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Topic 7A:SWAPS
1
Outline
Description of a Swap
Motivation for Swaps
Graphical Analysis
Valuation and Interest Rate Sensitivity
Credit Risk
Currency Swaps
2
I. Description
3
Plain Vanilla Swap
4
Swap Jargon
5
Importance of Swaps Market
1
9
9
5
N
o
t
i
o
n
al
P
r
i
n
c
i
pa
l
:
1
2
.
8
1
1
T
r
i
l
l
i
on
D
o
l
l
a
r
s
U
S
Do
l
l
ar
J
a
pa
nY
e
n
O
t
he
r
P
o
un
d
st
er
l
in
g
D
e
u
ts
c
he
ma
r
k
6
II. Motivation for Swaps
Risk Taking
» Arbitrage due to market imperfections?
Risk Management
» Hedging interest rate risks
Financing
» Low transaction costs
» Off-balance sheet
7
Example: Using swaps to take
advantage of market imperfections?
8
Example continued...
C
O UNT
ERP
AR
T
YBP
a
yf
i
xed
r
at
e10
.
2% S
WA
PD
E
AL
E
R
(
Fi
xed
-
Rat
e
P
ay
er) Pa
yL
ib
or
PayLibor
P
a
yf
ix
ed
1
0
.1
%
PayLibor+75
bp
C
o
.Aga
i
ns3
0b
p(
fl
t
)
C
o
.Bga
i
ns2
5b
p(
f
ix
)
D
e
al
erg
e
ts1
0b
p
COUNTER
PA
RTY
A
(
Fl
oa
ti
ng-
Ra
te
Pa
y
er
)
L
e
nd
e
r P
a
yf
i
xed
r
at
e10
%
Le
nd
e
r
9
Example continued...
10
Example: Mortgage Lending
Institution
Typically invests in fixed-rate assets (mortgages) funded by
liabilities on which it pays a floating rate (deposits).
» How can the bank hedge its interest rate risk?
Go long a swap
It pays fixed and receives floating
It funds the fixed from its mortgage payments, and uses the floating to
pay its deposits.
» Why? It makes money from the business side, not in taking interest
rate risk.
11
Hedging Interest Rate Risk
Fi
x
ed F
l
o
at
in
g
M
o
r
t
ga
g
es B
A
NK D
e
p
os
i
t
s
F
i
x
ed F
l
o
at
in
g
S
W
AP
C
OU
NT
E
R
PA
R
TY
I
n
t
e
r
e
s
t
r
at
e
r
i
s
k
i
s
he
d
g
e
d
,
an
d
t
h
e
b
a
n
km
a
k
e
s
r
ev
e
n
u
e
s
f
r
o
m
t
r
a
d
it
i
o
n
a
l
s
a
v
in
g
a
n
d
l
en
d
i
n
g
b
u
s
i
ne
s
s
.
12
III. Graphical Analysis
2
-
y
rf
i
xe
d
C
O
UN
T
ER
P
A
RT
YA C
O
UN
T
ER
P
A
RT
YB
6
-
mo
nt
hL
ib
o
r
R
a
t
e
s L
o
s
st
oB
L
o
s
st
oA
F
i
x
ed
L
i
b
or
1 2 3
A
s
L
i
b
or
r
i
s
e
sa
b
o
v
et
h
e
f
i
x
e
d
r
at
e
,
p
ar
t
y
B
pa
y
s
p
a
r
t
y
At
h
e
di
f
f
e
r
e
nc
e
,
a
nd
v
i
c
e
v
er
s
a
.
13
3 ways to view the cash flow from a
swap - #1
~ ~~ ~
R
e
c
e
i
veC
.
CC C
5 2
5 1 1
.
F
l
o
at
i
ng
P
a
y
F
i
x
ed
C
CCC
T
I
M
E
0
.
5
11
.
5
2
If you are long a swap, the party pays fixed and receives
floating. Note that no exchange of principal takes place,
and only the net difference between the coupons is paid
on the settlement dates. Generic swaps set the fixed cou-
pon in such a way as to make the PV of the swap zero. 14
#2 - short a fixed, long a floater
Short a
fixed-rate
P
bond
C C C C +P
~ ~ ~ ~
C.5 C1 C1.5 C2 +P
Long a
FRN
TIME 0 .5 1 1.5 2
15
#3 - a portfolio of forward contracts
~
+ C2
2yr forward
~
+ C1.5 -C
1.5yr
forward ~
+ C1 -C
1yr forward
~
+ C.5 -C
.5 yr
forward
-C
TIME 0 .5 1 1.5 2
16
Swaps as a portfolio of forward
contracts
The2-year (annual reset) swap is like a portfolio of 4
forwards of maturities .5-2 years.
