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y f ( x1 , x 2 )
2
E ( y ) f ( x1 , x 2 )
y 0 1 x1 k x k
k
i 1
i 1
y 0 i xi ii x ij xi x j
2
i
i j
A sequential procedure
The objective is to lead
the experimenter rapidly
and efficiently along a
path of improvement
toward the general
vicinity of the optimum.
First-order model =>
Second-order model
Climb a hill
y 0 i xi
i 1
Example 11.1
Two factors, reaction time & reaction
temperature
Use a full factorial design and center points
(see Table 11.1):
1. Obtain an estimate of error
2. Check for interactions in the model
3. Check for quadratic effect
ANOVA table (see Table 11.2)
Table 11.3 & Figure 11.5
Table 11.4 & 11.5
7
Std
Run
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Block
7
6
5
2
9
4
1
3
8
{1}
{1}
{1}
{1}
{1}
{1}
{1}
{1}
{1}
Factor 1
A:Time
minutes
-1
1
-1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Factor 2
B:Temp
degC
-1
-1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
Response 1
yield
percent
39.3
40.9
40
41.5
40.3
40.5
40.7
40.2
40.6
i 1
xi
j / x j
3. Convert the xj from coded variables to the
natural variable
10
y 0 1 x1 2 x2 12 x1 x2 11 x12 22 x22
x1
x
2
,b
11
and B
xk
k
1 1
xs B b
2
1 '
y s 0 x s b
2
12 / 2 1k / 2
22 2 k / 2
kk
12
y y s 1 w12 k wk2
13
Example 11.2
Continue Example 11.1
Central composite design (CCD) (Table 11.6 &
Figure 11.10)
Table 11.7
ANOVA for Response Surface Quadratic Model
Analysis of variance table [Partial sum of squares]
Source
Model
A
B
A2
B2
AB
Residual
Lack of Fit
Pure Error
Cor Total
Sum of
Squares
28.25
7.92
2.12
13.18
6.97
0.25
0.50
0.28
0.21
28.74
DF
5
1
1
1
1
1
7
3
4
12
Mean
Square
5.65
7.92
2.12
13.18
6.97
0.25
0.071
0.094
0.053
F
Value
79.85
111.93
30.01
186.22
98.56
3.53
Prob > F
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
0.0009
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
0.1022
1.78
0.2897
14
yie ld
1 8 0 .0 0
B : te m p
1 7 7 .5 0
1 7 5 .0 0
5
78.2573
79.5606
1 7 2 .5 0
78.9089
77.6056
76.954
78.2573
1 7 0 .0 0
8 0 .0 0
82 .50
8 5 .0 0
8 7 .5 0
9 0 .0 0
A : ti m e
15
w M ' (x x s )
16