FMSI 1711 Office

July 30, 2015

 Metropolitan Manila Earthquake Impact
Reduction Study (MMEIRS), cites many
research studies (indicating) that active
phases of the (West) Valley Faults (formerly
the Marikina Valley Faults) are approaching
and that the estimated magnitude will be
around 7 or more. But MMEIRS also raised
the possible intensity from 7 to even 9, which
could be devastating.
 MMEIRS, a Japan-funded study that was
begun in August 2002, identified the West
Valley Fault, which lies just northeast of
Manila, as the fault expected to cause the
largest impact in the metropolis. The West
Valley Fault traverses Marikina town, Pasig
going to Muntinlupa up to the south.
 The Fault, other studies showed, caused at
least two major earthquakes within the last
1,400 years. No earthquake is known to have
taken place along the West Valley Fault after
the 16th century. But based on the estimated
return period of less than 500 years, the Fault
is due to exhibit dangers this century or
even within the next few years,
 Dr. Norman Tungol of Phivolcs Geology,
Geophysics, Research and Development
Division (GGRDD) - this projection could be
within the next few years, (or) few tens of
years. He also said that even if there is no
need for the people to panic because there is
no timetable yet, dapat mag-prepare
because its inevitable.
 He confirmed that an earthquake with
intensity 8 or 9 could be expected in the
Valley Fault with a possible magnitude of 7.2
because of the lengthy fault.
 Dr. Arthur Saldivar-Sali, a former UP
professor who is also now with the Geo-
Technica Consultancy Group, he tends to
believe in the probability analysis of former
Phivolcs Director Raymundo Punongbayan.
 Shortly after the Mt. Pinatubo eruption in
1991, Punongbayan told of a higher
probability of a major earthquake on the
Valley Fault based on its rare movements.
Since lesser energy is released in the friction
of rocks, more energy is stored, like a rubber
band, preparing for a big snap.
 The intensity may range from:
7 in Quezon City
almost 8 & 9 Marikina River and Manila Bay,
8 at west of Metropolitan Manila
7 at other areas.
Based on the Phivolcs Earthquake Intensity
Scale (PEIS), intensity 7 is destructive, while
8 and 9 are very destructive and
devastating, respectively.
 Death toll
Rank Magnitude Location Date

1 7.89,018[1] Nepal 25-Apr

1 7.8 0 Japan 30-May

3 7.5 0 Papua New Guinea 29-Mar

3 7.5 0 Papua New Guinea 5-May

5 7.3218[1] Nepal 12-May

0
6 7.1 Northern Mid-Atlantic Ridge 13-Feb

6 7.1 0 Papua New Guinea 7-May

8 7 0 Indonesia 27-Feb

8 7 0Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge 17-Jun

0
8 7 Solomon Islands 18-Jul

8 71[3] Indonesia 27-Jul

 July 30, 2015 Nagubu Batangas, Ph
Magnitude 4.2 (3:03am)
July 29, 2015 Palimbang, Sultan Kudarat, Ph
Magnitude 4.8 (2:51am)
July 25, 2015 Catarman Northern Samar, Ph
Magnitude 5.2 (4:41pm)
July 13, 2015 Santa Monica Siargao, Ph
Magnitude 6.1 (12:36am)
Safe Areas Danger Areas
Under the Sturdy Table Glass Window
Glass Wall
Glass Door
Under the Aircon
Beside Cabinets
The KEY to Effective
Disaster Prevention is
PLANNING.
 Make sure to have fire extinguisher, first aid
kit, battery powered radio, flashlight, whistle.
Learn how to turn off the gas, water,
electricity
Familiarize with the exit routes
Learn how to use first aid kit
Make up plan where to meet after the
earthquake
Dont Panic & Stay
Calm.
 If youre indoor stay inside, if youre outside
stay outside.
DROP COVER HOLD ON
Duck under, a sturdy desk or table, and hold
onto it, protect your head with your arms.
Stay away from furniture, windows and lamps
Beware of falling objects,
Be alert and keep your eyes open.
Check yourself!
 Be prepared for aftershocks, once shacking
stops take the fastest and safest way out.
DONT use elevators, enter damage building,
DO check yourself and others for injuries,
check electrical lines for damages, and
control fire if present
Keep Safe Everyone. - jek