AREVA 002-Fischer

AREVA and increasing global electricity
consumption
Dr. Kurt Fischer

AREVA NP
Vice President Strategic Marketing
International Conference on „Secure Energy Supply“

Bratislava September 26-27, 2006
AREVA NP
Energy, our core business
 Front end Division

Reactors
Reactorsand
and
Services Division
Services Division

 Back
Back end
end Division
Division
 Transmission and
Distribution Division
AREVA NPSlovak Nuclear Society – Slovak Nuclear Forum > AREVA NP GmbH < Kurt Fischer – September 26th 2006 4
Growing Population and Demand on Electrical
Power
Electricity
Primary Energies 25 000 Bill. kWh
World Population
15 400 Bill. kWh
19 Bill. t HCE1)
14 Bill. t HCE1)
8 Bill. Population
6 Bill. Population
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
1) Hard Coal Equivalent
Slovak Nuclear Society – Slovak Nuclear Forum > AREVA NP GmbH < Kurt Fischer – September 26th 2006 5
World Primary Energy Demand
(World Energy Council, Reference Scenario)
Billion TCE
30 27,1
Hydro power
25 Natural gas
19,4
20
Oil
13,7
15 12,6
10,4 Coal
10 7,9
5 Nuclear energy
Source: WEC/IIASA
Other
0 renewable
1970 1980 1990 1998 2020 2050 energies
Environment Protection
Emission of carbon dioxide
kg CO2 Fossil Regenerative Nuclear

pro kWh 0,95
1
0,72 Emissions in kg CO2/kWh
Operation
0,68
Fuel
0,75
Erection
0,5
0,37
Source: Siemens PG, own calculations

0,25 0,2
0,020 0,004 0,025

0
Lignite Hard Oil Gas Solar Wind Water Uranium
Coal (Photovoltaic)
Nuclear energy and Environment Protection
„Nuclear energy is the only no greenhouse gas-emitting power

source that can effectively replace fossil fuels and satisfy global
demand“
Patrick Moore, founder of Greenpeace, The Miami Herald, January 30, 2005
"It's like a slow-motion train crash. If we don't do anything about

this next year, and the next, nothing will happen. But we will find
soon that our electricity supply becomes even more fragile and
we get power cuts and it will get worse.”
Prof. Ian Fells, Chairman New and Renewable Energy Centre,
BBC News Website, 16. Mai 2005
World Nuclear Power Status
North America Western Europe Central & Eastern

 121  -  -  134  1  1 Europe
 70  8  5
Asia
 109  15  30
Africa
2 - -
South America
6 1 1
 In operation
 Under construction
 In planning
May 2006 – 442 Nuclear Power Plants worldwide

Source: WNA & IAEA
Economical Best Alternative: Nuclear Power
Need of Electricity in Finland
emission trade
20 €/t CO2 generation cost of electricity, with emission trading
60,0 fuel
54.2
49.1 50.1
50,0 operation/ 46.8
maintenance 19.6 10.0
38.2
40,0 capital cost 35.3 16.2
7.0 25.6
27.7
30,0 27.3
22.8 23.7 17.9
17.9
2.7
20,0 22.4 40.1
14.9 7.2 8.2
Euro/MWh 6.5
7.4
10,0
13.8 3.5 13.0
10.2
7.6 5.3
0,0
Elspot Elspot Elspot Elspot Elspot Nuclear Coal Gas Peat Wood Wind
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Operating hours
2200 hours/year
real interest rate: 5.0 % Operating hours 8000 hours/year

prices: March 2004
Source: R.Tarjanne & K. Luostarinen 06.04.2004
Lappeenranta University of Technology
Perspectives for New NPPs
Driving Forces  Rising electricity demand and/or need for replace-

ment of aging nuclear and fossil power plants
 Instability of international markets for fossil fuels
 Ongoing commitment to improving the environment
and combating climate change
 Security of supply in baseload power generation
 Competitive power production costs
> Slovak
AREVA NP Slovak Nuclear Nuclear
Society Society
– Slovak – Slovak
Nuclear Forum Nuclear Forum > AREVA NP GmbH < Kurt Fischer – September 26th 2006 11
11
Perspectives for New NPPs
Prerequisites  Competitive NPPs

 Safety enhancement (CDF < 10 -6/a)
 Worldwide-acting vendors of NPPs
with long-term commitment
 Viable sub-supplier base
 Ongoing R&D and education in nuclear technology
 High-level waste repositories (long-term issue)
as one of the keys for
 Public acceptance
> Slovak
Society Society
12
Age of fleet and increasing power demand result in
new and replacement power plant capacity
700
GW
EU-25
600 139
Required capacity Expansion
2016 - 2030
500 Expansion 84
-2015
Others
Replacement 221
400 Oil Replacement 139 2016 - 2030
-2015
Gas
300
Expansion 84
138
112 102 -2015
200 Coal 90
30
Replacement 139
-2015
100 1 - 10 11 - 20 21 - 30 31 - 40 > 40
Nuclear Age in years
Age structure of installed capacity in
GW
0
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Areva’s scenarios fit with existing trends
600
550
Areva’s scenarios
500
450
GWe
Actual capacity in 2004

