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RMIT University©Aug-18 2
Topic Outline
• Derivatives, Hedging and • Duration hedging
Risk • Swap contracts
• Forward Contracts • Actual use of Derivatives
• Futures contracts
• Hedging
3
3
Forward Contracts
• A forward contract specifies that a certain commodity
will be exchanged at a specified time in the future at a
price specified today
4
4
Futures Contracts
• A future contract is like a forward contract
o Contract Size
o Delivery Month
• Daily resettlement
• Initial Margin
7
Suppose you want to speculate on a rise in the $/¥
Dailyrate
exchange Resettlement: An
(specifically, you think Example
that the dollar will2
appreciate).
Currency per
U.S. $ equivalent U.S. $
Wed Tue Wed Tue
Japan (yen) 0.007142857 0.007194245 140 139
1-month forward 0.006993007 0.007042254 143 142
3-months forward 0.006666667 0.006711409 150 149
6-months forward 0.00625 0.006289308 160 159
Currently $1 = ¥140.
The 3-month forward price is $1=¥150.
8
Daily Resettlement: An Example 3
• • Currently
Currently $1$1 == ¥140,
¥140,andandit appears
it appears thatthat
the dollar
the is
dollar is strengthening.
strengthening.
• • IfIfyou
youenter intoa a3-month
enter into 3-month futures
futures contract
contract to sell to
¥ at
sell
the¥rate
at the
of $1rate of $1
= ¥150 you= will
¥150 you
profit willyen
if the profit if
the yen depreciates. The contract size is
depreciates. The contract size is ¥12,500,000
¥12,500,000
• • Your
Yourinitial
initial margin
marginisis4%4%ofofthethe
contract
contractvalue:
value:
$1
$3,333.33 = 0.04 × ¥12,500,000 ×
¥150
9
Daily Resettlement: An Example 4
• If tomorrow the futures rate closes at $1 = ¥149, then
your position’s value drops (¥ appreciated).
If tomorrow the futures rate closes at $1 = ¥149,
• Your
then youroriginal agreement
position’s valuewas to sell
drops (¥ ¥12,500,000 and
appreciated).
receive $83,333.33:
Your original agreement was to sell ¥12,500,000
and receive $83,333.33:
$1
$83,333.33 = ¥12,500,000 ×
¥150
But, ¥12,500,000 is now worth $83,892.62:
$1
$83,892.62 = ¥12,500,000 × 10
then your position’s value drops (¥ appreciated).
our original agreement was to sell ¥12,500,000
and receive $83,333.33:
Daily Resettlement: An Example
$1 5
$83,333.33 = ¥12,500,000 ×
¥150
• But, ¥12,500,000 is now worth $83,892.62:
But, ¥12,500,000 is now worth $83,892.62:
$1
$83,892.62 = ¥12,500,000 ×
¥149
You lost
You have have lost $559.29
$559.29 overnight.overnight.
11
Daily Resettlement: An Example 6
• The $559.29 comes out of your $3,333.33 margin
• The $559.29
account, comes
leaving out of your $3,333.33
$2,774.04.
margin account, leaving $2,774.04.
• This is short of the $3,355.70 required for a new
• This is short of the $3,355.70 required for a
position.
new position.
$1
$3,355.70 = 0.04 × ¥12,500,000 ×
¥149
Your broker will let you slide until you run through
your maintenance margin. Then you must post
additional funds, or your position will be closed out. 12
Daily Resettlement: An Example 7
• Your broker will let you slide until you run through your
maintenance margin. Then you must post additional
funds, or your position will be closed out.
13
Selected Futures Contracts
Contract Contract Size Exchange
Agricultural
Corn 5,000 bushels Chicago BOT
Wheat 5,000 bushels Chicago & KC
Cocoa 10 metric tons CSCE
OJ 15,000 lbs. CTN
Metals & Petroleum
Copper 25,000 lbs. CMX
Gold 100 troy oz. CMX
Unleaded gasoline 42,000 gal. NYM
Financial
British Pound £62,500 IMM
Japanese Yen ¥12.5 million IMM
Eurodollar $1 million LIFFE 14
14
Basic Futures Relationships
• Open Interest refers to the number of contracts
outstanding for a particular delivery month.
