Connie White Murray Turoff Roxanne Hiltz

Jacksonville State University New Jersey Institute of Technology

Jacksonville, Alabama, USA Newark, New jersey, USA
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How to
make better
decisions
managing
disasters


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 Internet
Access
 Browser ² pc
or smart
phone
 Collaboration
 Collective
Intelligence

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 Not all members have to participate in order
for results to be ongoing, real time and
reflected.
 System can be used by members anytime
 System can be used from anywhere there is the
Internet and a browser- Android phone
 Moderator can change who is in the group and
modify the individual·s privileges.

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 Anonymity
Voting is anonymous
Item creation is anonymous
 Individual input results in a single group opinion
Users enter opinions as independent ranked list
Sub-item selection, muddling through
 Feedback
Scale of results
9 Visual Interpretation of the data ² Comparative Judgment yields more
precise representation of expert·s opinion and group·s opinion
Forum Discussion
9 Interaction between crisis managers
g °rovides more information
g Exposes and resolves ambiguities
g Exposes and focuses on true uncertainties for input
g Reduces information overload

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 Design Science Research
nd Iteration: Top Excuses Why Students Miss Midterms

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m. Add New
. View Existing
j. Add members
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m. Generation
. Select subgroup of items for consideration
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m. Input expert opinion through paired comparison
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m. quick interpretation of data providing more information due to
distance between alternatives
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m. ! Roles Supported: moderator, contributor, guest, participant

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 High stress
 Information overload
 Memory capacity
 Sleep deprivation

 °aired Comparisons provide a more accurate

reflection of the expert·s opinion with > Ý items
in current memory.

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Visual interpretation of
information reduces
information overload,
quicker to interpret

Better than a priority ranked

list of equal intervals in that
each solution is in proximity
to the other solutions
indicating ¶how much more·
one solution is preferred to
another by the group.

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 Need Large Groups of Experts to Test System
 Can this be used during any phase of EM?
Mitigation
°reparedness
Response
Recovery
 What exercises/problem types should be used
to test the system?

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’ Normalization of Scale
’ Reduce total number of paired comparisons
’ Transitivity
’ What changes need to be made so that this
will work in the real world?
’ Other suggestions of additional tools needed?

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 °lay around with the system at:

http://delphi.sahanafoundation.org/

For additional help contact: Connie White

connie.m.white@gmail.com

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