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Maha Vaseghi
Ewa Kozowska
Piotr Bartenbach
Bartomiej Staszczyk
Misagh Vaseghi
DUBAI
The Dubai real estate includes:
apartments
offices
commercial space
villas
POPULATION GROWTH
Figure 1.1
Source: Dubai Statistics Center
POPULATION GROWTH
Figure 1.1 shows how the population in Dubai has been growing
from the year 2005 until the end of year 2009. At the end of year
2005 the population was around 1.130.000. It increased to
approximately 1.5 million by the end of 2007 and reached a level
of about 1.8 million by the end of year 2009 (Dubai Statistics
Center). In other words, the trend indicates a constant growth in
the number of people inhabiting the emirate. One of the two main
factors
for
the
increasing
population
is
Dubais
economic
expansion which has caused a need for labour and expertise in the
field of oil industry that could be satisfied only from abroad thanks
to foreign workforce. As for the second one, Dubai has been
experiencing a higher birth rate as well as a decline in infant
mortality rates and higher average life duration resulting from
modern health facilities and technology that are now available
DYNAMICS OF PRODUCTION
Figure 1.2
Source: Dubai Statistics Center
DYNAMICS OF PRODUCTION
As shown in figure 1.2 the number of buildings constructed in
Dubai in the period 2005-2009 was growing up to 2008 achieving
its peak in this year. The reason for such an increase is the
growing population of Dubai and growing needs as for residential
as well as commercial property. In 2009 the number of buildings
built in Dubai decreased as a result of a worldwide crisis.
DYNAMICS OF PRODUCTION
TOTAL NUMBER OF REAL ESTATE INVESTEMNTS IN DUBAI
12000
10000
2728
2501
2159
8000
2222
6000
2252
8669
4000
7343
5342
7794
6128
2000
0
2005
2006
2007
Under construction
2008
Completed
2009
Figure 1.3
Source: Dubai Statistics Center
DYNAMICS OF PRODUCTION
Figure 1.3 presents the number of
buildings constructed and those
under construction in Dubai from
2005 up to 2009. It clearly shows the
scale of real estate investments in
Dubai.
DYNAMICS OF PRODUCTION
Figure 1.4
Source: Dubai Statistics Center
DYNAMICS OF PRODUCTION
Forecasts for 2011
an addition of a 25.000 new units will
boost Dubai's total residential stock to
around 335,000
apartments will constitute of 79 per
cent of total residential stock by the
end of 2011.
INVESTMENTS
Value of
investments
presented as the
value of completed
buildings is growing
continuously.
It is expected to
grow further as the
market is still
growing.
Dubai is still one of
the most attractive
place to invest and
this situation is
unlikely to change
in the next 10
years
24.89
25
20
14.72
15
10
7.87
17.26
10.81
5
0
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Figure 1.5
INVESTMENTS
Investments in Dubai are
currently focused in the
housing area.
The division of
investments is
characteristic for places
with growing population.
New residential
complexes are built in
order to meet the
expectations of the
continuous flow of
immigrants and
investors
Figure 1.6
DYNAMICS OF
EMPLOYMENT
Figure 1.7
DYNAMICS OF
EMPLOYMENT
2005-2006 The statistics book called Dubai in Figures reveals the
continuation of massive construction activities in the emirate.
Major increase in construction employees up to 40% of total
employment. Lowest unemployment in the world.
2006-2007 Gradual increase in unemployment rate.
Slight
increase in construction employees, major increase in real estate
sector.
2007-2008 Highest unemployment rate, however gradual
decline in real estate sector prices. Steady construction and real
estate employment rate.
2008-2009 Major decline in real estate and construction sector
due to recession, more than 100,000 construction and real estate
workers became unemployed. Small protests took place by
construction workers. Many clients sued for compensation
DYNAMICS OF
EMPLOYMENT
Figure 1.8
DYNAMICS OF SALES
Figure 1.9
DYNAMICS OF SALES
Peek (May 07 Sep 08)
External factors (a rising Euro, low interest rates and a rapid increased in new
residents) were supporting factors of growth. In May of 2003 the Euro saw an all time
high of 1.193 against the dollar; however, in July 2007 the value is $1.3715. With the
dollar at all time lows compared to the Euro, Europeans found Dubais real estate an
ever growing bargain especially when compared to other parts of Western Europe.
Along with rise of European prices and falls of dollar values Dubai had a third factor,
immigration. With the massive number of new residents the city and country will
need housing.