15
Hedging
• Two counterparties with offsetting risks can eliminate
risk.
18
price decrease. Corn is quoted in cents per bushel
at 5,000 bushels per contract. It is currently at
$2.30 cents for a contract 3 months out, and the
Hedging: How
spot price is $2.05.
many contracts? 2
To•hedge, you will
To hedge, you sell 10 corn
will sell futures
10 corn contracts:
futures contracts:
50,000 bushels
10 contracts =
5,000 bushels per contract
Now you can quit worrying about the price of corn
• Now you can quit worrying about the price of corn and
and get back to worrying about the weather.
get back to worrying about the weather.
19
Interest Rate Futures Contracts
• Pricing of Treasury Bonds
• Futures Contracts
20
Pricing of Treasury Bonds
• Consider
Consider a Treasury
a Treasury bond bond
thatthat pays
pays a semiannual
a semiannual
coupon of $C
coupon of for thethe
$C for next T years:
next T years:
• –The
Theyield
yieldtotomaturity
maturityis Ris R
C C C CF
…
0 1 2 3 2T
• Value
Value of the T-bond
of the T-bondunder
underaaflat
flatterm
term structure
structure = PV of
= PV of face value + PV of coupon payments
face value + PV of coupon payments
21
Pricing of Treasury Bonds 2
• If the term
Consider structure
a Treasury of interest
bond that paysrates is not flat, then we
a semiannual
coupon
needofto$C for thethe
discount next T years:at different rates
payments
If the term structure of interest rates is not flat,
–depending
The
thenyield to maturity
we need
upon discountisthe
tomaturity. R payments at
C Cupon maturity. C F
C depending
different rates
C C C … CF
…
0 1 2 3 2T
0 1 2 3 2T
• Value offace
= PV of the T-bond under
value + PV a flat term
of coupon structure
payments
= PV of=face
PV of face value + PV of coupon payments
value + PV of coupon payments
C C C CF
PV
(1 R1 ) (1 R2 ) (1 R3 )
2 3
(1 R2T )T
22
Pricing of Forward Contracts
An An
N-period forward
N-period forwardcontract
contract on thatT-Bond:
on that T-Bond:
An N-Period forward contract on that T-Bond:
Pforward
PforwardCC CC CC CCFF
…
…
0 0 N N N+1 N+1 N+2 N+2 N+3
N+3 N+2T
N+2T
CanCan
be be valued
valued asasthe
thepresent
present value
value of
of the
theforward
forwardprice.
price.
Can be valued as the present value of the forward price.
PPforward
PV
PV (1 R )NN
forward
(1 RNN )
C C C CF
C C C CF
(1 RN 1) (1 RN 2 2) 2 (1 RN 3 )33 (1 RN 2T )T T
PV(1 R ) (1 R ) (1R R) NN 3 ) (1 RN 2T )
PV N 1 N 2 (1 N
(1 RN ) N
23
Pricing of Futures Contracts
• A pricing equation given above will be a good
approximation
24
Hedging in Interest Rate Futures
• A mortgage lender who has agreed to loan money in
the future at prices set today can hedge by selling
those mortgages forward.
25
Duration Hedging
• As an alternative to hedging with futures or forwards,
one can hedge by matching the interest rate risk of
assets with the interest rate risk of liabilities.
RMIT University©Aug-18
26
Duration Hedging 2
• Duration measures the combined effect of maturity,
coupon rate, and YTM on a bond’s price sensitivity to
interest rates.
27
Duration Formula
28
Calculating Duration: Example
• Calculate the duration of a three-year bond that pays a
semiannual coupon of $40 and has $1,000 par value
then the YTM is 8%.
