is an expected rate of return, much like
the yield to maturity calculation that was made on
bonds.
We will need to apply the same trial-and-error
method to compute the IRR.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.8: Time Line and


Cash Flows for Ford Project

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Calculating the IRR Financial Calculator Solution
Find the IRR of the cash flows in Exhibit 10.8 using
a financial calculator.
Enter

N
Answer

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

-560

240

PV

PMT

FV

13.7

51

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Using Excel - Internal Rate of


Return

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


When IRR and NPV Methods Agree
The two methods will always agree when the
projects are independent and the projects cash
flows are conventional.
After the initial investment is made (cash outflow),
all the cash flows in each future year are positive
(inflows).

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.9: NPV Profile for


the Ford Project

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


When IRR and NPV Methods Disagree
The IRR and NPV methods can produce different
accept/reject decisions if a project either has
unconventional cash flows or the projects are
mutually exclusive.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Unconventional Cash Flows
Unconventional cash flows could follow several
different patterns.
A positive initial cash flow followed by
negative future cash flows.
Future cash flows from a project could include

both positive and negative cash flows.


A cash flow stream that looks similar to a

conventional cash flow stream except for a


final negative cash flow.
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Unconventional Cash Flows
In these circumstances, the IRR technique can

provide more than one solution. This makes the


result unreliable and should not be used in deciding
about accepting or rejecting a project.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.10: NPV Profile for


Gold-Mining Operation

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Mutually Exclusive Projects
When you are comparing two mutually exclusive

projects, the NPVs of the two projects will equal each


other at a certain discount rate. This point at which
the NPVs intersect is called the crossover point.
Depending upon whether the required rate of return
is above or below this crossover point, the ranking of
the projects will be different. While it is easy to
identify the superior project based on the NPV, one
cannot do this based on the IRR. Thus, ranking
conflicts can arise.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Internal Rate of Return


Mutually Exclusive Projects
A second situation involves comparing projects with

different costs. While IRR gives you a return based


on the dollar invested, it does not recognize the
difference in the size of the investments. NPV does!

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Exhibit 10.11: NPV Profiles


for Two Mutually Exclusive
Projects

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Modified Internal Rate of


Return
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
A major weakness of the IRR compared to the NPV

method is the reinvestment rate assumption.


IRR assumes that the cash flows from the
project are reinvested at the IRR, while the
NPV assumes that they are invested at the
firms cost of capital.
This optimistic assumption in the IRR method
leads to some projects being accepted when
they should not be.
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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Modified Internal Rate of


Return
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
An alternative technique is the modified internal rate of return (MIRR). Here,

each operating cash flow is reinvested at the firms cost of capital.

The compounded values are summed up to get

the projects terminal value.


The MIRR is the interest rate which equates the

projects cost to the terminal value at the end of


the project.
Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Modified Internal Rate of


Return
Equation 10.5 shows how to calculate the MIRR.

PV(Cost of the project) PV(Cash flows)


PVCost PVTV
TV
PVCost
(1 MIRR)n

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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(10.5)

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Modified Internal Rate of


Return

MIRR example

Calculate the MIRR of the project described in


Exhibit 10.8.
TV = $240(1.12)2 + $240(1.12) + $240 = $809.86
$809.86
$560 =
(1+MIRR)3
$809.86
3
(1+MIRR) =
= 1.4462
$560
1
(1.4462) 3

(1+MIRR) =
= 1.1309
MIRR = 0.1309,or 13.09%
65

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

IRR versus NPV: A Final


Comment
IRR versus NPV: A Final Comment
While the IRR has an intuitive appeal to managers

because of the output being in the form of a return,


the technique has some critical problems.
On the other hand, decisions made based on the

projects NPV are consistent with goal of


shareholder wealth maximization. In addition, the
result shows the management the dollar amount
by which each project is expected to increase the
value of the firm.
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IRR versus NPV: A Final


Comment
IRR versus NPV: A Final Comment
For these reasons, the NPV method should be used

to make capital-budgeting decisions.

The table below summarizes the IRR decision-

making criteria:

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Capital Budgeting in
Practice
Practitioners Methods of Choice
Exhibit 10.12 summarizes surveys of practitioners on

the capital-budgeting methods of choice.

There has been significant changes in the

techniques financial managers use.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Exhibit 10.12: CapitalBudgeting Techniques Used


by Business Firms

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Capital Budgeting in
Practice
Practitioners Methods of Choice
Now, there is better alignment between practitioners

and the academic community.


Many financial managers use multiple capital

budgeting tools.

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

Capital Budgeting in
Practice
Ongoing and Post-audit Reviews
Management should systematically review the status

of all ongoing capital projects and perform postaudits on all completed capital projects.
In a post-audit review, management compares the

actual results of a project with what was projected


in the capital-budgeting proposal.
A post-audit examination would determine why
the project failed to achieve its expected
financial goals.
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Capital Budgeting in
Practice
Ongoing and Post-audit Reviews
Managers should also conduct ongoing reviews of

capital projects in progress.


The review should challenge the business
plan, including the cash flow projections and
the operating cost assumptions.
Management must also evaluate people
responsible for implementing a capital project.

Chapter 10 The Fundamentals of Capital Budgeting

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Copyright 2008 John Wiley & Sons

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