Académique Documents
Professionnel Documents
Culture Documents
John M. Keynes
Classicals
Keynesians
Expectations
negate fiscal
and monetary
Policy.
3-5%
G&T
No G
Get the G
off of our
backs.
Robert Lucas
Rational Ex.
Monetary
Rule
Milton Friedman
Monetarists
Keynesian Based
Monetary Policy matters
Disputes In Macroeconomics
Chapter 19
Monetarist
Keynesian
19
C H APT E R
DIFFERENT
MACRO THEROIES
Classical Theory
Price Level
AS
P1
AD1
Qf
Classical Theory
Price Level
AS
P1
P2
AD1
AD2
Qf
Keynesian View
Price Level
AS
Prices are downwardly
P1
Inflexible, or Sticky
AD1
AD2
Qu
Qf
Keynesian View
AS
Price Level
P1
AD1
Q1
Real Domestic Output
Keynesian View
The economy has fallen and cant get up.
Prices and wages are
downwardly inflexible
Active government policy required
to stabilize the economy
Horizontal AS to Full-Employment
Unstable AD [because of investment]
G is needed to move the economy
out of recession
AS
AD
AD2
1
PL1
Y2
Y1
Keynesian View
Price Level
AS
P1
AD1
Qf
$ received
MxV=PxQ
1. Velocity is stable.
2. The amount of goods/services that can be produced
is fixed in the short run.
3. If the Fed increases the MS by 15%, we will
see a proportional 15% increase in prices.
4. V and Q arent in the equation & a change in MS
will result in a change in P.
Fiscal Policy
Monetary Rule
Monetarist View
Keynesian View
V =
Monetarists
Monetary Rule 3-5%
Motto:
Increase the MS 3-5% year
MXV=PXQ
Friedman
Equation of Exchange
RATIONAL EXPECTATIONS
Prize-Winning Foresight
by an Ex-Wife
Robert Lucas,
Lucas the Nobel prize winner
of $1.1 million dollars,
dollars will have to split
his money with his ex-wife,
ex-wife who seven
years ago had her divorce lawyer insert
a clause to cover just such a possibility.
Robert Lucas $1.1 million
The clause in the settlement reads: Wife shall receive 50%
of any Nobel Prize if it occurs within seven years.
Lucas said, A deal is a deal. Its hard to be unpleasant after
a prize like that.
Rita Lucas had more than just foresight;
foresight she had luck.
luck If the
announcement, which came on Oct. 10,
10 had come after Oct.
31,
31 she would have gotten nothing.
nothing 8 University of Chicago
professors have won and he was the 5th in the last 6 years.
years
*Rita Lucas knew who had won in the past and she was thinking
in a rational manner on who she expected to win in the future.
MAINSTREAM ECONOMISTS
Ca + Ig + Xn + G = GDP
Adverse Aggregate Supply
Shocks
M V = P Q (Nom. GDP)
Stable Velocity
Summary
Mainstream View (Keyensian)
Instability of Investment is the
Main Cause of Output Changes
Monetary Policy is a
Stabilizing Factor
Mainstream View
Downward Wage Inflexibility
Efficiency Wage Theory
Greater Work Effort
Lower Supervision Costs
Reduced Job Turnover
Insider-Outsider Theory and
Relationships
Price Level
ASLR1 ASLR2
Fed Increases
The Money
Supply
Resulting in
P1
P2
AD1
Q1 Q2
Price Level
ASLR1 ASLR2
Growth
Without
Inflation or
Deflation
P1
P2
AD2
AD1
Q1 Q2
Next:
International Trade
Chapter 20