29
Calculating Duration: Example 2
Years Cash flow Factor Value /Bond price
0.5 $40.00 0.96154 $38.46 0.0192
1 $40.00 0.92456 $36.98 0.0370
1.5 $40.00 0.88900 $35.56 0.0533
2 $40.00 0.85480 $34.19 0.0684
2.5 $40.00 0.82193 $32.88 0.0822
3 $1,040.00 0.79031 $821.93 2.4658
$1,000.00 2.7259 years
Bond price Bon duration
Duration is expressed in units of time, usually years
30
Duration
• Properties:
31
Swaps Contracts
• In a swap, two counterparties consent to acontractual
arrangement wherein they agree to exchange cash
flows at periodic intervals.
Company B Company A
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + .5% LIBOR
RMIT University©Aug-18
36
An Example of an Interest Rate Swap
4
The swap bank makes this offer to Bank A: You pay
LIBOR - 1/8% per year on $10 million for 5 years, and we
will pay you 10 3/8% on $10 million for 5 years
38
An Example of an Interest Rate Swap
6
½% of $10,000,000 =
½% of $10,000,000 = $ $50,000. That’s quite
Swap H
a cost savings per year
50,000. That’s quite a cost for 5 years. Swap Bank T
Bank 10
saving per year for 5 years 10 3/8% bo
LIBOR – 1/8% -1
Bank L
10% be
A fl
COMPANY B
Company B Company
Fixed rate
A 11.75%
Fixed rate 11.75% 10%
Floating rate LIBOR + .5%
41
An Example of an Interest Rate Swap
9
• ½ % of $10,000,000 = $50,000 that’s quite a cost
saving per year for 5 years.
Here’s what’s in it for B:
½ % of $10,000,000 =
Swap $50,000 that’s quite a cost
Swap Bank
savings per year for 5
Bank
years.
They can borrow externally at 10 ½%
46
An Example of a Currency Swap 3
• Consider two firms A and B: firm A is a U.S.—based
multinational and firm B is a U.K.—based multinational.
$ £
Company A 8.0% 11.6%
Company B 10.0% 12.0%
47
An Example of a Currency Swap 4
Swap
Swap Bank
Bank
$8% $9.4%
£11% £12%
$8% Firm Firm £12%
Firm A Firm B
A B
$ £
Company A 8.0% 11.6%
Company B
$10.0% 12.0%
£
Company A 8.0% 11.6%
Company B 10.0% 12.0%
48
An Example of a Currency Swap 5
A’s net position is to borrow at £11%. A saves £.6%
Swap
Swap Bank
Bank
$8% $9.4%
£11% £12%
$8% Firm Firm £12%
Firm A Firm B
A B
$$ £ £
Company
Company A A 8.0%
8.0% 11.6% 11.6%
Company
Company B B 10.0%
10.0% 12.0% 12.0%
49
An Example of a Currency Swap 6
B’s net position is to borrow at £9.4%. A saves £.6%
Swap
Swap Bank
Bank
$8% $9.4%
£11% £12%
$8% Firm Firm £12%
Firm A Firm B
A B
$$ £ £
Company
Company A A 8.0%
8.0% 11.6% 11.6%
Company
Company B B 10.0%
10.0% 12.0% 12.0%
50
An Example of a Currency Swap 7
The swap bank makes money too: 1.4% of $16 million
financed with 1% of £10 million per year for 5 years.
o amortizing
53
Variations of Basic Swaps 2
• Interest Rate Swaps
o zero-for floating
• Exotics
54
Risks of Interest Rate and Currency
Swaps
• Interest Rate Risk
• Basis Risk
• Credit Risk
• Sovereign Risk
RMIT University©Aug-18
58
Actual Use of Derivatives
• Because derivatives do not appear on the balance
sheet, they present a challenge to financial economists
who wish to observe their use.
60