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SUPPLEMENT
Constraint
Management
2014
2014
Pearson
Pearson
Education,
Education,
Inc.Inc. S7 - 1
Outline
Capacity
Bottleneck Analysis and the Theory
of Constraints
Break-Even Analysis
Reducing Risk with Incremental
Changes
1,300 sq ft 8,000 sq ft
store 2,600 sq ft store
store
Economies Diseconomies
of scale of scale
1,300 2,600 8,000
Number of square feet in store
2014
2014
Pearson
Pearson
Education,
Education,
Inc.Inc. S7 - 19
Managing Demand
Demand exceeds capacity
Curtail demand by raising prices, scheduling
longer lead time
Long term solution is to increase capacity
Capacity exceeds demand
Stimulate market
Product changes
Adjusting to seasonal demands
Produce products with complementary
demand patterns
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 20
Complementary Demand
Figure S7.3
Patterns
Combining the
two demand
patterns reduces
the variation
4,000
Sales in units
3,000 Snowmobile
motor sales
2,000
1,000
Jet ski
engine
sales
A B C
Bread Fill
15 sec/sandwich 20 sec/sandwich
Wrap/
Order Toaster
Deliver
30 sec/sandwich 20 sec/sandwich
Bread Fill 37.5 sec/sandwich
15 sec/sandwich 20 sec/sandwich
Analysis
Order Toaster
Deliver
30 sec 20 sec
Bread Fill 37.5 sec
15 sec 20 sec
Cleaning
5 min/unit
24 min/unit
Dentist
Check
out
5 min/unit
8 min/unit 6 min/unit
800
i dor
700 Break-even point rr Total cost line
t co
Total cost = Total revenue
rofi
600 P
Cost in dollars
500
400
Variable cost
300
200
o s s or
L rid
r
100 co
Fixed cost
| | | | | | | | | | | |
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100
Figure S7.5
Volume (units per period)
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 35
Break-Even Analysis
Assumptions
Costs and revenue are linear
functions
Generally not the case in the real
world
We actually know these costs
Very difficult to verify
Time value of money is often
ignored
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 36
Break-Even Analysis
BEPx = break- x= number of units
even point in produced
units TR = total revenue
BEP$ = break- = Px
even point in F = fixed costs
dollars V = variable cost
P = price per per unit
unit point
Break-even (after all
occurs when TC = total costs = F
discounts) + Vx
TR = TC F
or BEPx =
PV
Px = F + Vx
F $10,000
BEP$ = =
1 (V/P) 1 [(1.50 + .75)/(4.00)]
$10,000
= = $22,857.14
.4375
F $10,000
BEP$ = =
1 (V/P) 1 [(1.50 + .75)/(4.00)]
$10,000
= = $22,857.14
.4375
F $10,000
BEPx = = = 5,714
PV 4.00 (1.50 + .75)
40,000 Revenue
30,000 Break-even
point Total
Dollars
costs
20,000
10,000
Fixed costs
| | | | | |
0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000
Units
Break-even F
point in dollars =
V
(BEP$) ( )
1- Pi Wi
i
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
ANNUAL WEIGHTED
SELLING VARIABLE FORECASTED % OF CONTRIBUTION
ITEM (i) PRICE (P) COST (V) (V/P) 1 - (V/P) SALES $ SALES (COL 5 X COL 7)
Demand
Demand
Expected Expected
demand demand
New
capacity
Demand
Expected
demand
1 2 3
Time (years)
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 46
Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(b) Leading demand with a one-step
expansion Figure S7.6
New
capacity
Demand
Expected
demand
1 2 3
Time (years)
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 47
Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(c) Lagging demand with incremental
expansion Figure S7.6
New
capacity
Expected
Demand
demand
1 2 3
Time (years)
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 48
Reducing Risk with
Incremental Changes
(d) Attempts to have an average capacity with
incremental expansion Figure S7.6
New
capacity
Expected
Demand
demand
1 2 3
Time (years)
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 49
Applying Expected Monetary
Value (EMV) and Capacity
Decisions
Determine states of nature
Future demand
Market favorability
Assign probability values to states
of nature to determine expected
value
Solving for P:
F
P=
(1 + i)N
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 53
Net Present Value (NPV)
In general:
F = P(1 + i)N
Solving for P:
F
P=
(1 + i)N
2014 Pearson Education, Inc. S7 - 54
NPV Using Factors
F
P= = FX
(1 + i)N
S = RX
where X = factor from Table S7.2
S = present value of a series of uniform
annual receipts
R = receipts that are received every
year
of the life of the investment
Portion of
Table S7.2
S = RX
S = $7,000(4.212) = $29,484