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Bulk of Fruit
Use data Analysis with Structured Problem
Solving; I.e. Six Sigma
Ground Fruit
Use logic and intuition
Copyright Ro 2
Six Sigma: Application
Copyright Ro 3
Identify Customer Driven
Critical to Quality (CTQ) Characteristics
Copyright Ro 4
Identifying CTQ’s
Take the CUE from what the Customer talks about.
QFD (Quality Function Deployment) is often used here.
Customer Surveys
Customer Complaints
Use the Customer’s words, not the idea of the business
team
Translate the Customer Cues into CTQ’s
A Structure tree or Customer Needs Map is useful if not
doing QFD
Screen and Prioritize the CTQs
Failure Modes and Effects Analysis can help
Benchmark the competition or best practice companies
AA CTQ
CTQ must
must be
be MEASUREABLE
MEASUREABLE and
and MEASURED
MEASURED
Copyright Ro 5
Specify CTQs
Product/
Product/ Customer Response
CTQs Are The Translation Service
Service Time
Of Customer Needs Into Characteristic
Characteristic
Quantifiable Requirements
For Our Product/Service Time to provide
Measure
Measure requested service
(hours)
Customer
Customer
Need
Need Target/
Target/
CTQ
CTQ Nominal
Nominal 8 Hours
Value
Value
Prompt
Response
Specification/
Specification/
Tolerance
Tolerance 10 Hours
Limit(s)
Limit(s)
Business
Business
Goal
Goal
Allowable
Allowable
Defect
Defect < 3.4 DPMO
Six Sigma Rate
Rate
Performance
Copyright Ro 6
Specify CTQs – Let’s try it
Sigma
Customer Need Characteristic Measure Target LSL USL
Target
Quick Check-In Check-In Time Time From 2 Minutes — 4 Min. 6
At Hotel Customer Entry (<3.4 DPMO)
To Lobby To
Receipt Of Room
Key
Easy Bank
Deposits
Quick Trip on
the Ferry (Mass
Transit)
Refrigerator
keeps the milk
cold
Copyright Ro 7
What About a Company CTQ?
Sigma
Customer Need Characteristic Measure Target LSL USL
Target
Quick Check-In Check-In Time Time From 2 Minutes — 4 Min. 6
At Hotel Customer Entry (<3.4 DPMO)
To Lobby To
Receipt Of Room
Key
Copyright Ro 8
Identify Key Processes That Cause Defects
Because
Because of
of the
the nature
nature of
of Opportunities,
Opportunities, the the critical
critical process
process
defect
defect may
may be
be buried
buried several
several levels
levels into
into the
the business
business process
process
Copyright Ro 9
The Six Sigma Process - DMAIC
Define: Frame the Problem.
Copyright Ro 11
Define Phase
• QFD (Quality Function Deployment)
• Process Mapping
• Rolled Throughput Yield (probability of 0
defects)
• Pareto Analysis
• Project Charter
Copyright Ro 13
Quality Function Deployment
QFD
Customer
Customer
Customer Needs
Critical-To-Quality Refined
Refined product
product //
High-Level Research
Research (CTQs) service
service operating
operating
Customer ID
ID Customers
Customers Requirements processes
Organized processes or
Determine
Determine Data
or
Needs Data Measures
Collection
Collection Plan
Plan
Targets functional
functional redesign
redesign
Collect
Collect Data
Data Prioritized Specifications
Competition Research
Comparative Perception
Technical Evaluation
Copyright Ro 14
A QFD Approach
Structured Process
Identifies CTQs At One Level
Relates Those CTQs To The Next Level
System Features
(HOW)
Functional Req’ments
(HOW)
Customer Needs
(HOW)
System Features
Functional Req’ments
Variables (HOW)
#1 Quality House of
(WHAT)
Internal Processes
#2 Quality House of
(WHAT)
#3 Quality
Customer Y
House #4
Business
Customer House X
Requirements Process
House Process
Product
Requirements Operating System
Control
Requirements
Operating
Process
Copyright Ro 15
Requirements
Customer Needs Change Over
Time
Kano Model of Customer Needs
Understand how
Satisfied the QFD defined
Customer
needs fit in the
s
eed
t eme
nt N model and from
c i
Don’t Have
Ex
Need
s
Included that determine the
a nce
Don’t Do
Perfo
rm
eeds
Do Well
ultimate effect of
ic N
Bas addressing specific
Dissatisfied outputs.
