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ANALYSIS
Made By: GROUP 6
• The recovery of an amount of capital P committed to an asset, plus the time value
of the capital at a particular interest rate.
• Capital recovery is the equivalent annual amount that the asset, process, or system
must earn each year to just recover the initial investment plus a stated rate of return
Evaluating Alternatives by Annual Worth
Analysis
• One alternative: if AW ≥ 0. the requested MARR is met or exceeded and
the alternative is economically justified.
• Two or more alternatives: select the alternative with the AW that is
numerically largest. This indicates a lower AW of cost alternatives or a larger
AW of net cash flows revenue alternatives.
AW and Permanent Investment
• Cash flows recurring at regular or irregular intervals are handled exactly as a
conventional AW computations
• Convert them to equivalent uniform annual amounts A for one cycle.
Life-Cycle Cost Analysis
• Life-cycle cost analysis utilizes AW or PW methods to evaluate cost estimates
for one project and big event.
Phases in Life-Cycle Cost Analysis
PAYBACK PERIOD
Definition
The payback period np is an estimated time for the revenues, savings, and any other monetary
benefits to completely recover the initial investment plus a stated rate of return i.
In other word, The payback period is the length of time that it takes for a project to recover its initial cost out of the
cash receipts that it generates.
Types of Payback Period
SIMPLE PAYBACK DISCOUNTED PAYBACK
• In other term, usually called no return • The stated of return rate is bigger than zero
payback ( i=0%) ( i>0%)
• The recovery of only the initial investment • The time value of money is considered
Each type of the payback period used different equations to solve the problem
Where, - NCF = Net Cash Flow
-P = Initial investment
Advantages and Disadvantages
Disadvantages Advantages
• For the simple payback, the time value of • The concept is extremely simple to understand
money is completely disregarded in the and calculate.
payback method, which is calculated by
counting the number of years it takes to • The analysis is focused on how quickly money
recover the cash invested. can be returned from an investment, which is
essentially a measure of risk.
• Either type of payback neglects all cash
flows occurring after the payback period.
Thus it is better to use payback as an initial
screening method
Example
Even Cash Flows
Solution
Payback Period = Initial Investment ÷ Annual Cash Flow = $105M ÷ $25M = 4.2 years
Example
The board of directors of Halliburton International has just approved an $18 million world- wide engineering
construction design contract. The services are expected to generate new annual net cash flows of $3 million. The
contract has a potentially lucrative repayment clause to Halliburton of $3 million at any time that the contract is
canceled by either party during the 10 years of the contract period. If i 15%, compute the payback period.
Solution
The net cash flow each year is $3 million. The single $3 million payment (call it CV for cancellation value) could be
received at any time within the 10-year contract period.
0 = -P + NCF(P/A,i,n) + CV(P/F,i,n)
The 15% payback period is np 15.3 years, found by trail and error. During the period of 10 years, the contract will
not deliver the required return.