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P Sever (Co-chair), B Dahlf (Co-chair), N Poulter (Secretary),

H Wedel (Statistician), G Beevers, M Caulfield, R Collins,


SE Kjeldsen, A Kristinsson, J Mehlsen, G McInnes, M Nieminen,
E OBrien, J stergren
On behalf of the ASCOT Investigators

Rationale
CHD incidence remains a major unresolved problem
in BP management
High prevalence of dyslipidaemia in hypertensive
patients
Combinations of risk factors synergistic for CHD
No trial has specifically addressed benefits
of lipid lowering in primary prevention of CHD in
hypertensive patients not conventionally deemed
dyslipidaemic

Sever PS, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. J Hypertens. 2001;19:1139-1147


Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Rationale
The Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes
Trial (ASCOT) is a multicentre, international trial,
which involves 2 treatment comparisons in a
factorial design
A prospective, randomized, open, blinded
end point (PROBE) design comparing
2 antihypertensive regimens
A double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of a
lipid-lowering agent in a subsample of those hypertensive
patients studied (lipid-lowering
arm [LLA])

Sever PS, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. J Hypertens. 2001;19:1139-1147

Lipid-Lowering Arm (LLA)


Primary Objective

To compare the effects on the combined outcome of


nonfatal MI (including silent MI) and fatal CHD of
atorvastatin 10 mg with those of placebo in
hypertensive patients with TC levels of 6.5 mmol/L
(250 mg/dL)

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Secondary and Tertiary End Points


Secondary

Tertiary

Primary outcome without silent MI


All-cause mortality
CV mortality
Fatal + nonfatal stroke
Fatal + nonfatal heart failure
Total coronary end points
All CV events and procedures

Silent MI
Unstable angina
Chronic stable angina
Peripheral vascular disease
Development of diabetes
Development of renal
impairment
Major study end points in
specific subpopulations

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Sample Size and Statistical Power (LLA)


Primary End Point: Nonfatal MI and Fatal CHD
Cholesterol reduction with statin

30%

Relative effect on end point of statin vs placebo

30%

Cumulative end point rate on placebo for 5 years

6.35%

Significance level

1%

Power

90%

Total sample size

9000

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Patient Population: LLA


Eligibility criteria
SBP 160 mm Hg and/or DBP 100 mm Hg
(untreated) or SBP 140 mm Hg and/or
DBP 90 mm Hg (treated)
TC 6.5 mmol/L (250 mg/dL) and TGs 4.5 mmol/L
(400 mg/dL)
40-79 years of age
3+ CVD risk factors
No history of CHD

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

ASCOT Study Design


R = Randomized

18,000 patients

R
9000 -blocker
diuretic
5000 TC 6.5 mmol/L
(250 mg/dL)
500
open lipid
lowering

2250
statin

9000 CCB ACEI

4000 TC >6.5 mmol/L


(>250 mg/dL)

4000 TC >6.5 mmol/L


(>250 mg/dL)

5000 TC 6.5 mmol/L


(250 mg/dL)

4500

4500

R
2250
placebo

8000
open lipid lowering

Sever PS, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. J Hypertens. 2001;19:1139-1147

2250
placebo

500
open lipid
lowering

2250
statin

Therapeutic Interventions
and Targets (LLA)

Atorvastatin 10 mg vs placebo
No fixed lipid-lowering target

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Recruitment: February 1998 May


718 centers, including 686 general2000
practices in Denmark, Finland, Iceland,
Norway, and Sweden and 32 regional centres in Ireland and the UK

2229
876

1314

1031

4855

Total = 10,305
Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Baseline Characteristics
Characteristic

Atorvastatin (n=5168)

Placebo (n=5137)

Age* (years)

63.1 8.5

63.2 8.6

Male (%)

81.1

81.3

Caucasian (%)

94.6

94.7

SBP* (mm Hg)

164.2 17.7

164.2 18.0

DBP* (mm Hg)

