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MANAGEMENT OF TRANSACTION
EXPOSURE
Introduction
• Changes in exchange rate may affect the settlement of contracts, cash flows, and
the firm valuation.
• It is thus important for financial managers to know the firm’s foreign currency
exposure and properly manage the exposure.
• By doing so, managers can stabilize the firm’s cash flows and enhance the firm’s
value.
Three Types of Exposure
• Economic exposure can be defined as the extent to which the value of the firm
would be affected by unanticipated changes in exchange rates.
• Translation exposure refers to the potential that the firm’s consolidated financial
statements can be changes in exchange rates.
Three Types of Exposure
• Suppose that Boeing Corporation exported a Boeing 737 to British Airways and
billed £10 million payable in one year. The money market interest rates and foreign
exchange rates are given as follows:
The U.S. interest rate: 6.10% per annum.
The U.K. interest rate: 9.00% per annum.
The spot exchange rate: $1.50/ £.
The forward exchange rate: $1.46/£ (1-year maturity).
Forward Market Hedge
• Generally speaking, the firm may sell (buy) its foreign currency receivables
(payables) forward to eliminate its exchange risk exposure.
• Boeing may simply sell forward its pounds receivable, £10 million for delivery in
one year, in exchange for a given amount of U.S. dollars. On the maturity date of
the contract, and, in return, take delivery of $14.6 million ($1.46 x 10 million),
regardless of the spot exchange rate that may prevail on the maturity date.
• Generally speaking, the firm may borrow (lend) in foreign currency to hedge its
foreign currency receivables (payables), thereby matching its assets and liabilities
in the same currency.
• Boeing can first borrow in pounds, then converting the loan proceeds into dollars,
which then can be invested at the dollar interest rate. On the maturity date of the
loan, Boeing is going to use the pound receivable to pay off the pound loan.
Money Market Hedge
• Generally speaking, the firm may buy a foreign currency call (put) option to hedge
its foreign currency payables (receivables).
• The options hedge allows the firm to limit the downside risk while preserving the
upside potential. The firm, however, has to pay for this flexibility in terms of the
option premium.
Option hedge
Proceeds ($)
$14,600,000
Forward hedge
$14,387,000
0
E = $1.46 ST* = $1.48 ST
Exhibit 8.3 Dollar Proceeds from the British Sale: Option versus Forward Hedge
Hedging Foreign Currency Payables
• Suppose Boeing imported a Rolls-Royce jet engine for £5 million payable in one
year. The market condition is summarized as follows:
The U.S. interest rate: 6.00% per annum.
The U.K. interest rate: 6.50% per annum.
The spot exchange rate: $1.80/£.
The forward exchange rate: $1.75/£ (1-year maturity).
Hedging Foreign Currency Payables
Forward Contracts
• If Boeing decides to hedge this payable exposure using a forward contract, it only
needs to buy £5 million forward in exchange for the following dollar amount:
$8,750,000 = (£5,000,000) ($1.75/£).
On the maturity date of the forward contract, Boeing will receive £5,000,000 from the
counter-party of the contract in exchange for $8,750,000. Boeing then can use
£5,000,000 to make payment to Rolls-Royce.
Hedging Foreign Currency Payables
• Under this money market hedging, Boeing has to outlay a certain dollar amount
today in order to buy spot the pound amount that needs to be invested:
$8,450,705 = (£4,694,834) ($1.80/£).
• The future value of this dollar cost of buying the necessary pound amount is
computed as follows: $8,957,747 = ($8,450,705) (1.06).
Hedging Foreign Currency Payables
• If the British pound appreciates against the dollar beyond $1.80/£, the strike price
of the options contract, Boeing will choose to exercise its options and purchase
£5,000,000 for £9,000,000 = (£5,000,000) ($1.80/£).
• If the spot rate on the maturity date turns out to be below the strike price, on the
other hand, Boeing will let the option expire and purchase the pound amount in
the spot market.
Hedging Foreign Currency Payables
• Options hedge would be preferable if the spot exchange rate turns out to be less
than $1.731/£ as the options hedge involves a lower dollar cost. On the other hand,
if the spot exchange rate turns out to be higher than $1.731/£, the forward hedge
would be preferable.