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENTS
Figure 1.10
KEY REGIONAL
DEVELOPMENTS
In 2005, more than 100 high rise towers facing
the famous Jumeira Beach and across the Sheikh
Zayed Road at the Jumeira Lake Towers
2005-2006 - Palm Jumeira and Jumeira Islands
completed
2006-2008 - Meadows, springs, greens
development up to present day
2010 - Burj Dubai
MAIN AREAS
Figure 1.11
Figure 1.12
http://www.bhomes.com/
www.halconrealestate.com
www.harbordubai.com
VALUE CHAIN
The value chain, a fundamental conceptual building
block of strategic management, offers a means to
consider how value is added at each significant
point of the process by which business enterprises
create goods and services. The value chain concept
can be a powerful means of comprehending the
measure of the value contribution of each process
and resource employed as inputs to create output.
Source: http://business.fullerton.edu
Figure 2.1
Source: http://www.cggc.duke.edu
RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN
ACTORS IN THE REAL
ESTATE MARKET
Figure 2.2
Source: http://www.cggc.duke.edu
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
There
are
plenty
construction and building
materials companies and
supplier in the UAE that
are operating in Dubai as
well as in other emirates.
Among all of them there
are
those
that
are
recommended by the
Dubai
Commercial
Directory
Dubai
Chamber.
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
CONSTRUCTION AND BUILDING MATERIALS COMPANIES
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
WATER AND ELECTRICITY
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Figure 2.3
Source: Dubai Electricity and Water Authority
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Figure 2.4
Source: Dubai Electricity and Water Authority
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
As presented in figure 2.3 the amount of
electricity that was produced from 2005 up to
2009 was constantly increasing. It is directly
related to the growing population of Dubai and
economic changes that have been going on there
for the last 40 years.
Following discovery of petroleum in 1966, the
development of the oil industry revolutionised the
economy of Dubai. Generated revenues enabled
the
government
to
undertake
some
infrastructure, industrial as well as real estate
projects (Pacione 2005: 256). For the two reasons
stated above, electricity consumption was rising
as showed in figure 2.4. In other words, they
created an increased demand for electricity.
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Figure 2.5
Source: Dubai Electricity and Water Authority
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Figure 2.6
Source: Dubai Electricity and Water Authority
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Along with the growing electricity production and
consumption, the production and consumption of
water was growing as well between 2005 and
2009. Again, this trend is strictly connected to the
urban and economic development of Dubai. As a
result of these changes, the rapid growth of
Dubais population and industry needs for technical
infrastructure of such type could be observed.
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
DUBAI CARGO VILLAGE
Year of Establishment -1991.
Location - Adjacent to Dubai International Airport
Total Area - 300,000 square meters.
Total Handling Capacity- about 800,000 tonnes/year
Handling: Imports, Exports and Transit Cargo
Open: 24 hours, 7 days a Week, 365 days a year
Aircraft parkings: 17
Figure 2.7
Source: Dubai Cargo Getaway
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
The rise in volume of freight handled by Dubai
Cargo gateway over the past years demonstrates
the substantial growth in freight in the emirate
(Figure 2.7). The reasons for such an increase are
plenty, such as growing world trade, increasing
demand for transport of perishable and timesensitive commodities and the urban, industrial and
economic growth in Dubai.
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TELECOMMUNICATION PROVIDERS
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
TELECOMMUNICATION PROVIDERS
ETISALAT
DU
VOIP
THURAYA
DUBAI TELECOM
AXIOM TELECOM
among others
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Figure 2.8
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
Figure 2.9
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
As presented in figure 2.8 the number of people
having fixed-line connectivity was growing up to
2008. In 2009 a decrease could be observed due
to the rising number of people getting mobile
phone connection. According to the UAE Yearbook
2009, the number of mobile phone subscribers has
grown by an annual average of 25,6 per cent
between 2002 and 2007 which seems to support
the view.
As far as the Internet usage is concerned, the
number of people having the internet connection
was increasing between 2005 and 2009 and
internet penetration is projected to continue its
growth (UAE Yearbook 2009).
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
EMPLOYEES BY ECONOMIC SECTOR 2005-2007
Figure 2.10
Figure 2.11
SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE
EMPLOYEES BY ECONOMIC SECTOR 2005-2007
As presented in the
graphs employment in
real estate related
sectors in the UAE was
on the rise from 2005
up to 2007.
Figure 2.1
The
number
of
people
employed in manufacturing
industries as well as the
water, gas and electricity
sector in the UAE was
constantly growing between
2005 and 2007 (Figure 2.12
and Figure 2.13)
Figure 2.12
4-Purchaser Market
3-Following
Firms.