Customer
Quality
Quality Improvement
Improvement must
must focus
focus on
on high
high impact
impact needs
needs
and
and simultaneously
simultaneously improve
improve business
business profitability
profitability
Copyright Ro 16
Process Mapping
Process mapping is an innovative
extension of process flow charting
that provides structure for defining
and communicating a process in a
simplified, graphic manner
In Six Sigma projects, process
mapping is used to enhance the
understanding of the process, set
boundaries for the project, and
identify areas for focus or
improvement.
Process Mapping can also be used as
a tool for documenting the process
and associated quality systems.
Copyright Ro 17
Use Process Mapping to aid in defining the
Critical Process Parameters
Copyright Ro 18
Uses for the Map In Process
Improvement
Define the Improvement Project (High Level )
Understand what the process looks like
Assess and manage the scope of the project
Measure (Detail)
Understand what the process looks like
Assess and manage the scope of the project
Identify potential X’s and Y’s
Scope performance standards for process steps
Analyze (Detail)
Identify process flow anomalies
Identify potential X’s and Y’s
Detect non value-added steps
Improve
Identify alternative Process flows
Facilitate resource planning
Copyright Ro 19
Value Stream Mapping
Questions
Customer Value-Added Business Value-Added Questions
Questions Is this task required by law or
Does the task add a form or feature regulatory?
to the product or device? Does the task reduce the business’
Does the task enable a competitive financial risk
advantage, I.e., faster delivery, Does this task support financial
lower price, fewer defects. reporting requirements?
Would the customer be willing to
Would the process breakdown if this
pay extra or prefer us to the task were removed?
competitor if he or she knew we did
this task?
Non-Value-Added Questions
Does this task include handling, transporting, moving, counting, inspecting,
delaying, storing expediting multiple signatures or network loops?
Copyright Ro 20
What Is Rolled Throughput Yield
(Why Do I Care?)
Rolled throughput yield is the calculated probability
that a product or service provided can be processed
through all the opportunities in a process without a
defect.
In a process which has 25 stations, each with four
opportunities for a defect to occur, and with a historical
defect per opportunity of 0.001, the YRT is 90.48%
# Stations
Y
Yield
# Opportunities
station
RT
Y RT
.999
4 25
.996 25 .9048
Process
Process Complexity
Complexity is
is an
an important
important consideration
consideration
when
when working
working towards
towards aa defect
defect free
free product
product
Copyright Ro 21
Pareto Analysis
Focus on the vital few issues.
80/20 Rule
Look at Yield Issues; Quality Cost Issues; Cycle time
contributors.
Copyright Ro 22
Questions to be answered in
Define
What is the problem addressed by the project?
What is the intended scope of work?
Will the system be replaced or improved?
What is the planned completion state?
What is the project plan and schedule?
How will this project provide financial benefit to the
business?
What resources will be needed to complete the
project?
These
These questions
questions should
should all
all be
be answered
answered by
by the
the project
project charter
charter
Copyright Ro 23
Measure- Describe the Output
quality
Define the project CTQ
What will be the focal output for improvement
What type measurement will be used?
Define the CTQ performance standard
What are the acceptable limits of the CTQ?
Plan the capability data collection
Who will measure?
What methods will be used for measurement?
How long will data be collected?
Measurement system analysis
How do we know we can believe the data collected?
Measure and determine process capability
Report long term and short term capability
Determine improvement focus for project
Copyright Ro 24
Measurements focus our
attention
If you can’t measure something, you can’t understand it.
If you can’t understand it, you can’t control it
If you can’t control it, you can’t manage it
If you can’t manage it, you can’t improve it.
Can
Can you
you imagine
imagine the
the World
World Cup
Cup without
without aa scoreboard?
scoreboard?
Copyright Ro 25
Measure Phase Methods
QFD flow down of Customer Needs
Process Mapping (drill down)
Structure trees
Measurement System Analysis
Process capability
Rational subgrouping
Histograms
Tolerance analysis
Copyright Ro 26 12
Measure Phase is really about
describing the process output
Copyright Ro 27
Rational Subgroups give
Direction
50
40
30
20
10
-10
Copyright Ro 29
Measure the Floppy
Let’s look at measurement system limitations
Measure this floppy disk width.
Using the steel rule
Using the caliper
Record your measurements as
Yellow
White
Blue
Red
Purple
Pass the floppies to the next one measuring
Copyright Ro 30
Questions to be answered in
Measure
What is the Project Y?
