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Three pillars:
Maintain trade surplus
Government intervention
Exploit colonies
Flaws:
Zero-Sum Game
Defining mercantilism
Mercantilism
Machines
Cloth
10 15
EU
India
Cloth Mach
Cloth Mach
10 0
15 0
8 1
7.5 1
6 2
0 2
4 3
2 4
0 5
Opportunity Cost also known as Relative Price
India - Opportunity Costs EU - Opportunity Costs
Machines
2
Cloth
10 15
Absolute Advantage: Production Conditions When
Each Country Is More Efficient in the
Production of One Commodity
.
TRADE BASED ON
ABSOLUTE ADVANTAGE
Now, suppose that the EU trades 3 machines to India for 12 yards of cloth?
.
India - Opportunity Costs EU - Opportunity Costs
World Price
Back to our opportunity costs (above) Trade will
occur at a trading price World Price which
will occur between these respective Relative
Prices Also called the Terms of Trade
P m
IND (7.5) P P (2)
W
m m
EU
P (0.5) P P
c
EU W
c c
IND (0.133) Look
Remember this graph?
P (0.5) P P
c
EU W
c c
IND (0.133)
Machines
Pw
2
Cloth
10 15
Introduction: The Gains from Trade
Output/hour worked
EU Canada
Bread 2 loaves 3 loaves
Steel 3 tons 1 ton
What are the EUs relative prices (opp. cost) Bread? Steel?
What are Canadas relative prices (opp. cost) Bread? Steel?
Given 2 working hours per country what is the maximum world output?
Implications of Adam Smiths Theory
Machines
Graphically obvious
U.S. has an Absolute Advantage in both goods.
1
Cloth
5 15
One country has Absolute Advantage
in BOTH goods
One Person Per Day of Labor Produces
10 resource unit = 1/2 ton rice or 10 resource unit = 10/13.3 ton rice
1/4 ton tea or
1 ton tea
Specialization and trade allow each to
produce and consume more
Assumptions and Limitations
Nations strive only to maximize production and consumption
Only two countries produce and consume just two goods
No transportation costs of traded goods
Labor is the only resource used to produce goods and it cannot
cross borders
Specialization does not create efficiency and improvement gains
No difference in prices of resources in different countries
Theory of Comparative Advantage
Let us allow India to produce cloth up to the level that the U.S. can
Possible explanations:
A country has a special advantage in
producing new goods made with
innovative technologies
Theory assumes nations production
factors to be homogeneous
Theory is better predictor when
expenditures on labor are considered
Product Life Cycle Theory
A company begins by exporting its product and later undertakes foreign
direct investment as a product moves through its life cycle Raymond
Vermon & Louis T. Wells
Source: Raymond Vernon and Louis T. Wells, Jr., The Economic Environment of International Business, 5th ed. (Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Prentice Hall, 1991), p. 85.
New Trade Theory
Factor conditions
Demand conditions
Differentiators
Products have high Government involvement is Products have a low value-of- Nature of demand varies with
linguistic content (TV) high weight or bulk ratio (cement) income level (cars)
Products affect cultural in industries that are Products are fragile or Economies of standardization
or national identity of Producers of staple goods perishable (glass, fruit) or scale are important (mobile
consumers (foods) (electricity) phones)
Communications and
Producers of other
Product features vary in connectivity are important Labor and other factor cost
entitlements (drugs)
terms of size (cars), (financial services) differences are salient
Large employers (framing)
standards (electrical Local supervision and (garments)
Large suppliers to
appliances), or operational requirements are Distribution or business
government (mass
packaging high (many services) systems are different
transportation)
Products carry country- National champions (insurance)
specific quality (aerospace) Companies need to be
associations (wines) Vital to national security responsive and agile (home
(telecom) appliances )
Exploiters of natural
resources (oil, mining) 71
Subject to high sunk costs
(infrastructure)
Source: Recreated from www.business-standard.com/general/pdf/113004_01.pdf.
Institutional Voids
Absence of intermediaries to efficiently
connect buyers and sellers
Transaction Costs
Advanced Markets Credible Information Disclosure,
Enforceable Contracts, Market Intermediaries, and Market
Regulation
T. Khanna & K.G. Palepu
Emerging Markets
The term emerging markets was coined by economists at the International Finance Corporation
(IFC) in 1981, when the group was promoting the first mutual fund investments in developing
countries
Knowledge/
resources
5 M Framework
C.F. Fey; A.K.J.R. Nayak; and C. Wu
Motivations (Knowledge Seeking - Learning best practices, efforts to gain
market knowledge, actions to develop social and business networks, and the
applicability of unique home country capabilities - Obtaining Technology and Brands ,
New Market Seeking - Market size, Following the clients, entering adjacent
markets - Diversifying Risks, Efficiency Seeking - Cheaper resources like labor and
raw materials, lower tariffs, tax incentives, worldwide production synergies - Getting
Larger, Obtaining Raw Materials)
Markets (Smaller Cultural, Institutional, and Geographic distance,
Less Competition)
Modes (Modes for Entry leapfrog stages suggested by Uppsala
model)
Methods (Combat Negative Reputation effect, Acquire Foreign
Brands & Technology, Grow Quickly, Invest in R&D)
Management (Cultural Differences, International Staffing, Clear
Vision, Interaction with Subsidiaries)
Challenges of becoming Global
Management problems
Multinational are more complicated than domestic firms. Cross-
fertilization among national operations in product development,
production, and marketing many not materialize if
organizational complexity creates confusion
A firm's managers may not be suited to running a multinational
firm
Transferring intangible assets is often uncertain
Cultural diversity encountered when operating in several
countries may create communication, coordination, and
motivation problems
Inertia - Structural inertia may inhibit attempts to change
Ephemeral advantages
Expected benefits may be less real than apparent
Competitive advantages may erode, leaving a firm with the
costly and difficult to manage shell of a multinational structure.
