CRITICAL APPRAISAL

EBM PROGNOSIS II
KELOMPOK A13
GASTROINTESTINAL SYSTEM
2012

Immediate and Late Benefits of Treating Very Elderly

People with Hypertension : Results from Active Treatment
Extension to Hypertension in the Very Elderly
Randomised Controlled Trial

N Beckett, R Peters, J Tuomilehto, C Swift, P

Sever, J Potter, T McCormack, F Forette, B GillExtremera, D Dumitrascu, J A Staessen, L Thijs,
A Fletcher, C Bulpitt for the HYVET group.
BMJ Research January 4, 2012.

ABSTRACT
Objective
To

assess if very elderly people with hypertension obtain early benefit from
antihypertensive treatment.

Design
One

year open label active treatment extension of randomized controlled trial

(Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial [HYVET])

Setting
Hospital

and general practice based centers mainly in eastern and western

Europe, China and Tunisia.

Participants
People on double blind treatment at the end of HYVET were eligible to enter the

extension.
Intervention
Participants on active blood pressure lowering treatment continued taking active drug;

those on placebo were given active blood pressure lowering treatment. The treatment
regimen was as used in the main trial indapamide SR 1,5mg (plus perindopril 2-4mg if
required) with the same target blood pressure of less than 150/80mmHg.

ABSTRACT
Main Outcome Measures
The primary outcome was all stroke; other outcomes included total mortality,

cardiovascular mortality and cardiovascular events.

Results
Of 1882 people eligible for entry to the extension, 1712 (91%) agreed to

participate. During the extension period , 1682 patients years was accrued. By
six months, the difference in blood pressure between the two groups was
1.2/0.7mmHg. Comparing people previously treated with active drug and
those previously on placebo, no significant differences were seen for stroke
(n=13; hazard ratio 1.92; 95%CO ,0.59 to 6.22) or cardiovascular events
(n=25, 0.78, 0.36 to 1.72). Differences were seen for total mortality (47
deaths; hazard ratio 0.48, 0.26 to 0.87, P=0.02) and cardiovascular mortality
(11 deaths; 0.19, 0.04 to 0.87; P=0.03)
Conclusions
Very elderly patients with hypertension may gain immediate benefit from

treatment. Sustained differences in reductions of total mortality and

cardiovascular mortality reinforce the benefits and support the need from
early and long term treatment.

EBM PROGNOSIS WORKSHEET

Validity Importance - Applicability

Are the results of the study

valid?
EBM Prognosis Worksheet - Validity

Was the defined representative

sample of patients assembled
at a common (usually early)
point in the course of their
disease?

Yes.

Was patient follow-up

sufficiently long and complete?

The follow-up was not long enough,

but complete.

Were outcome criteria either

objective or applied in a blind
fashion ?

Yes.

If subgroups with different

prognoses are identified, did
adjustment for important
prognostic factors take place?

Yes.

Was there validation in an

independent group ("test set")
of patients?

Yes.

Are the valid results of this

randomized trial important ?
EBM Prognosis Worksheet - Importance

How likely are the outcomes

over time ?

The outcomes will be better.

How precise is the prognostic

estimated ?

Very precise.

Calculation

N =924
P = 17/924 = 0.018 = 1.8%
SE = 0.46%
95% CI = 1,076% to 2,644%

CAN YOU APPLY THIS VALID, IMPORTANT

EVIDENCE ABOUT PROGNOSIS IN CARING
FOR YOUR PATIENT ?
EBM PROGNOSIS WORKSHEET - APPLICABILITY

Is our patient so different from

those in the study that its
results cannot apply ?
No.

Will this evidence make a

clinically important impact on
my conclusions about what to
offer to tell my patients ?
Yes.

Thank you!