$9,095,400
Option hedge
$8,750,000
Dollar costs ($)
Forward hedge
$95,400
• Suppose a U.S. firm has an account receivable in Korean won and would like to
hedge its won position. But the firm finds it costly to simply sell the won receivable
forward. However, since the won/dollar exchange rate is highly correlated with the
yen/dollar exchange rate, the U.S. firm may sell a yen amount, which is equivalent
to the won receivable, forward against the dollar thereby cross-hedging its won
exposure.
• Contingent exposure refers to a situation in which the firm may or may not be
subject to exchange exposure.
Bid Outcome
Alternative Strategies Bid Accepted No exposure
Do nothing An unhedged long position
in C$100 million
Sell C$ forward No exposure An unhedged short position
in C$100 million
Buy a put option on C$ If the future spot rate becomes less than the exercise rate,
(ST < E)
Convert C$100 million at the Exercise the option and make
exercise price a profit
If the future spot rate becomes greater than the exercise rate,
(ST > E)
Let the option expire and Simply let the option expire
convert C$100 million at the
spot exchange rate
Exhibit 8.5 Contingent Exposure Management: The Case of GE Bidding for a Quebec Hydroelectric Project
Hedging Recurrent Exposure with Swap Contracts
• Recurrent cash flows in a foreign currency can best be hedged using a currency
swap contract, which is an agreement to exchange one currency for another at a
predetermined exchange rate, that is, the swap rate, on a sequence of future dates.
• The firm can shift, share, or diversify exchange risk by appropriately choosing the
currency of invoice.
• If Boeing invoices $15 million rather than $10 million for the sale of the aircraft, the
it does not face exchange exposure anymore.
• Boeing can share the exposure with British Airways by, for example, invoicing half
of the bill in U.S. dollars and the remaining half in British pounds, that is, $7.5
million and £5 million.
• The firm can diversify exchange exposure to some extent by using currency basket
units such as the SDR as the invoice currency.
Hedging via Lead and Lag
• To “lead” means to pay or collect early, whereas to “lag” means to pay or collect
late.
• The firm would like to lead soft currency receivables and lag hard currency
receivables to avoid the loss from depreciation of the soft currency and benefit
from the appreciation of the hard currency. For the same reason, the firm will
attempt to lead the hard currency payables and lag soft currency payables.
• Suppose, concerned with the likely depreciation of sterling, Boeing would British
Airways to prepay £10 million.
Exposure Netting
• When a firm has both receivables and payables in a given foreign currency, it
should consider hedging only its net exposure.
• For instance, a U.S. firm may have an account payable in euros and, at the same
time, an account receivable in Swiss francs. Considering that the euro and franc
often move against the dollar nearly in lockstep, the firm can just wait until these
accounts become due and then buy euros spot with francs. It can be wasteful and
unnecessary to buy euros forward and sell francs forward. In other words, if the
firm has a portfolio of currency positions, it makes sense to hedge residual
exposure rather than hedge each currency position separately.
• If the firm would like to apply exposure netting aggressively, it helps to centralize
the firm’s exchange exposure management function in one location.
Should the Firm Hedge?
• Some would argue that exchange exposure management at the corporate level is
redundant when stockholders can manage the exposure themselves.
• Others would argue that what matters in the firm valuation is only systemic risk;
corporate risk management may only reduce the total risk.
• While the above arguments against corporate risk management may be valid in a
“perfect” capital market, one can make a case for it based on various market
imperfections:
1. Information asymmetry: management knows about the firm’s exposure position
much better than stockholders. Thus, the management of the firm, not its
stockholders, should manage exchange exposure.
Should the Firm Hedge?
4. Progressive corporate taxes: under progressive corporate tax rates, stable before-
tax earnings lead to lower corporate taxes than volatile earnings with the same
average value. This happens because under progressive tax rates, the firm pays
more taxes in high-earning periods than it saves in low-earning periods.
What Risk Management Products Do Firms Use?
• Based on an extensive survey by Jesswein, Kwok, and Folks (1995), the traditional
forward contract is the most popular product.