Trade is enormous...
Trade in goods in 2007
$13,700,000,000,000
or $420,000 per second
Globalization has accelerated over the last 20 years
The volume of trade as a percentage of global GDP has more
than doubled since 1960
Economies by size of merchandize trade in 2013
1. Tariffs
specific tariffs (unit)
ad valorem tariffs (proportion)
2. Subsidies (Cash grants, low-interest rates, tax breaks, and Govt Equity)
3. Import Quotas (US has a quota on cheese imports)
tariff rate quotas
quota rent (profit that suppliers make when supply is artificially limited)
4. Voluntary Export Restraints (US requesting Japan to limit export of cars)
Local Content Requirements (Specific fraction of a good be produced
domestically)
Administrative Polices (Informal Bureaucratic Rules Hollands Tulips to Japan)
Antidumping Policies or countervailing duties
dumping
Why the stress on free world trade?
Source: Big emerging countries at the WTO dispute settlement system (DSS): Overview of disputes
concerning BIC (Brazil, India, China), 26 March 2015 accessed on 27.05.2015
Structure of the World Bank
Headquartered in
Washington D.C.
Over 100 offices all over
the world
185 member countries
Membership of the IMF
is required
5 Largest shareholders:
France, Germany, Japan,
UK, and US
International Monetary Fund
Established in December 1946 to regulate the exchange rates and enforce
the rules of an international monetary system.
Initially had 29 members countries but has gone up to 184.
A public institution, established with money provided by taxpayers around
the world but reports to the ministries of finance and the central banks of
the governments of the world.
Lend to countries with persistent balance of payments deficits (or current
account deficits), and to approve of devaluations.
Loans were made from a fund paid for by members in gold and currencies.
Each country had a quota, which determined its contribution to the fund and the
maximum amount it could borrow.
Large loans were made conditional on the supervision of domestic policies by the IMF:
IMF conditionality.
Devaluations could occur if the IMF determined that the economy was experiencing a
fundamental disequilibrium.
Types of Integration
Free Trade Area
Customs Union
Common Market
Economic Union
Economic Integration
Bilateral and Trade Agreements
Trade agreements are either bilateral, involving two countries, or
multilateral. While some believe that bilateral free trade agreements
are a first step towards multilateral free trade, others point out that
bilateral trade agreements are discriminatory and lead to
fragmentation of the world trade system and decline of the
multilateral free trade.
Bilateral Trade is the exchange of goods between two countries.
Bilateral trade agreements give preference to certain countries in
commercial relationships, facilitating trade and investment between
the home country and the foreign country by reducing or eliminating
tariffs, import quotas, export restraints and other trade barriers.
Indias Bilateral Trade Agreements
India has bilateral agreements with the following countries and
blocs:
SAFTA (Bangladesh, Bhutan, the Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka
and Afghanistan)
AIFTA (ASEANIndia Free Trade Area)
European Union
Sri Lanka
Singapore
Thailand (separate from FTA agreement with ASEAN)
Malaysia (separate from FTA agreement with ASEAN)
Japan
European Free Trade Association (EFTA) (negotiation ongoing)
Canada (negotiation ongoing)
South Korea
Japan
Multilateral Trade Agreements
A multilateral trade agreement involves three or more
countries who wish to regulate trade between the nations
without discrimination.
They are usually intended to lower trade barriers between
participating countries and, as a consequence, increase the
degree of economic integration between the participants.
Multilateral trade agreements are considered the most
effective way of liberalizing trade in an interdependent global
economy.
World major RTAs
European Union (EU)
North America Free Trade Area (NAFTA)
ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA)
South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC)
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)
MERCOSUR (South American Common Market)
1. To obtain economic benefits.
2. To pursue non-economic objectives
3. To ensure increased security of market access.
4.To improve members bargaining strength.
5.To promote regional infant industries.
