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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

PREDICTIONS IN
2017

By all accounts, 2016


proved to be a major
Thousands of AI startups
year
for
artificial
emerged around the world.
intelligence.
Companies invested billions of

dollars in AI research and


development. Machines ingested
trillions upon trillions of pieces of
data to train themselves to be
experts in fields such as
healthcare, financial services and
customer service.

In 2017, AI will even more


rapidly revolutionize the way
we work, live, and play.
We asked AI experts to weigh in

What advances in AI do you


predict will happen in 2017?

Patrick Moorhead

Founder, President and Principal


Analyst
Moor Insights and Strategy

5% of all new enterprise apps


will have some form of AI in 2017
and 50% by the year of 2021.
Powerful partnerships
are already in place
to accelerate AI in the
enterprise.
Learn more
More Information

In 2017, there will


Jim McHugh
be a chatbot that

Ian Buck

passes the Turing


test, exhibiting
responses so
human-like that an
average person
wouldnt be able to
tell if its human or
machine.

Vice President and General


Manager
NVIDIA
More Information

In 2017,
intelligence will
trump speed. Over
the last several
decades, nations
have competed on
speed, intent to
build the worlds
fastest
supercomputer. In
2017, the race will
shift. Nations of the
world will compete
on who has the
smartest
supercomputer, not
solely the fastest.

Vice President,
Accelerated
Computing
NVIDIA

AI will become
a standard
Founder
and CEOfeature in applications,
not a novelty.
It will also truly get pushed down to the
Clarifai
consumer level and be front-and-center, not
something that is just packaged under the hood of
products, which will allow people to better
understand AI and its benefits, hopefully reducing
some of the fear you see in movies.

Matthew Zeiler

More Information

Well also see lots of personalization of AI for


individuals to learn how they understand the world
an area where independent AI startups have
particular potential to rival the big companies. And
although obvious, its worth mentioning that as selfdriving cars and robotics applications continue to be
a hotbed for innovation, well see significant progress
in these areas in 2017.

Deep Learning will


keep taking AI
systems to new
levels of
performance as
parallel processing
power increases.
Well be able to
crunch more data
with bigger neural
networks that are
coming in the New
Year.

Dr. Adam Coates

Director, Silicon
Valley AI Lab
Baidu
More Information

Tomaso Poggio
There will be almost a
complete theoretical
understanding of when
and why deep
networks work so
well.

MIT Computer Science


and Artificial Intelligence
Laboratory
More Information

Eric Horvitz

Technical Fellow and Director


Microsoft Research, Redmond Lab

In the coming year, we will see advances that are used to


endow systems with new human-centered qualities,
including more natural, fluid conversation--that can
address several topics or needs in one ongoing interaction,
and deeper understanding of human values and
intentions, such as recognizing the commitments we make
to others in our email and text messaging.

More Information

Research advances on human-aware AI will focus the


power of machine learning on human cognition itself,
giving systems new abilities to understand human
attention, memory, and decision making. Advances in this
realm will lead to systems that augment human cognition,
such as systems that understand when to remind people
about things they will forget and how to help them to
make better decisions. Continued
9

Technical Fellow and Director


Microsoft Research, Redmond Lab

Eric Horvitz

Continued

More Information

On the theoretical front, we will see advances aimed at


providing systems with the ability to learn about the
physical world via engaging in large numbers of trials
ont
within rich environmentsboth
simulated and real. Such
methods will boost the capabilities of AI systems to
interact with people and objects in a safe and effective
manner. While these advances will remain in the
laboratory over the short term,the results will lead to
acceleration in the fielding of novel robotics applications
in the open world, in such realms as transportation,
healthcare, and manufacturing.

10

Bryan Catanzaro

Vice President, Applied Deep Learning


Research
NVIDIA

2017 will be the first year in which AIgenerated art will achieve commercial
success. An artist will use an AI-created
element, like a song melody, in a piece of
work which achieves mainstream
notoriety.

Hear more from Bryan on


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