» Since swaps have a present value of zero, the portfolio is also PV
zero.
» However, because the obligated payment is fixed each period with
the swap, the fixed swap rate will not equal the time-zero forward
rates unless the term structure is flat.
Thus, each individual forward embedded in the swap will not have the
usual zero present value, only their sum will.
If the term structure is upward (downward) sloping, then the payer of
fixed initially expects to have losses (gain) before eventual gains
(losses).
17
IV. Valuation & Interest Rate
Sensitivity
Three Components:
» Distribution of Cash Flows
» Valuation of Swap
» Interest Rate Sensitivity of Swap
Illustration
using an example of a 2-year swap of fixed
against 6-month Libor.
18
A. Cash Flow Rule
Every six months until maturity, the party who is long the
swap receives the 6-month rate set 6-months earlier minus a
fixed rate k.
If the notional amount of the swap is N and the maturity is
T, the time t cash flow to this party for t = 0.5, 1, 1.5, ..., T
can be written as
N (rt .5 ,t k )
2
19
Example: Cash Flows to Long Position in 5.5% 2-
Year Swap with $100 Notional Amount
S
u
p
po
s
er
a
t
es
fo
l
l
owt
h
ep
at
hi
nt
he
t
re
e
be
l
o
w.
T
i
me
0Ti
me
0.
5Ti
me
1 T
i
me1
.
5 T
i
me
2
7
.
8
64%
6
.
9
15%
6
.
0
04% 6
.
1
84%$
0
.
34
$
0
.
02 5
.
4
37%$
-
0.
0
3
5
.
5
4%
4
.
7
21%$
0
.
25 4
.
8
62%
4
.
2
75%
3
.
8
23%
E
v
e
r
y6
m
o
nt
h
s
,
t
he
s
wa
p
b
u
y
er
r
e
c
e
i
v
es
t
h
e6
-
m
o
nt
h
r
at
e
s
e
t
6
-
m
o
n
th
s
e
ar
l
i
e
r
t
im
e
s1
0
0
/
2
mi
n
u
s
$
2
.
7
5
.
20
B. Valuation
21
Valuation continued...
0 Pflter Pfixed ( k ,T )
A
s
s
um
i
ng
n
o
de
f
a
ul
t
r
i
sk
,
t
hi
s
me
a
ns
t
h
a
ti
f
t
h
e
f
l
o
a
t
er
wa
s
i
n
d
ex
e
dt
o
,f
o
r
ex
a
mp
l
e
,t
r
e
a
su
r
y
ra
t
e
s,
t
h
e
sw
a
pr
a
t
e
wo
u
l
dj
u
st
b
et
h
ep
a
rr
a
t
e
on
U
.
S.
T
r
e
as
u
r
ie
s
.
22
Example
23
Review: Floaters
A floating rate note (FRN) is a bond with a coupon that is adjusted periodically
to a benchmark interest rate, or indexed to this rate (e.g., LIBOR)
Consider a semi-annual coupon floating rate note, with the coupon indexed to
the 6-month interest rate. Each coupon date, the coupon paid is equal to the par
value of the note times one-half the 6-month rate quoted 6 months earlier, at the
beginning of the coupon period. The note pays par value at maturity.
Valuation (See next two pages)
What is the duration of a floater?
» The note is always worth par on the next coupon date with certainty. So a floater is
equivalent to a zero that matures on the next coupon date with face value equal to the
par value of the floater plus the current coupon.The duration of the floater is therefore
equal to the duration of a zero maturing on the next coupon date. Their convexities
are the same, too.
24
W
h
a
ta
re
th
ec
a
shf
l
o
wsf
r
o
m$1
00p
a
r
of
th
e
no
t
e?
T
h
ef
ir
s
tc
ou
p
on
ont
h
eb
on
di
s10
0
x
0
.
05
54
/
2=
2.
7
7.
W
ha
ta
bo
u
tt
h
el
at
e
rco
u
po
ns
?Th
e
yw
i
l
lb
es
et
by
t
h
ef
ut
u
r
e6-
m
on
th
i
nt
er
e
st
r
at
es
.F
o
re
x
am
pl
e
,
s
u
pp
os
et
he
f
ut
u
re
6-
mo
nt
hi
n
te
re
s
t
r
at
e
st
ur
n
ou
t
a
sf
o
l
lo
ws
:
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
5.54% 6.00% 5.44% 6.18%
Floater Cash Flows:
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
2.77 3.00 2.72 103.09
100 x 0.06/2
25
C
o
n
s
id
er
$1
00
pa
ro
f
af
l
oa
te
r
ma
t
ur
i
n
ga
tt
i
me
T.