400
350
300
250
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
DOE-EIA High DOE-EIA Low OCDE-IEA Reference

OCDE-IEA Alternative IAEA-High IAEA-Low
Reactor Generations
TN
1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
Generation II
Generation
Early Prototype
Early Prototype Reactors
Reactors
Generation IIII
Generation
Commercial Power
Commercial Power Reactors:
Reactors: PWR,
PWR, BWR,
BWR, CANDU,
CANDU, VVER/RBMK
VVER/RBMK
incl. modernization,
incl. modernization, power
power increase
increase and
and life
life time
time extension
extension
Generation III,
Generation III, III+
III+
Reactors with
Reactors with further
further enhanced
enhanced safety
safety and
and increased
increased competitiveness:
competitiveness:
Advanced water
Advanced water cooled
cooled reactors,
reactors, e.
e. g.
g. EPR,
EPR, SWR
SWR 1000,
1000, ABWR,
ABWR, AP1000
AP1000
Generation IV
Generation IV
Future Additional Reactor concepts:
Future Additional Reactor concepts:
e. g. HTR, FR
e. g. HTR, FR
Fusion
Fusion
> Slovak
Society Society
15
Third-generation reactors:
Enhanced Safety, improved cost-effectiveness
SWR 1000 EPR (Evolutionary Power Reactor)
An advanced design based on proven technology

AREVA NP Slovak Nuclear Society – Slovak Nuclear Forum > AREVA NP GmbH < Kurt Fischer – September 26th 2006 16
EPR Conception – 3rd Generation
AN EVEN MORE
COMPETITIVE
GREATER REACTOR
PROTECTION
OF THE Electrical Power
around 1600 Mwe,
ENVIRONMENT
HIGHER LEVEL Increased
Energy efficiency,
OF SAFETY
Uses less uranium, Better use of fuel,
produces less plutonium Service life extended
Additional measures to and generates to 60 years,
prevent the occurrence less long-lived
of events likely to radioactive waste Increase of reactor
damage the core availability – over 90%
An extremely robust, Simplified maintenance
leak tight containment operation
Reduced exposure
of operating and
maintenance personnel
Conception of the EPR
Reactor Building
Safeguard Building 1
Fuel Building Safeguard Building 2+3
Nuclear Auxiliary Building Diesel Building 3+4
Waste Building
Turbine Building
Safeguard Building 4
Diesel Building 1+2
Office Building
Access Building C.I. Electrical Building
OLKILUOTO , 2009
SWR 1000 – our BWR option
 The SWR was optionally proposed for OL 3 and its licensability

confirmed
 The SWR 1000 remains an AREVA NP product for new builds
 Selected SWR 1000 features will be offered in modernization projects
Decision Taken for the First EPR in France
Nuclear Power covers 78% of electricity;
France features the lowest CO2 emission of all OECD countries
A new energy law is in the voting process of the parliament
with the aim to give priority to nuclear power in national
energy strategy
Start in next decade with modernization of the
existing power plant pool
NPPs of EPR type are planned to replace older plants
The first EPR will be erected on site of Flamanville from 2007 on
Positioning the EPR on the US market
 AREVA’s goal is to deploy EPR plants in the USA and therefore to

licence the EPR design
Design Certification Application: end 2007
► AREVA and Constellation have formed UniStar Nuclear - a unique

business model - to market the U.S. EPR in the USA
 Several US utilities have expressed strong interest and consider

EPR as a viable option for future needs.
► The U.S.EPR will be 100% American:

 Re-engineered to conform US codes and standards
 80% of supply to originate from the USA
 Long-term industrial partnership contemplated
 UniStar recently stepped into component manufacturing in USA
Three Tasks for Nuclear Energy,
Today and Tomorrow
Cover part of power demand growth

in industrialized and emerging countries
Substitution of aging base-load power plants
in industrialized countries, starting about 2010
Deployment of nuclear energy in new fields
other than electricity generation,
based on new reactor types („Generation IV“)
We are ready
to bear these
challenges!
Back Up
EPR Safety Improvements
Main Safeguard Systems of the EPR
Double containment Melt core

with ventilation and cooling area
filtration
Water reserves Containment heat

inside the dispersion
containment system
Spreading Area Four redundant

protection of safety systems
the basemat
Evolution of AREVA NP’s BWR Technology
• Kahl (1961) • Würgassen 2) • Gundremmingen B/C

• Gundremmingen A • Brunsbüttel (1977) 3) (1984/85)
• Lingen (1968) 1) • Philippsburg 1
• Isar 1
• Tullnerfeld
• Krümmel
SWR 1000
(1992-2002)
Product Line 72
Product Line 69
Pressure
containment
1) First BWR with Fine Motion Control Rod Drives
2) With external Recirculation Loops & Internal Jet Pumps
3) First BWR with Reactor Internal Recirculation Pumps
“Solid basis of experience with outstanding performance.”