1-Lead firm
Interconnected
With supplier
2-External agencies
(brokers/governors)
Figure 2.14
Leading Firms
(Developers)
External Agencies : Regulators
Purchaser Market
and indebtedness of
developers,
decrease in demand
the
purchaser/consumer
market became the
most dominant
Failure to deliver
many sold projects,
developers were
bound to comply
with many more
regulations and were
subject to apply to
other external
Figure 2.15
Source: real.estatesdubai.com
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
Nakheel
Emaar
400
200
0
2500
2000
1500
1000
Flats sold
monthly
SM prices
Regulations
added
500
0
Source: The National
CONCENTRATION PROCESSES
MERGERS
Dubai Multi-Commodities Centre (DMCC) Nakheel
Nakheel, the state-owned developer of Dubai's palmtree shaped man-made islands and one of the
emirate's largest property developers, has been
merged with Dubai Multi Commodities Centre
(DMCC)a Government of Dubai free zone Authority
dedicated to enhancing commodity trade flows
through Dubai.
DMCCs property-related operations have been
integrated with Nakheel to adjust to current market
conditions as well as optimize the use of resources
and provide extensive expertise.
Source: Benham 2009
Giuffrida and Khan 2009
CONCENTRATION PROCESSES
MERGERS
Sama Dubai - Dubai Properties - Tatweer Dubai
Three Dubai Holding property units, that is Sama
Dubai, Dubai Properties and Tatweer Dubai merged
into a property group in August 2010 after a near
50% drop in property prices in the Dubai emirate.
Dubai Holdings is a 100 percent state-controlled
entity. It includes the Jumeirah Hospitality Group
that owns the Burj Al Arab and Jumeirah Emirates
Towers hotels in Dubai. In addition it also manages
luxury properties such as the Carlton Tower and
Lowndes hotels in London
CONCENTRATION PROCESSES
TAKEOVER
Nakheel Limitless
Real estate developer Nakheel (a unit of Dubai
World) that has realised a number of worldrenowned projects like Palm Jumeirah, the World
and many others, has been given the
responsibilities of Dubai's Limitless, a global
integrated property development company. The
major aim was to achieve the best results for
both of the developers but also project investors
and the construction industry in general.
COOPERATION AGREEMENTS
In the market of our choice (Real Estate Market in Dubai) we can
notice several types of strategic alliances. Basically, all of them help
organizations to gain advantage over the competitors, develop faster
and be better, more widely promoted. The Dubai development
companies are targeting i.e. to get into cooperation with European
Real Estate classified advertisement sites and Real Estate Agencies
to promote their offers and attract not only private customers but
especially
business
potential
buyers.
Nowadays
developing
COOPERATION AGREEMENTS
ACI Real Estate Dubai alliance with Global Properties (Indian
real estate developer)
http://www.gowealthy.com/realestate
COOPERATION AGREEMENTS
MGM Mirage alliance with CityCentre
http://www.gowealthy.com/realestate
DELOCALIZATION OF THE
PROPERTY DEVELOPERS
SeveralUAEdevelopers
and
builders
have
expanded
intoEgypt, Saudi Arabia, Libya, Tunisia and Bahrain in recent
years. Diversification was considered a crucial ingredient for
companies looking to avoid overexposure to the struggles of
theDubai property market
Mainly due to the crisis theyve undertaken a diversification
strategy
Nevertheless some of the big boys such as Damac and Nakheel
implemented the globalization strategy some times earlier
"Clearly you have to invest money based on risk appetite and
this increases the risk"
DELOCALIZATION OF THE
PROPERTY DEVELOPERS
Due to Egypts being a popular tourism destination
and moderate landscape prices, it was one of the very
first targets of delocalization's destinations
Shortly after the boom period in Dubai Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia had loosen the property regulations on
the market enabling GCC countries to construct and
sale within easier terms, thus becoming a motive for
Emaar to start similar project in there.