6. Trade Diversion.
Different Modes of Entry
Entry strategies into foreign markets include:
Export Based
Modes
Direct Exporting
Indirect Exporting
Control
Forms of FDI: Ownership
Full Acquisition
(i.e., 100%)
Ownership = s%
Joint Venture
Complementarity of Resources
Value Chain MNEs
Component Resources Local Firms Resources
R&D Innovative Imitating
capabilities capabilities
Production Advanced Older technology
technology and and know-how
know-how
Marketing & Sales Industry-specific Country-specific
marketing marketing
Organization expertise expertise
structure and Global Best Country specific
systems Practices organization skills
Common Market Entry Modes
HOME COUNTRY HOST COUNTRY
Licensing
Acquisition
MNE Local Firm
Export
Equity (FDI)
Non-equity
modes
modes
Licensing/ Greenfield
Direct exports Minority JVs
franchising investments
Strategic alliances
Comarketing
(within dotted areas)
Source: Adapted from Pan, Y. and D. Tse, The Hierarchical Model of Market Entry Modes, Journal of International Business Studies, 31 (2000),
535-545
Going it Alone: Export
HOME COUNTRY HOST COUNTRY
Revenues
MNE Customers
Export of Goods
Going it Alone: Export
Advantages Disadvantages
Low initial investment Potential costs of trade
Reach customers quickly barriers
Transportation cost
Complete control over
Tariffs and quotas
production
Foregoes potential location
Benefit of learning for
future expansion economies
Difficult to respond to
customer needs well
A
B C
Direct
Product
R&D Marketing Sales and Agent, export
ion
service distributor
A1
Producti
R&D
on
B
C
A2
Export Cooperative
Sales and
Product Marketing export
R&D service marketing
ion
group (with
a local agent
A3 of B
Product
R&D
ion
Export Modes
Note: A1, A2, A3, A are n=manufactures of products /services
B: is an independent intermediary/(agent)
C: is the customer
Licensing Agreement
HOME COUNTRY HOST COUNTRY
Licensing of Technology
Investment
MNE Local Firm
Profit
Foreign Acquisition
Advantages Disadvantages
Access to targets local Uncertainty about targets
knowledge value
Control over foreign Difficulty in absorbing
operations acquired assets
Control over own Infeasible if local market for
technology corporate control is
underdeveloped
MNE
Profit
Managerial
Profit Service
Technological Inputs
Wholly-Owned
Subsidiary
Management Contract
Advantages Disadvantages
Access to local management Potential incentive problem
skills Potential adverse selection
Avoids buying unwanted problem
assets How do you know the
Retains strategic control competencies of the
manager?
Source: V. Kumar and V. Subramaniam, A Contingency Framework for the Mode of Entry Decision, Journal of World
Business, vol. 32 (1), 1997, pp. 53-72.
Evaluating the Alternate Modes of Entry Decision
Contractual
Agreement
(Licensing or Joint Greenfield
Criteria Weight Exporting Franchising or Acquisition
Venture Investment
Management
Contract or
Turnkey)
Risk
Return
Control
Knowledge
Investment
Ease of
Implementation
Integration
Overall Score 1
Advantages and Disadvantages of Different
Modes of Entry
Entry Mode Advantage Disadvantage
Wholly Enables global strategic High costs and risks
owned coordination Requires overseas
subsidiaries Protects technology management skills
Realizes (potentially) location May be slower to implement
and experience economies
International Gives access to local partner's Loss of control over
Joint knowledge technology and managerial
Ventures Allows sharing of development know-how
costs and risks May impede global
May be more politically coordination
acceptable than 100% foreign May make realization of
ownership location and experience
Allows foreign parent do economies more difficult
deploy resources across more Sharing of profit "pie"
national markets at once
International Similar to international joint May be more difficult to
Strategic ventures manage than international
Alliances joint ventures
Entry Mode Advantage Disadvantage
Franchising Low financial risk Lack of direct control over quality
Relatively low Successful international franchising
development costs requires considerable start-up and
ongoing presence overseas (cost)
Is likely to impede, make global
coordination costlier than ownership
Growth may be slower depending
on franchisee's intentions
Sharing of profit "pie"
Possible loss of know-how to
potential competitor
Licensing Similar to franchising Similar to franchising
Fewer "maintenance"
costs than franchising
Exporting Ability to realize Transport costs
experience curve Trade barriers
economies Motivation of local agents a
challenge
All factors affecting decision
Home country or third Country Foreign target market
Border
B
Prod
A uctio
n
Market Sales and C
Contract
R&D
ing service Manufacturing
A Licensor B Licensee
A Franchisor B Franchisee
Marke Produ Sales and
R&D ction C Franchising
ting service
A Upstream specialist
R&D Produ A+B (e.g. a joint
ction venture) C
B Downstream specialist Produ Market Sales and X Coalition
R&D
ction ing service
Marke Sales and
ting service
Domestic-based sales
Prod Market Sales and
R&D Direct to customer C representatives/
uctio ing service
n manufactures own
Sales force
R&D Produ Marketi Sales and Resident sales
ction ng C
service representatives/ sales
subsidiary/ sales branch