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Make substantive
economic decisions
affecting operations.
The Decision-Making Process
1. Clarify the Decision Problem.
Quantitative
3. Identify the Alternatives.
Analysis
6. Make a Decision.
The Decision-Making Process
1. Clarify the Decision Problem..
6. Make a Decision.
The Decision-Making Process
1. Clarify the Decision Problem.
6. Make a Decision.
Relevant Information
Sunk cost
Let’s look at
an
example.
Sunk Costs
Worldwide Airways is thinking about replacing a three-
year-old loader with a new, more efficient loader.
New loader
List price $ 15,000
Annual operating expenses 45,000
Expected life in years 1
Old loader
Original cost(no salvage) $ 100,000
Remaining book value 25,000
Disposal value now 5,000
Annual variable expenses 80,000
Remaining life in years 1
Sunk Costs
The new loader will be fully depreciated in one
year and will have no salvage value.
Sunk Costs
Ke e p Old R e pl a c e O l d D iffe re n tia l
Loa d e r Lo a d e r Cos t
D e pr e c i a t i o n o f o l d l o a d e r $ 2 5 ,0 0 0
W r i t e -o f f o f o l d l o a d e r $ 2 5 ,0 0 0 $ -
IfIf we
wekeep
keepthetheold
old loader,
loader,we
we will
willhavehave depreciation
depreciation
costs
costs of
of$25,000.
$25,000. IfIf wewereplace
replacethe the old
oldloader,
loader,
we
we will
willwrite
write off
off the
the$25,000
$25,000when
when sold. sold. There
Thereisis
no
nodifference
difference in inthe
the cost,
cost, so
soitit isis not
notrelevant.
relevant.
Exh.
14-2
Sunk Costs
Ke e p Old R e pl a c e O l d D iffe re n tia l
Loa d e r Lo a d e r Cos t
D e pr e c i a t i o n o f o l d l o a d e r $ 2 5 ,0 0 0
W r i t e -o f f o f o l d l o a d e r $ 2 5 ,0 0 0 $ -
P r o ce e d s fr o m s a le o f o ld lo a d e r ( 5 ,0 0 0 ) 5 ,0 0 0
The
The$5,000
$5,000proceeds
proceedswill
will only
onlybe
berealized
realizedifif we
we
replace
replacethe
theold
oldloader.
loader. This
Thisamount
amount isisrelevant.
relevant.
Exh.
14-2
Sunk Costs
Keep Old Replace Old Differential
Loader Loader Cost
Depreciation of old loader $ 25,000
Write-off of old loader $ 25,000 $ -
Proceeds from sale of old loader (5,000) 5,000
Cost of new loader 15,000 (15,000)
WeWewill
willonly
only have
havedepreciation
depreciationononthe
thenew
newloader
loader
ififwe
wereplace
replacethe
theold
oldloader.
loader. This
Thiscost
cost isis relevant.
relevant.
Exh.
14-2
Sunk Costs
Ke e p Old R e pl a c e O l d D iffe re n tia l
Loa d e r Lo a d e r Cos t
D e pr e c i a t i o n o f o l d l o a d e r $ 2 5 ,0 0 0
W r i t e -o f f o f o l d l o a d e r $ 2 5 ,0 0 0 $ -
P r o ce e d s fr o m s a le o f o ld lo a d e r ( 5 ,0 0 0 ) 5 ,0 0 0
D e pr e c i a t i o n o f n e w l o a d e r 1 5 ,0 0 0 ( 1 5 ,0 0 0 )
O pe r a t i n g c o s t s 8 0 ,0 0 0 4 5 ,0 0 0 3 5 ,0 0 0
To ta l cos ts $ 1 0 5 ,0 0 0 $ 8 0 ,0 0 0 $ 2 5 ,0 0 0
Only
Onlythe
thedifference
differencein inoperating
operatingcosts
costs isisrelevant
relevant
to
to the
the immediate
immediatedecision.
decision.
Sunk Costs
We could prepare the analysis
using only relevant costs:
Relevant Cost Analysis
Savings in variable expenses
provided by the new loader $ 35,000
Cost of the new loader (15,000)
Disposal value of old loader 5,000
Net effect $ 25,000
Analysis of Special Decisions
We just received
a special order. Do
you think we should
accept it?