How does the Project Y link to the customer needs?
What kind of data is used to describe it?
What is the target, and/or specification limits?
Can we measure it reliably?
What are the potential Factors (X’s) or causes for
performance limitations?
Can we measure them reliably?
What is the process capability for the Project Y?
Instantaneous?
Long Term?
Compared to Customer needs or Specifications
The
Themeasure
measurechallenge
challengewill
willbe
bethe
theability
abilityto
tomeasure
measurereliably.
reliably.
Copyright Ro 31
Analyze – Find the Root Causes
Copyright Ro 32
Analyze Phase Methods
Structured investigation of potential root causes.
Graphing - scatterplots, boxplots, time series plots,
etc.
Hypothesis tests (t-test, F-test, Chi-square test)
Confidence intervals
ANOVA
Residual Analysis
Cost / Benefit Analysis
7 10
6
Frequency
Frequency
5
4
5
3
0
0
26.863026.863526.864026.864526.865026.865526.866026.866526.867026.867526.8680
26.854 26.855 26.856 26.857 26.858 26.859 26.860 26.861 26.862 26.863
26880rr
26880ft
OR
26.869
Use
Usegraphs
graphs that
that focus
focusthe
theproblem
problem
and
andto
toprovide
providevisual
26.864
visual
26880ft
26.859
understanding
understanding
26.854
26880ft 26880rr
Copyright Ro 34
Nature of Hypotheses
Null Hypothesis (Ho): Alternative Hypothesis (Ha ):
Usually describes a status Usually describes a difference
quo The one you accept or reject
The one you assume unless based upon evidence
otherwise shown Signs used in Minitab: not =or <
Signs used in Minitab: = or >
Or
Its
Its either
either Null
Null (same)
(same) or
or Alternative
Alternative (Different)
(Different)
Copyright Ro 35
Data helps confirm hypotheses
A study was performed of cardiovascular readiness of 92 people. One of
the tests was starting heart rate prior to exercise. The results are shown
below. Compare the stating heart rate of participants by sex. Is there a
difference in starting heart rate between the sexes in those people
participating in the study?
The
Thegraphic
graphiccomparison
comparisonpoints points to
to possibility
possibility of
of
“difference”
“difference”but
but isis not
not conclusive.
conclusive.The The Hypothesis
Hypothesistest
test
confirms
confirmsthe
theanswer
answerfor forthis
thissmall
smallsample.
sample.
Copyright Ro 36
What does an ANOVA say?
Analysis of Variance (Balanced Designs)
Source DF SS MS F P
Suppleme 2 1918.5 959.2 9.25 0.015
Lake 1 21.3 21.3 0.21 0.666
Suppleme*Lake 2 561.2 280.6 2.71 0.145
Error 6 622.0 103.7
Total 11 3123.0
Not
Notonly
onlydo
dowe
weknow
knowthat
that“Supplement”
“Supplement”isisimportant
importantand
and“Lake”
“Lake”isisnot,
not,
we
weknow
knowthat
thatwe
wehave
havecaptured
captured80%
80%ofofthe
thevariation
variationand
andthe
theremaining
remaining
uncontrolled
uncontrolledvariation
variationhas
hasaastandard
standarddeviation
deviationofof10.2.
10.2.
Copyright Ro 37
What does the Regression
Provide?
Regression Analysis
Analysis of Variance
Source DF SS MS F P
Regression 5 13195.5 2639.1 40.84 0.000
Residual Error 23 1486.4 64.6
Total 28 14681.9
We
Wegain
gainthe
thetransfer
transferfunction,
function,
Source DF Seq SS identification
identification of the criticalfactors,
of the critical factors,
Insolati 1 5783.8
East 1 811.7 an
anestimate
estimateof ofthe
themodel
modelandandan
an
South 1 1181.5 estimate
estimateofofthe
thesigma
sigmaofofthe
the
North 1 5303.0
Time 1 115.5 remaining
remainingvariation.
variation.
Copyright Ro 38
The importance of comparing cost
and benefits of improvement
Most every process can be improved at some cost.
In the Analyze phase, we should gain sufficient knowledge
of improvement and defect reduction possibilities to
calculate the benefits related to that improvement.
Compare the benefits to the related cost.
Based on the business case, there may be an economic
limit on how much improvement is justified.
