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•Concept of valuation
•Bond valuation
•Equity valuation
4. Liquidating value (LV): the LV refers to the net difference between the
realizable value of all the assets and the sum total of external liabilities.
This net difference belongs to the owners/ shareholders and is known as the
LV. The LV is a factor of realizable value of asset and therefore is uncertain.
The LV maybe zero also and in such a case the owners/ shareholders are not
getting anything is the firm is dissolved.
5. Capitalized Value (CV): is defined as the sum of present value of cash
flows from an asset discounted at the required rate of return. In other words
to find out the CV, the future expected benefits are discounted for time value
of money. In the valuation of financial assets, the CV is the most relevant
concept of valuation.
• Bond Valuation: a bond or a debenture is a debt security issued by
the borrower and subscribed/ purchased by a lender/ investor. Bond is a
usual form of long term financing used by firms which upon issuing a
bond, promise to certain cash flows in future ( in the form of interest and/
or repayment) under clearly defined terms and conditions.
• Terminology:
o Par Value: is the value stated on the face of the bond. It represents the
amount the firm borrows and promises to repay at the time of maturity.
Usually the par value or the face value of bonds issued by business firms is
Rs.100 , sometimes its Rs.1000.
o Coupon rate and interest: a bond carries a specific interest rate which is
called the coupon rate. The interest payable to the bond holder is : par
value of the bond * coupon rate. Most bonds pay interest semi-annually .
Ex: a govt. security which has a par value of Rs. 1,000 and a coupon rate of
11 % pays an interest of Rs. 55 every six months.
o Maturity period: refers to the period from the date of issue, after the expiry
of which the redemption repayment will be made to the investor by the
borrower firm. Generally bonds have a maturity period of 1-15 years,
sometimes they have longer maturity.
Valuation Model: the process of valuation of a bond is relatively simple
because most of the related cash flows are (i) in the annuity form (i.e.
interest) and (ii) are known with certainty. This means that the holder of
the bonds ( present as well as potential ) know the amount and timings of
cash flows expected to generate out of the bond.
The value of a bond maybe defined as the sum of the present values of the
future interest payments plus present value of the redemption
repayment. The appropriate discount rate to find out the present value
would be required rate of return kd, which depends upon the prevailing
risk free interest rate and risk premium.
n
B0 = ∑ Ii + RV ……(equation1)
i=1 n
(1+kd)i (1+kd)
Where:
B0= a value of bond at present
Ii= annual interest payment starting one year from now till the end of year n,
RV= redemption payment at the end of year n
Kd= appropriate discount rate
Since the stream of coupon payments is an ordinary annuity, formula of
present value of an ordinary annuity can be used. Hence the value of the
bond is given by the formula:
Bo = I(PVAFi,n)+ RV (PVFi,n)
Where (PVAFi,n) = present value annuity factor at the rate of interest I, and
no. of years , n.
(PVFi,n) = present value factor for a given rate of interest I, and no. of years,
n.
Bond values with semi- annual interest rate: most of the bonds pay
interest semi- annually. To value such bonds , equation 1 needs to be
modified.
a) Find out half yearly amount of interest by dividing the annual interest by
2.
b) The no. of years to maturity is multiplied by two to get the no. of half
year periods till maturity
c) The required rate of return is also converted to the half year required
rate of return by dividing by 2..
After incorporating the changes equation 1 can be written as:
2n
B0 = ∑ I/2 + RV
i=1 i 2n
(1+kd/2) (1+kd/2)
B0 (DDB) = Rs.25,000
(1+.15) 10
= Rs. 6,175
Valuation of Preference Shares: Preference share is a share
which entitles the shareholder to receive (i) a dividend at a fixed rate for
a given period and (ii) a redemption amount at the time of redemption of
preference share (incase of redeemable preference share) OR a dividend
at a fixed rate perpetually till the liquidation of the company ( in case of
irredeemable preference shares).
This value P10 represents the present value of all expected dividends
from year 10 onwards at a constant growth rate in dividends, g3. Find
out the present value of this figure by discounting to period 0.
Valuation of the share currently not paying Dividends: there
maybe numerous cases where the firm is not able to pay any dividend on
equity shares because of insufficient profits during early years or gestation
period or otherwise. Some of the firms may not like to pay early dividends
because they require funds for growth purposes. The dividend discount
model can take care of this type of situations also. Ex: a firm not expected
to pay any dividend for the first 3 years but thereafter will be paying a
dividend of Rs.2 growing at 10% p.a. forever. The value of the share, given
the required rate of return 15% can be calculated as:
As per the constant growth model, the value of the share at
the end of year 3 will be:
P3 = D4
ke-g
= 2 = Rs.40
.15-.10
Now this is the value of the share at the end of year 3. This value should
now be discounted at 15% to find the present value.
P0 = P3 * (PVIF 15%,3 )
= Rs.40 * (.658) =Rs.26.32
Hence the value of the share is Rs.26.32
Valuation of shares based on Earnings:
Price Earnings Ratio (P/E ratio): is the ratio between the price of a
share and it’s EPS. Ex: if a share whose EPS is Rs.10 is having a
market price of Rs.250, then its P/E ratio is 250/10 = RS. 25. It
means that the market price of the share is 25 times that of the
EPS. As per the P/E ratio approach, the value of the share is:
Value = EPS* P/E ratio
19. A chemical company has been growing @ 18% per year in recent years. This
abnormal growth is expected to continue for another 4 years; then it is likely to
grow at the normal growth rate of (gn) of 6%. The required rate of return on the
shares of the investment community is 12%, and the dividend paid per share last
year was Rs.3 (D0 =Rs.3). At what price would you as an investor be ready to buy
the shares of this company now (t=0), and at the end of years 1,2,3,4, respectively?
Will there be any extra advantage by buying these shares at t=0, or in any
subsequent four years, assuming all other things remain unchanged?
(answer P4 is Rs. 102.82, P0 is Rs.79.12 i.e. P4+PV of D1 to D4. similarly P1=Rs.85
approx and P2 =Rs.91 approx and P3 = Rs.97. no extra advantage of buying shares
at these price)