W
h
a
ti
si
t
sp
ri
c
eo
nt
h
ec
ou
po
n
da
t
eb
ef
o
re
t
he
m
a
t
u
ri
t
yd
at
e
,t
im
eT
-
0.
5
?
Ti
me
Tc
ash
f
l
ow1
0
0
(
1 r/
2
)
P
T
0
.
5
T
0.
5T
1
0
0
1+
Tr
0
.
5T/
2 1+
Tr
0
.
5T/2
W
h
at
is
th
epr
i
ceof
t
hef
l
oat
e
rt
wocou
pon
da
t
e
s
b
e
f
or
et
he
mat
ur
it
yd
at
e,
ti
me
T-
1?
P +c
oupo
n10
010
0 r /2
P
T
1T
0
.
5
T
1T0
.
5
1
0
0
1
+T
1r
T
0.
5/2 1 +
T
1r
T
0.
5/2
W
or
ki
n
gba
ck
war
d
st
ot
he
pr
es
en
t
,r
e
pe
at
e
dl
y
u
s
i
ngt
hi
sv
al
u
at
io
nme
t
ho
d,
pr
ov
e
st
ha
t
th
ep
ri
c
e
o
f
af
lo
at
er
is
al
wa
ys
eq
ua
lt
opa
r
on
aco
up
on
d
a
t
e.
26
Calculating the Swap Rate
Theswap rate is the fixed rate that sets the swap's value
equal to zero.
» If the swap is fixed-against-LIBOR, then the swap rate should be
above the Treasury rate.
Why?
27
Swap rate continued...
For each maturity T, the swap rate k(T) is the coupon rate
that sets the fixed-rate component equal to the floater. With
no default risk, the floater's value is par plus the present
value of the spread over Treasuries. Denote s as the spread,
and d as the discount factors; then for a semi-annual swap,
we have
k T s 2T
1
2
s 1
d s / 2 dT ,
21 dT
k T 2T s
ds / 2
s 1
28
Example
29
The Swap Curve
30
April 1,2000
Swap Curve & Treasury Curve
7.5
6.5
Swap
Treasury
6
5.5
5
1yr 2yr 3yr 5yr 10yr 30yr
31
January 1,2000
Swap Curve & Treasury Curve
7.5
6.5
Swap
Treasury
6
5.5
5
1yr 2yr 3yr 5yr 10yr 30yr
32
Swap Spreads (1997-2000)
1.6
1.4
1.2
1 30y-spread
0.8 5y-spread
0.6 1y-spread
0.4
0.2
0
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
97 97 97 98 98 98 98 99 99 99 99 00 00
33
C. Interest Rate Sensitivity
34
Example
I
n
t
e
r
e
s
t
r
at
e
s
e
n
s
i
t
i
vi
t
y
o
f
2
-
ye
a
r
5
.
5
%s
w
a
p
,
$
1
0
0
n
o
t
i
o
n
a
l
am
o
u
n
t
.
S
e
c
u
r
it
y M
a
rk
e
tD
ol
l
a
rD
ol
l
a
rDu
r
a
ti
o
nC
o
nv
e
x
i
t
y
V
a
l
ueD
ur
a
t
i
o
nC
on
v
e
x
it
y
T
w
o
-
Ye
a
r 1
00
.
0
0
1
9 1
8
7 44
9 1
.
8
7 4
.
4
9
5
.
5
%
-C
o
u
po
n
B
on
d
F
l
o
a
t
e
r 1
0
0
.
0
0
004
9 4
7 0
.
4
9 0
.
4
7
S
w
a
p -
0
.
0
0
19-
1
3
8 -
4
0
1
35
V. Credit Risk
36
Are the concerns warranted?
