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3
Key Objective
Ability to compute the future value of an investment made
today
Ability to compute the present value of cash to be received at
some future date
Ability to compute the return on an investment
Ability to compute the number of periods that equates a present
value and a future value given an interest rate
Ability compute the effective rate of return if compounding is
half yearly/quarterly/monthly/daily
4
Basic Definitions
Present Value – earlier money on a time line
Future Value – later money on a time line
Interest rate – “exchange rate” between earlier money
and later money
◦ Discount rate
◦ Cost of capital
◦ Opportunity cost of capital
◦ Required return
5
Future Values
Suppose you invest INR 1,000 for one year at 5% per
year. What is the future value in one year?
◦ Interest = 1,000(.05) = 50
◦ Value in one year = principal + interest = 1,000 + 50 =
1,050
◦ Future Value (FV) = 1,000(1 + .05) = 1,050
Suppose you leave the money in for another year. How
much will you have two years from now?
◦ FV = 1,000(1.05)(1.05) = 1,000(1.05)2 = 1,102.50
6
Future Values: General Formula
FV = PV(1 + r)t
◦ FV = future value
◦ PV = present value
◦ r = period interest rate, expressed as a decimal
◦ t = number of periods
Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t
7
Effects of Compounding
Simple interest
Compound interest
Consider the previous example
◦ FV with simple interest = 1,000 + 50 + 50 = 1,100
◦ FV with compound interest = 1,102.50
◦ The extra 2.50 comes from the interest of .05(50)
= 2.50 earned on the first interest payment
8
Present Values
How much do I have to invest today to have some
amount in the future?
◦ FV = PV(1 + r)t
◦ Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)t
When we talk about discounting, we mean finding the
present value of some future amount.
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Present Value – One Period
Example
Suppose you need INR10,000 in one year for the down
payment on a new car. If you can earn 7% annually, how
much do you need to invest today?
PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9,345.79
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Present Values – Example 2
You want to begin saving for your sisters college
education and you estimate that she will need
INR4500,000 in 17 years. If you feel confident that
you can earn 8% per year, how much do you need to
invest today?
11
Present Values – Example 3
Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago
that is now worth INR19,671.51. If the fund earned
7% per year, how much did your parents invest?
◦ 10,000
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The Basic PV Equation - Refresher
PV = FV / (1 + r)t
There are four parts to this equation
◦ PV, FV, r and t
◦ If we know any three, we can solve for the fourth
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Discount Rate
Often we will want to know what the implied
interest rate is on an investment
Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for r
◦ FV = PV(1 + r)t
◦ r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1
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Discount Rate – Example 1
You are looking at an investment that will pay
INR1,200 in 5 years if you invest INR1,000
today. What is the implied rate of interest?
◦ r = (1,200 / 1,000)1/5 – 1 = .03714 = 3.714%
15
Discount Rate – Example 2
Suppose you are offered an investment that will
allow you to double your money in 6 years. You
have INR10,000 to invest. What is the implied
rate of interest?
16
Discount Rate – Example 3
17
Compare the two investments
You are offered the following investments:
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Number of Periods – Example 1
300,000 = 100,000*(1.1)^n
Formula: n = ln(300,000 / 100,000) / ln(1.1)
11.52670461
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Non-annual Compounding
So far we have assumed that the time period is equal to
a year
However, there is no reason that a time period can’t be
any other length of time
We could assume that interest is earned semi-annually,
quarterly, monthly, daily, or any other length of time
The only change that must be made is to make sure that
the rate of interest is adjusted to the period length
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)
Nm
i
FV PV 1
m
In this version of the equation ‘m’ is the number of
compounding periods per year
Non-annual Compounding (cont.)
FV 1,000110
. 1100
1
First National Bank: ,
12
.
010
Second National Bank: FV 1,000 1 1104
, .71
12
365
Third National Bank: .
010
FV 1,000 1 110516
, .
365
Obviously, you should choose the Third National Bank
Continuous Compounding (cont.)
0 .10 1
F 1,000e 110517
, .
This is even better than daily compounding
The basic rule of compounding is: The more frequently interest is compounded,
the higher the future value
ANNUITIES
25
Annuities
0 1 2 3 4 5
Present Value of an Annuity
0 1 2 3 4 5
The Future Value of an Annuity
}
146.41
133.10
121.00 = 610.51
110.00 at year 5
100 100 100 100 100
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pointers
If you have the PV you can find the FV of
the annuity without going back to annual
flows.
PV 379.08 FV 610.51
OR 379.08*(1.10)^5 = 610.51
Present Value of an Annuity
32
You have invested your money in a saving
scheme that earn 8% interest per annum.
You plan to withdraw Rs 20,000 per
annum (at the end of each year) for 4
years.
Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
I%
Annuity Due
0 1 2 3
I%
5-36
If you deposit Rs 20,000 per year (at the
beginning of every year) in a scheme that
earns 8% interest per annum, What amount
would you have at the end of 4 years.
Solving for FV:
3-Year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%
$100 payments occur at the end of each
period
Excel: =FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv,type)
Here type = 0.
5-38
Solving for PV:
3-year Ordinary Annuity of $100 at 10%
$100 payments still occur at the end of
each period
Excel: =PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
Here type = 0.
5-39
Solving for FV:
3-Year Annuity Due of $100 at 10%
Now, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each
period.
FVAdue= FVAord(1 + I) = $331(1.10) = $364.10
Excel: =FV(rate,nper,pmt,pv,type)
Here type = 1.
5-40
Solving for PV:
3-Year Annuity Due of $100 at 10%
Again, $100 payments occur at the beginning of each
period.
PVAdue = PVAord(1 + I) = $248.69(1.10) = $273.55
Excel: =PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv,type)
Here type = 1.
5-41
PV of a Perpetuity
PV of perpetuity = A/R
A- annuity amount
R – rate of interest in perpetuity
42
What is the PV of this uneven cash
flow stream?
0 1 2 3 4
10%
5-43
Application
As a winner of a breakfast cereal
competition, you can choose any of the
following prizes, using an interest rate of
12%:
◦ $ 100,000 now
◦ $ 180,000 at the end of five years
◦ $ 19,000 for each of 10 years with payments
made at the end of the year
◦ $ 19,000 for each of 10 years with the payment
made at the beginning of the year
◦ $ 11,400 a year forever
Problem
When you start earning at the age of 25
years, you decide to save Rs.100,000 each
year in Public Provident Fund A/c. with
State Bank of India, earning interest at 9%
per annum, compounded annually. What
will be the amount accumulated at the
age of 50 years?
45
Problem 2
You wish to accumulate INR 8,00,000 by
the end of 5 years by making equal annual
year-end deposits over the next 5 years.
Assuming 7 per cent rate of return, how
much should you deposit at the end of
each year to accumulate INR 8,00,000?
Problem 3
An investor will retire at the age of 60. In
order to receive INR 2,00,000 annually
for 10 years after retirement, how much
amount should he have at the time of
retirement? Assume the required rate of
return is 10 per cent.
You Plan to save INR 2,000,000 in 5 years
post getting a new job…
Excel: =FV(.12,45,-1095,0,0)
5-50
Solving for FV: If you don’t start saving
until you are 40 years old, how much
will you have at 65?
If a 40-year-old investor begins saving
today, and sticks to the plan, he or she will
have $146,000.59 at age 65. This is $1.3
million less than if starting at age 20.
Lesson: It pays to start saving early.
Excel: =FV(.12,25,-1095,0,0)
5-51
How much must the 40-year old deposit
annually to catch the 20-year old, if he/she
has a saving or $ 30,000 available at the
beginning?
To find the required annual contribution,
enter the number of years until retirement
and the final goal of $1,487,261.89, and
solve for PMT with the 30,000 available
upfront. (Note the signs)
Excel: =PMT(rate,nper,pv,fv,type)
=PMT(.12,25,30000,-1487262,0) 5-52
Application
Ms Punam is interested in a fixed annual
income. She is offered three possible
annuities. If she could earn 8% on her money
elsewhere, which of the following
alternatives, if any, would she choose? Why?
◦ Pay Rs 80,000 now in order to receive Rs 14,000
at the end of each year for the next 10 years
◦ Pay Rs 1,50,000 now in order to receive Rs
14000 at the end of each year for the next 20
years
◦ Pay Rs 1,20000 now in order to receive Rs 14000
at the end of each year for the next 15 years
Applications
You are planning to save for retirement over the next
30 years. To do this, you will invest Rs 80,000 a year in
a stock account and Rs 30,000 a year into a bond
account. Investments are made at the end of each
year. The returns on the stock account are expected
to be 15% per annum and 8% per annum on the bond
account. When you retire, you will combine your
money into an account with a 10% return.
What is the lump sum amount at the time of
retirement?
How much can you withdraw annually at the end of
each year from your account after retirement (a)
assuming a 20 year withdrawal period? (b) assuming
perpetuity?
Internal Rate of Return
It is rate at which present value of all future returns is
equal to the present investment
Determine whether the investment project depicted by
the cash flow given in the table satisfies minimum
expected return of 14 percent per year.
Year Cash Flow in $
0 -200,000
1 0
2 0
3 40,000
4 60,000
5 80,000
6 100,000
Internal Rate of Return
Determine whether investment project depicted in the
table has a rate of return greater than or equal to 12
percent per year.
Year Cash Flow in $
0 -100,000
1 400000
2 400000
3 400000
4 400000
5 400000
6 400000
APPLICATIONS IN THE
FINANCE WORLD
57
Break up of Interest and Principal