44231000000
41270000000
33944000000
19239000000
10120000000
7290000000
6863000000
6514000000
6290000000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Global
Crisis
2007
2008
2009
GLOBALISATION EFFECTS
ON
THE REAL ESTATE MARKET
IN DUBAI
Removal
of barriers
o Huge sales increase since Real Estate properties became available for foreign
customers
Development of infrastructure
o The reason why Real Estate market grow so fast is directly connected with
development of infrastructure
Simple taxation process and low taxes
o Government of Dubai did everything to simplify the tax procedure and thanks to
their incomes from oil industry they can offer i.e. no taxes on:
rental income
capital gains
property transfers
Adjustment to international standards
o Dubai is known for its exceptional real estate projects they are made with the
highest quality to meet very rigorous requirements in order to meet expectations
of their clients
Source: www.dubai.ae/en.portal
THREATS
rocketing costs of building materials (increase in
cement and steel prices; cement prices in the
GCC averaged about $73.3/tonne in peak of 2009)
lack of availability of contractors to deliver
projects on time
scarcer mortgages
buyers limiting their spending
global crises (economic slowdown)
change in trend (for now Dubai is very popular
and considered as a place for very rich people)
introduction of taxation
OPPORTUNITIES
the flourishing online real estate sector (there are a few
real estate portals that specialise in the UAEs property
market, such as Ikaar.com or Amlaki.net that enable
people to look throughout the properties in the UAE,
including Dubai)
the growing population of Dubai
low prices in comparison to other exclusive markets
merges, joint ventures in the market
high attractiveness of location
100% ownership in free zone
no corporate tax
no trade embargo
no restriction on capital repatriation
no income tax
incentives
CRITICAL FACTORS
location
perceived value
price
modern technology and communication
vigorous economic growth
political and economic stability
construction labour
materials and equipment
investment safety
high after-tax return on investment
FINAL REMARKS
Economic growth, access to oil, population growth and the incentive
of the government to promote growth should lead to an increase of
the construction activities in Dubai and thereby an expansion of it.
Although, as presented in previous slides the construction sector in
Dubai may have already benefited and is still gaining from different
factors, it is crucial to indicate that it does not mean that the city of
Dubai and the whole emirate and their real estate market exempted
of all problems.
Slow adjustments of laws and regulations towards the rapid growth
of the real estate sector and the fact that private companies are not
supported in the same manner as the public companies.
The objective of Dubai is to provide to infrastructure and buildings
that will attract tourism, trade, industry, service industries and
other investments. It was estimated that more than 33 per cent of
Dubais budget expenditure was devoted for infrastructure projects
(UAE Yearbook 2009).
SOURCES
http://www.dsc.gov.ae
http://www.uaeinteract.com
http://www.homesdubai.com
http://www.uaeinteract.com/docs/90_per_cent_of_Dubai_will_b
e_urban_by_2015/2960.htm
Pacione, M. 2005. City profile: Dubai. Cities 22/3, 255-265.
SOURCES
http://business.fullerton.edu
http://www.cggc.duke.edu
http://www.dewa.gov.ae/default.aspx
http://www.dubaiairport.com/DCV/En/Home/
http://www.dsc.gov.ae/en/pages/home.aspx
http://yearbook.uaeinteract.com/Yearbooks/2009/EN
G/
http://www.dccicommercialdirectory.com/index.php?
classcode=514300
http://real.estatesdubai.com/labels/Villa
%20Projects.html
SOURCES
Basit, A. 2010. Nakheel takes over Limitless. Retrieved March 28, 2011, from
http://www.zawya.com/story.cfm/sidZAWYA20100704040409/?relcontent=ZAWYA20100706062018
Benham, J. 2009. Nakheel merges with DMCC property arm. Retrieved March 28, 2011, from
http://www.arabianbusiness.com/nakheel-merges-with-dmcc-property-arm-17802.html
Bianchi, S. 2010. Dubai's Debt Restructuring Plan Gathers Pace With DIC Asset Sale Proposal.
Retrieved March 28, 2011, from http://www.bloombe
rg.com/news/2010-09-16/dubai-s-debt-restructuring-plan-gathers-pace-with-dic-asset-sale-proposal.html
Giuffrida, A.andKhan, S. 2009. DMCC and Nakheel merge property interests. Retrieved March 28,
2011, from http://www.thenational.ae/business/property/dmcc-and-nakheel-merge-property-interests
Van Smeerdijk, A. 2010. Nakheel-Limitless merger: Efforts on to boost operational efficiency. Retrieved
March 28, 2011, from http://gulfnews.com/business/property/uae/nakheel-limitless-merger-1.651870
http://www.dsc.gov.ae/en/pages/home.aspx
SOURCES
Njeri, J. 2010. Luxury takes back seat as investors seek
affordability. Retrieved March 30, 2011, from
http://english.alrroya.com/node/37683.
Al. Abed, I. et al. (ed). 2005. United Arab Emirates yearbook
2005. London: Trident Press Ltd.
http://yearbook.uaeinteract.com/Yearbooks/2009/ENG