T
h
e
r
e
a
r
e
s
u
b
s
ta
n
t
i
a
l
d
i
f
f
e
re
n
c
e
s
be
t
w
e
e
n
l
o
a
ns
a
n
d
s
w
a
p
s
Loan Swap
» Full principal at risk » No principal at risk
» Full interest payments at risk » Only a spread payment is at risk
» Defaults always matter » Default matters only if in the
» Covenants apply money
» Long maturity contracts often
have rating-related
unwind/settlement triggers and
advanced credit enhancement
collateralization features
37
Characteristics of Swaps:
Credit Risk Issues #1
38
Characteristics of Swaps:
Credit Risk Issues #2
39
Characteristics of Swaps:
Credit Risk Issues #3
40
Credit Enhancement (Exchanges)
41
Credit Enhancement (OTC
Derivatives)
Netting Arrangements
» bilateral close-out is now standard in the ISDA master swap agreement
Position Limits
» RM group monitors the "exposure profile" for each counterparty
» each trade is considered for its portfolio effect
Margins and Collateral
» common to require dynamic margining
Derivative Product Companies
» dynamically capitalized
» AAA-rated SPVs
» Often a requirement for sovereigns
Recouponing
» periodic change of coupon +payment to bring the transaction to market
Credit Triggers
» if a counterparty falls below investment grade, the other counterparty may require an
immediate cash settlement (of questionable effectiveness)
» common for long-dated swaps
42
VI. Currency Swaps
43
Currency Swap:
fixed/fixed $/DM
C
O
U
N
T
ER
P
A
R
T
YDM
i
n
t
er
e
st
a
nd
p
ri
n
c
ip
a
lC
ou
n
t
e
r
p
ar
t
y
B
A
D
o
l
l
a
ri
n
te
r
e
st
a
nd
p
ri
n
c
ip
a
l
C
o
u
nt
e
r
pa
r
t
y
Ap
a
ys
a
st
r
e
a
mo
f
D
Mi
n
t
e
re
s
t
on
i
t
s
DM
p
r
i
n
ci
p
a
la
n
d
th
e
DM
p
r
i
nc
i
p
a
la
t
m
at
u
r
i
t
y
(b
o
t
hs
e
t
a
tc
o
n
t
ra
c
t
i
n
i
t
i
at
i
o
n
)i
n
e
xc
h
a
ng
e
f
or
a
s
t
re
a
mo
f
$
i
n
te
r
e
st
o
n
i
ts
$
p
r
in
c
i
p
a
l
a
n
d
th
e
$p
r
i
nc
i
p
a
lf
r
o
mc
o
u
n
te
r
p
a
r
ty
B
.
T
h
e
p
r
i
ma
r
y
mo
t
i
v
a
t
i
o
nf
o
r
t
h
es
w
a
p
i
st
h
a
t
co
u
n
t
e
r
p
a
r
t
yA
w
i
l
l
h
a
v
ea
n
a
mo
u
n
t
o
fD
M
i
tw
i
s
h
e
s
to
e
x
c
ha
n
g
e
f
o
r
$
,
a
n
d
v
i
c
ev
e
r
s
a.
(
T
h
u
s
,a
v
o
i
d
i
ng
c
u
r
r
r
en
c
y
r
is
k
b
y
s
w
a
p
pi
n
g
)
.
44
Other types of currency swaps
45
Interest Rate and Cross-Currency Swaps:
Notional Principal, Trillions $, 1995
4
.
37
2 0
.
41
9
0
.
2
3
.
85
4
1
.
050
.
11
0
.
85
6 0
.
04
6
2
.
12
8 0
.
45
I
nt
er
es
tR
at
e C
r
o
ss-
c
ur
re
n
cy
Swa
ps s
wap
s
U
S
Do
l
l
arJ
a
pa
nY
e
nDe
u
t
sc
he
ma
r
kPo
u
nd
s
te
r
l
in
gOt
he
r
46
Currency Swap Pricing
47
Comparison of Currency Swaps and
Forwards
S
a
m
e
p
r
e
s
e
nt
v
a
l
ue
a
s
t
h
e
di
f
f
e
r
e
nt
i
a
l
b
e
tw
e
e
n
th
e
s
p
o
t
a
n
d
f
o
r
w
a
d
ra
t
e
s
i
sm
i
r
r
o
r
e
di
n
d
i
f
f
er
e
n
c
e
sb
e
t
w
ee
n
i
n
t
e
r
e
st
c
a
s
h
f
l
o
w
s
i
nc
u
r
r
en
c
y
s
w
a
ps
.
48
VII. Other Types of Swaps
49
LTCM Example Reviewed:
European credit spreads
Swap spreads represent the spread between future LIBOR
(bank offer rates) and future T-bills. During the 1996-1997
period, UK swap spreads began to rise relative to German
swap spreads. In other words, UK swaps (relative to their
treasuries) were cheap compared to German swaps (relative
to their treasuries).
LTCM went long UK swap spreads and short German swap
spreads, betting they would eventually converge.
50
Swap Spreads: UK & Germany
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
UK spd
0.6
Ger. Spd
0.4
0.2
0
1/8/1996
-0.2 1/8/1997 1/8/1998 1/8/1999 1/8/2000
51
0
1
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
-0.4
-0.2
1/8/1996
5/8/1996
9/8/1996
1/8/1997
5/8/1997
9/8/1997
1/8/1998
5/8/1998
9/8/1998
1/8/1999
5/8/1999
9/8/1999
1/8/2000
Swap Spreads: UK & Germany
Diff.
52