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Breakeven
And
Payback Analysis
Breakeven Analysis
eterofaprojectoralternativethatmakestwoelementsequal
vesisequallyacceptable
Payback analysis
quiredminimumlifeofasset,process,orsystemtorecoverthe
back:
eeningtoolorsupplementalinformationforPW,AW,orother
theengineeringeconomysymbolsP.F,A,i,ornisnotkno
uantitycanbedeterminedbysettinganequivalencerelationfo
d,include
nbyhandifonlyonefactorpresentoronlysingleamountsareestimated
rbyhandorcalculatorwhenmultiplefactorsarepresent
eofaparameterthatmakestwoelementsequalbreakeven
ywidely:unitsperyear,costperkilogram,hourspermonth,p
1)increasing
2)Decreasingrevenueperunit
Revenue
per year
R
(1) nonlinear
(2)
linear
TC=totalcost
FC=fixedcost
VC=variablecost
(c) Nonlinearcostrelations
TC=FC+VC
TC
Cost
per
year
VC
FC
Q units per year
tsmaybelinearornonlinearusuallyincludetwocomponen
varyforalargerangeofproductionlevelorworkforcesize.Examp
e,andotherparameter.Example:directlabor,materials,indirectc
Relation:
TC=FC+VC
TheintersectbetweenRandTCusedtoidentifythebreakecenq
Profit=revenuetotalcost
=RTC
=R(FC+VC)
ArelationforbreakevenpointbysettingtherelationforRandT
R=TC
rQ=FC+vQ
QBE=
FC
rv
Breakeven Point
$
R
breakeven
TC
breakeven
with
lowered VC
TC with
lowered VC
Profit maximize
loss
breakeven point
moves
Profit
QBE
Q units per year
TC
Profit
maximize
Profit range
loss
loss
QBE
QP
QBE
Example 13.1
Solution
Useequation[13.2]todeterminethebreakevennumberofunits
QBE===60unitspermonth
) ToestimateprofitatQ=72unitspermonth,useequation[13.1]
$1000
5000 Profit
4000 -
Revenue line
Total cost line
3000 2400
QBE = 60
0
60
Q, units/month
100
Profit=RTC=rQ(FC+vQ)
=(rv)QFC
=($75$35)72$2400000
=$480,000
Thereisaprofitof$480,000permonthcurrently
hprofit=0,Q=45andFC=$2.4million.
,000,therevenueperdampermustincreasefrom$75,000to$88,33
nesthevalueofcommonvariableorparameterbetweentwoal
gPWorAWrelationstodeterminethebreakevenpoint
ndependsupon:
fthevariablecostcurve
etervaluerelativetothebreakevenpoint
Alt.1 TC
Total
cost
Alt.2 FC
Alt.2 TC
Breakeven
point
Alt.1 FC
Common variable, units
ebrakevenpointitiseasiertocalculateusingengineeringeconom
edwhenthevariableunitsonayearlybasis
onsimplerforalternativeswithunequallives
inethebreakevenpoint:
mmonvariableanditsdimensionalunits
WorAWrelationforeachalternativeasafunctionofthecommonvariab
orelationsandsolveforthebreakevenvalueofthevariable
Guideline
Total cost, $
owthebreakevenvalueselectalternativewiththehighervariab
ealternativewiththelowervariablecost
Alt.1 TC
Alt.2 FC
Alt.2 TC
Breakeven
point
Alt.1 FC
Common variable, units
Example 13.2
Solution
1.Letxrepresentthenumberoftonsperyear
2.Fortheautofeedmachine,theannualvariablecostis
$121hour xtons
Hour8tonsyear
AnnualVC=
=1.5x$/year
TheAWexpressionfortheautofeedmachineis
AWauto=$23,000(A/P,10%,10)+$4000(A/F,10%,10)
$35001.5x$/year
=$69921.5x$/year
milarly,theannualvariablecostandAWforthemanualfeedmachinear
$81hourxtons
Hour6tonsyear
=4x$/year
AnnualVC=
(3operators)
AWmanual=$8000(A/P,10%,5)$15004x
=$36104 x
Equatethetwocostrelationsandsolveforx
AWauto=AWmanual
$69921.5x=$36104 x
x=1353tons/year
Thebreakevenanalysisapproachiscommonlyusedformakeorbuydecisions
Meanscompanycontractstobuytheproductorservicefromtheoutside
Ormakesitwithinthecompany
Thealternativetobuyhasnofixedcostandalargervariablecostthanmakeoption
Example 13.3
wer a wheelchair. The steel arm of the lift can be purchased for $
a life of 4 years, and have a $-500 salvage value (carry-away cos
Solution
todeterminethebreakevenpoint
enumberofliftsproducedperyear.
ablecostsfortheoperatorsandfixedcostsforthetwomachinesfor
perunit)(unitsperyear)
TheannualfixedcostsformachinesAandBaretheAWamounts.
AWA=1$8,000(A/P,15%,6)+$2000(A/F,15%,6)
$6000$3000(P/F,15%,3)(A/P,15%,6)
AWB=412,000(A/P,15%,4)$500(A/F,15%,4)$5000
TotalcostisthesumofAWA,AWB,andVC
$2000(A/F,15%,6)
%,3)(A/P,15%,6)
500(A/F,15%,4) [13.7]
olutionyieldsPA=$58,295.Thisisapproximatelythreetimes
Payback Analysis
Alternative 1
Alternative 2
Alternative 3
Total cost,
$/year
Breakeven
points
Output, units/hour
niques
merequiredtorecoverthefirstcostofanassetorproject
dtimefortherevenues,savingstocompletelyrecovertheinit
overyofonlytheinitialinvestment)
NCF(netcashflow)=cashinflowscashoutflows
Noreturn,i=0%;NCFvariesannually
0=P+NCFt
Noreturn,i=0%,annualuniformNCF
np=
Discounted,i>0%;NCFvaariesannually
P
0=P+NCFt(P/F,i,t)
NCF
Discounted,i>0%,annualuniformNCF
0=P+NCF(P/A,i,np)
ashflowswillrecovertheinvestmentinyear0plustherequire
usedmorethannpyears,alargerreturnresults
essthannpyears,thereisnotenoughtimetorecovertheinve
glectsallcashflowsafterthepaybackperiodofnpyears
pplementaltool.Thereasonforthiscautionare
fmoney,sincenoreturnonaninvestmentisrequired
lowsoccuringafterthepaybackperiod.Thesecashflowsm
Example 13.5
chasebySquareDElectric.Machine2isexpectedtobeversatilea
eq.[13.8]and[13.9]torecommendmachine1becauseithasasho
First cost, $
Machine 1
Machine 2
12000
8000
3000
14
Machine1:np=6.57years,whichislessthanthe7yearlife
0=$12000+$3000(P/A,15%,np)
Machine2:np=9.52years,whichislessthanthe14yearlife
0=$8000+$1000(P/A,15%,5)
+$3000(P/A,15%,np5)(P/F,15%,5)
Recommendation:Selectmachine1
Machine 1
$12,000
np = 6.57
Machine 2
$8000
10
11 12 13
np = 9.52
14
Solution
ows for all years during the estimated (maximum) life. Compar
2470
s numerically larger that that of machine 1 at 15%. The result