95.0 10.3

95.0 10.3

TC* (mmol/L [mg/dL])

5.5 0.8 (213 31)

5.5 0.8 (213 31)

LDL-C* (mmol/L [mg/dL])

3.4 0.7 (131 27)

3.4 0.7 (131 27)

TG* (mmol/L [mg/dL])

1.7 0.9 (150 80)

1.6 0.9 (142 80)

HDL-C* (mmol/L [mg/dL])

1.3 0.4 (50 27)

1.3 0.4 (50 27)

Number of risk factors*

3.7 0.9

3.7 0.9

*Mean SD

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

ASCOT LLA: Patient Population


Risk Factor Profile
All patients in ASCOT have hypertension plus 3 risk factors for CHD

Patients with risk factor (%)


Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Lipid arm closure


The DSMB in September 2002 reported that in the
lipid arm of ASCOT there was a highly significant
reduction in the primary end point as well as a
significant reduction in stroke
The DSMB recommended that the double-blind
cholesterol lowering study treatment arm be
terminated since the results were outside of
the stopping rules of the trial
The Steering Committee endorsed the
recommendation of the DSMB, and the lipid arm
was closed after a median follow-up period of
3.3 years
Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

ASCOT LLA: Patient


Inclusion and Follow-Up Status
19,342 patients randomized to
antihypertensive treatment

10,305 randomized in
lipid-lowering arm

5168 atorvastatin

4928 alive with


complete information

185 dead with


complete information

5137 placebo

4861 alive with


complete information

Incomplete information:
39 alive after 1st Oct 2002
4 alive before 1st Oct 2002
5 withdrew consent
7 lost to follow-up

212 dead with


complete information

Incomplete information:
42 alive after 1st Oct 2002
3 alive before 1st Oct 2002
9 withdrew consent
10 lost to follow-up

Complete information obtained on 98.8% of patients


Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

ASCOT Statistical Methods


Based on an Intention-to-Treat Analysis
Time to first primary event
Log-Rank Procedure and Coxs Proportional Hazards
were used to calculate confidence intervals
Cumulative Incidence Curves generated by using the
Kaplan-Meier method

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Blood Pressure Changes


Atorvastatin 10 mg

SBP (mm Hg)

170

Placebo
Baseline 164/95
Treated 138/80

160
150
140
130

Close-out

3 Close-out

DBP (mm Hg)

100
95
90
85
80
75
Years
Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Reductions in Total and LDL Cholesterol


Total cholesterol
(mmol/L)

1.3 mmol/L

Placebo
200

1.0 mmol/L

150

(mg/dL)

Atorvastatin 10 mg

100
2
1

150
125

1.2 mmol/L

1.0 mmol/L

100

75

1
0

Years

Close-out

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

(mg/dL)

LDL cholesterol
(mmol/L)

4 0

Primary End Point: Nonfatal MI


and Fatal CHD
Cumulative Incidence (%)

Atorvastatin 10 mg

Number of events

100

Placebo

Number of events

154

36%
reduction

HR = 0.64 (0.50-0.83)
0
0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

Years

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

p=0.0005

Secondary End Point: Fatal


and Nonfatal Stroke
Cumulative Incidence (%)

Atorvastatin 10 mg

Number of events

89

Placebo

Number of events

121

27%
reduction

HR = 0.73 (0.56-0.96)
0
0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

Years

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

p=0.0236

Secondary End Point:


All CV Events and Procedures

Cumulative Incidence (%)

12

Atorvastatin 10 mg

Number of events

389

Placebo

Number of events

486

10

21%
reduction

8
6
4
HR= 0.79 (0.69-0.90)

2
0
0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

Years
Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

p=0.0005

Secondary Endpoint: All Coronary Events

Cumulative Incidence (%)

Atorvastatin 10 mg

Number of events

178

Placebo

Number of events

247

29%
reduction

5
4
3
2

HR=0.71 (0.59-0.86)