G8 - Nuclear Generation (TWh and %)
USA
811.9 TWh
FRA
434.7 TWh JAP
313.5 TWh
78.0 % GER
RUS
GB
164.8 TWh CAN
Source: McGraw-Hill
139.8 TWh 89.6 TWh
34.3 % 30.6 % 75.9 TWh
20.4 % 15.4% 21.9%
11.8 %
Governance
Chairman of the Supervisory Board:

Frédéric Lemoine
Chairman of the Executive Board:
Anne Lauvergeon
Shareholders
Commissariat à l'Energie Atomique (CEA) 79%
French State 5%
Investment certificate holders listed on the SBF 120 4%
Caisse des dépôts et consignations 4%
ERAP 3%
EDF 2%
Framépargne 2%
Total 1%
Key data for 2005
Sales revenue by division
(in millions of euros and employees)
Reactors
Reactors Transmission
Transmission
Front End Back end
Back End
Front end &&Services
Services &&Distribution
Distribution
division division
division
division
division division
division
 Employees  Employees  Employees  Employees

11,047 14,323 10,864 22,094
 Sales  Sales  Sales  Sales
€ 2.631 M € 2.348 M € 1.921 M € 3.212 M
Transmission & Distribution Front End division

division
€ 10.1 M
Reactors & Services

Back End division division
The Finland case:
Why additional Nuclear Power?
New nuclear power plant

covers partly the additional electricity demand and replaces
old power plants
enables, together with renewable, the fulfillment of the

Kyoto commitments
secures stable and predictable electrical price
reduces the dependence on electricity import
AREVA Company Structure
 € 10.1 billion sales

 58,760 employees
As of 2005
66%
AREVA
COGEMANC AREVA NP
FRAMATOME ANP AREVA T&D
34%
SIEMENS AG
Generation IV International Forum (GIF):
Reactor Types Selected for Development
Gas Fast Reactor (GFR) Very High Temperature Reactor (VHTR) Sodium Fast Reactor (SFR)
Super Critical Water cooled Reactor (SCWR) Lead Fast Reactor (LFR) Molten Salt Reactor (MSR)

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AREVA and increasing global electricity

Dr. Kurt Fischer

International Conference on „Secure Energy Supply“

 Front end Division

15 400 Bill. kWh

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020

1) Hard Coal Equivalent

kg CO2 Fossil Regenerative Nuclear

Source: Siemens PG, own calculations

0,020 0,004 0,025

„Nuclear energy is the only no greenhouse gas-emitting power

"It's like a slow-motion train crash. If we don't do anything about

North America Western Europe Central & Eastern

May 2006 – 442 Nuclear Power Plants worldwide

real interest rate: 5.0 % Operating hours 8000 hours/year

Driving Forces  Rising electricity demand and/or need for replace-

Prerequisites  Competitive NPPs

Actual capacity in 2004

DOE-EIA High DOE-EIA Low OCDE-IEA Reference

SWR 1000 EPR (Evolutionary Power Reactor)

An advanced design based on proven technology

Fuel Building Safeguard Building 2+3

Nuclear Auxiliary Building Diesel Building 3+4

Diesel Building 1+2

Access Building C.I. Electrical Building

 The SWR was optionally proposed for OL 3 and its licensability

 AREVA’s goal is to deploy EPR plants in the USA and therefore to

Design Certification Application: end 2007

► AREVA and Constellation have formed UniStar Nuclear - a unique

 Several US utilities have expressed strong interest and consider

► The U.S.EPR will be 100% American:

Cover part of power demand growth

Double containment Melt core

Water reserves Containment heat

Spreading Area Four redundant

• Kahl (1961) • Würgassen 2) • Gundremmingen B/C

“Solid basis of experience with outstanding performance.”

434.7 TWh JAP

Chairman of the Supervisory Board:

 Employees  Employees  Employees  Employees

Transmission & Distribution Front End division

Reactors & Services

New nuclear power plant

enables, together with renewable, the fulfillment of the

secures stable and predictable electrical price

reduces the dependence on electricity import

 € 10.1 billion sales

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