Accept or Reject a Special
Order
A travel agency offers Worldwide Airways $150,000
for a round-trip flight from Hawaii to Japan on a
jumbo jet.
Worldwide usually gets $250,000 in revenue from
this flight.
The airline is not currently planning to add any
new routes and has two planes that are idle and
could be used to meet the needs of the agency.
The next screen shows cost data developed by
managerial accountants at Worldwide.
Exh.
14-6
Since
Sincethe
thecharter
charterwill
willcontribute
contributeto
tofixed
fixedcosts
costsand
andwewe
have
haveidle
idlecapacity,
capacity,Worldwide
Worldwideshould
shouldaccept
acceptthe
theflight.
flight.
Accept or Reject a Special
Order
What if Worldwide had no excess capacity. If we accept the charter, we
will have to cut our least profitable route that currently contributes
$80,000 to fixed costs and profits. Should we still accept the charter?
Accept or Reject a Special
Order
What if Worldwide had no excess capacity. If we accept the charter, we
will have to cut our least profitable route that currently contributes
$80,000 to fixed costs and profits. Should we still accept the charter?
Wow, that’s
no deal!
Outsource a Product or Service
Summary
Contribution margin lost if digital
watches are dropped $ (300,000)
Less fixed costs that can be avoided
Salary of the line manager $ 90,000
Advertising - direct 100,000
Rent - factory space 70,000 260,000
Net disadvantage $ (40,000)
Add or Drop a Product
DECISION RULE
Swick should drop the digital watch
segment only if its fixed cost savings
exceed lost contribution margin.
Special Decisions in
Manufacturing Firms
Joint Products:
Sell or Process Further
Instant cocoa
mix sales value
$2,000 for
500 pounds
Joint Products
A llo c a t io n
J o in t S a le s V a lu e R e la t iv e o f J o in t
C osts J o in t P r o d u c t s a t S p lit - O ff P r o p o r t io n C osts
C o co a B u tter $ 750 60% $ 660
$ 1,100
C ocoa P ow der
Allocation
Joint Sales Value Relative of Joint
Costs Joint Products at Split-Off Proportion Costs
Cocoa Butter $ 750 60% $ 660
$ 1,100
Cocoa Powder 500 40% 440
$ 1,250 100% $ 1,100
Joint Products
Process Further
Sales value of instant cocoa mix $ 2,000
Sales value of cocoa pow der 500
Incremental revenue $ 1,500
Less: separable processing costs (800)
N et benefit of further processing $ 700
Products
W ebs H ighs
C ontribution margin per unit $ 24 ?
Time required to produce one unit ÷ 1.00 min. ?
C ontribution margin per minute $ 24 min. ?
Limited Resources
Products
W ebs H ighs
C ontribution margin per unit $ 24 $ 15
Time required to produce one unit ÷ 1.00 min. ÷ 0.50 min.
C ontribution margin per minute $ 24 min. $ 30 min.
Limited Resources
W ebs H ighs
P r oduction and sales (units) 1,300 2,200
C ontr ibution mar gin per unit $ 24 $ 15
Total con tr ibution m ar gin $ 31,200 $ 33,000
Reduce non-value-
Retrain employees
added activities
Uncertainty
Webs Highs
Possible value Possible value
of contribution Expected of contribution Expected
margin Probability Value margin Probability Value
$ 23.00 30% $ 6.90 $ 14.00 10% $ 1.40
24.00 50% 12.00 15.00 40% 6.00
25.00 20% 5.00 16.00 50% 8.00
$ 23.90 $ 15.40
Expected Values
Webs Highs
Possible value Possible value
of contribution Expected of contribution Expected
margin Probability Value margin Probability Value
$ 23.00 30% $ 6.90 $ 14.00 10% $ 1.40
24.00 50% 12.00 15.00 40% 6.00
25.00 20% 5.00 16.00 50% 8.00
$ 23.90 $ 15.40
Other Issues in Decision Making
Short-Run
Incentives for Versus
Decision Makers Long-Run
Decisions
Other Issues in Decision Making
Pitfalls to Avoid
Sunk Allocated
costs. fixed costs.
Unitized Opportunity
fixed costs. costs.