1
0
0,0

0,5

1,0

1,5

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

Years
Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

p=0.0005

End Points
Risk Ratio

Primary End Points


Nonfatal MI (incl silent) + fatal CHD
Secondary End Points
Total CV events and procedures
Total coronary events
Nonfatal MI (excl silent) + fatal CHD
All-cause mortality
Cardiovascular mortality
Fatal and nonfatal stroke
Fatal and nonfatal heart failure

Hazard Ratio

0.64 (0.50-0.83)
0.79 (0.69-0.90)
0.71 (0.59-0.86)
0.62 (0.47-0.81)
0.87 (0.71-1.06)
0.90 (0.66-1.23)
0.73 (0.56-0.96)
1.13 (0.73-1.78)

Tertiary End Points


Silent MI
Unstable angina
Chronic stable angina
Peripheral arterial disease
Development of diabetes mellitus
Development of renal impairment

0.82 (0.40-1.66)
0.87 (0.49-1.57)
0.59 (0.38-0.90)
1.02 (0.66-1.57)
1.15 (0.91-1.44)
1.29 (0.76-2.19)
Atorvastatin better
0.5

Placebo better
1.0

1.5

Area of squares is proportional to the amount of statistical information


Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Pre-specified Subgroups: Primary End Point


Risk Ratio
Diabetes
Nondiabetes
Current smoker
Noncurrent smoker
Obese
Nonobese
LVH
No LVH
Older (>60 years)
Younger (60 years)
Female
Male
Previous vascular disease
No previous vascular disease
Renal dysfunction
No renal dysfunction
With metabolic syndrome
Without metabolic syndrome

Hazard Ratio
0.84 (0.55-1.29)
0.56 (0.41-0.77)
0.56 (0.37-0.85)
0.70 (0.51-0.96)
0.59 (0.39-0.90)
0.67 (0.49-0.92)
0.67 (0.35-1.29)
0.64 (0.49-0.84)
0.64 (0.47-0.86)
0.66 (0.41-1.06)
1.10 (0.57-2.12)
0.59 (0.44-0.77)
0.80 (0.45-1.42)
0.61 (0.46-0.81)
0.61 (0.44-0.84)
0.70 (0.47-1.04)
0.77 (0.52-1.12)
0.56 (0.40-0.79)

All patients

0.64 (0.50-0.83)

Atorvastatin better
0.5

Placebo better
1.0

1.5

Area of squares is proportional to the amount of statistical information


Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Safety Evaluations
Numbers of non-CV deaths were similar
(111 atorvastatin, 130 placebo)
No significant difference between atorvastatin
and placebo in:
Incidence of fatal cancers
Incidence of serious adverse events
Incidence of liver enzyme abnormalities

1 nonfatal case of rhabdomyolysis in a patient


receiving atorvastatin (causation confounded by
alcohol abuse and recent febrile illness)

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Summary and Conclusions


In hypertensive patients at modest risk of CHD,
atorvastatin is associated with a highly significant
reduction in the primary end point of CHD,
together with significant reductions in the
secondary end points of stroke, all cardiovascular
events and procedures, and total coronary events
These reductions in major cardiovascular events
are large given the short follow-up time and
occurred earlier than in many other statin trials
There was no significant heterogeneity among
pre-specified subgroups

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

Summary and Conclusions (continued)


Risk reductions in CHD events were unrelated to
baseline cholesterol levels and were consistent across
the whole range of cholesterol
Were the trial to have continue to its planned duration
of 5 years, it is estimated that atorvastatin would have
reduced CHD incidence by approximately 50%
Benefits occurred in the absence of any increased risk
of non-cardiovascular disease, including fatal cancer
These findings have implications for future lipid-lowering
guidelines, particularly with reference to hypertensive
patients

Sever PS, Dahlf B, Poulter N, Wedel H, et al, for the ASCOT Investigators. Lancet. 2003;361:1149-58

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