We may find that we can improve the process to 4.5 sigma levels
by changing control methods, but achieving 6 sigma requires
redesign and automation.
Based on the business benefits gained, 4.5 sigma may be a logical
limit.
Copyright Ro 39
Questions to be answered in
Analyze
Which of the potential factors (X’s) are Critical?
What is the root cause?
How were the critical factors (X’s) determined?
What evidence was used to “prove” the case?
Is the improvement to be gained by control of the
identified factors enough?
What are the expected project benefits?
Do they justify continuing with this project as conceived?
Copyright Ro 40
Improve
Identify Project Improvement Plan
Confirm factor significance with systematic techniques (DOE)
Confirm cause and effect relationships to improve process.
DOE
Simulation
Define optimized configuration Y=f(x)
Confirm improvement methodology
Define the transfer function
Use simulation or confirmation runs to confirm significance.
Copyright Ro 41
Improve Phase Methods
Factorial DOEs
Fractional factorial DOEs
Process Simulation
Copyright Ro 43
Different DOE’s for Different
Needs
Screening Experiments – When you are looking to
identify the critical factors
Characterization Experiments – When you are
looking to quantify the factor effects and interactions
Optimization Experiments – When you are
looking to define the optimal settings of factors for
the required process output.
Confirming Experiments - When you have
identified changes using a transfer function or other
experimentation method.
DOE
DOE types
types may
may be
be used
used individually
individually or
or may
may be
be part
part
Copyright Rooverall process of finding the solution.44
of an
Factorial DOE
A manufacturing process team was seeking to improve injection mold part
strength. From the analyze phase they had found a possible relationship
between temperature, pressure, thickness and cure time. They ran a DOE
based on these findings to confirm best conditions and settings. Their
analysis of output follows.
Temprtr 60
1 50
-1
40
Pressr 60
1 50
-1
40
Thikness 60
1 50
-1
40
DwelTime
Copyright Ro 45
The Transfer Function
What is the mathematical relationship between the
“Y” and the “X’s”?
Y f ( x) .
Output Inputs
Copyright Ro 47
Control
Implement process controls at new process settings
Draft new quality plan
Engage Operational Team to use new plan
Rebaseline process
Put new quality plan in place
Reconfirm Measurement System Capability
Measure as with original baseline
Compare to Project Charter goals
Document Process and close project
Finish the quality plan
Transition improved process to operational team
Negotiate close with owner
Copyright Ro 48
Control Phase Methods
Process Documentation
ISO documentation
Setup Procedures
Operating control methods
SPC charts - on the Vital X’s
Training
Information technology (IT) solutions - ‘systems
fixes’
Process monitoring/alarming
Transfer ownership to Operational Team
The
The ‘Control’
‘Control’ phase
phase provides
provides sustainable
sustainable process
process
modifications
modifications toto keep
keep the
the Vital
Vital X’s
X’s under
under control
control
Copyright Ro 49 15
DMAIC or DMADV
DMAIC/DMADV Transition Points:
Is Is The
Yes Yes Improvement No
Does A Incremental
A New Or
Process Exist? Improvement Redesigned
Enough? Product/
Service?
No No Yes
Copyright Ro 50
The Six Sigma Redesign Process
– DMADV
Define: Frame the Problem
Measure: Measure CTQ Performance of similar
technology
Analyze: Define the factors needing change in the
new process and frame the high level functional
design.
Design: Confirm factors of detail functional design
and find appropriate factor ranges necessary for
desired output.
Verify: Use pilot runs to confirm adequacy of new
design and document new process.
Copyright Ro 51
Comparing Six Sigma to Other
Structured Problem Solving
Project framing and root cause studies are similar.
Traditional problem solving does not require data.
Most structured problem solving does suggest use of data
but does not integrate advanced statistical methods
Data collection needs may extend investigation time.
Data used in six sigma approach generally leads to
more precision in selecting improved process
parameters.
The ability to define a transfer function from the
accumulated data allows broader application of the
proposed change.
Copyright Ro 52
Section Summary
Six sigma is a structured problem solving discipline that
integrates data into the analytical approach.
Six sigma represents a measurement of a process performance
relative to the customer needs. So six sigma measurements
convert directly to defect rates.
Six sigma analysis focuses on understanding the process output
as a function of process inputs
(Y = f(x)).
DMAIC is focused on improving existing processes.
DMADV is a process focused on using data based learning to
design a new or different process for meeting a specific
customer need.
Copyright Ro 53