From Climate Crisis to

Climate Emergency
Philippine Movement for Climate Justice

Training of Trainers
August 31, 2019
 GLOBAL
WARMING
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wa58h4IJ6Hk
Krisis Pangklima = Patuloy na Pag-init ng Daigdig
 For instance, by 2100, global sea level rise may be
26 to 77 cm higher than the 1986-2005 baseline
under a 1.5°C temperature increase, or about 10
cm lower than for a global warming of 2°C. This
would mean that up to 10 million fewer people
would be exposed to related impacts such as
saltwater intrusion, flooding and damage to
infrastructure.
Climate change adaptation is no longer an
option, it is a necessity. This report makes it clear
May Kasunduan ( Paris that the longer we delay, the more difficult and
Agreement )para bababaan na costly it will be.
ang GHG emission pero hindi The report finds global emissions of carbon
ito naipapatupad. dioxide (CO2) would need to fall by at least 35%
from 2010 levels by 2030, reaching ‘net zero’
Paiksi ng paiksi ang panahon around 2050.
na maisawata o mapigilan Depending on future socioeconomic conditions,
global warming. May limiting global warming to 1.5°C, compared to
hanggang 2030 taon nalang 2°C, might reduce the proportion of the world
population exposed to a climate change induced
increase in water scarcity by up to 50%, the
report said.
Temperature
Overshoot
 Global emissions reductions

AOSIS Summit Declaration: “global emissions to peak by 2015 and decline thereafter; reductions
by more than 85% below 1990 levels by 2050”
Philippine
Vulnerabilities and
Further Expected
Impacts
Within the span of 10 years
( 2009 - 2018), 27 strong
typhoons had battered the
country. This is 12
typhoons more compared
to the period 2000 - 2008.
 Climate Projections: Temperature
(Source: PAGASA, 2018)

- Observed temperature increases by 0.1 C/decade

- Projections suggest continued warming
- By 2050, averaged mean temperature could
increase
- From 0.9 C to 1.9 C for a moderate emission scenario
- From 1.2 C to 2.3 C for a high emission scenario (RCP8.5)
- By 2100, averaged mean temperature
- From 1.3 C to 2.5C for a moderate emission scenario
- From 2.5 C to 4.1 C for a high emission scenario
 Climate Projections:
Rainfall and Tropical Cyclones
(Source: PAGASA, 2018)
- Reduced rainfall from March-May in most areas, making the
dry season drier
- Increased heavy and extreme rainfall in Luzon and Visayas
during the southwest monsoon, making the wet season
wetter
- Rainfall reduction is projected over Central sections of
Mindanao
- Lesser tropical cyclones, but higher in terms of intensity level
 Impacts of Rainfall and
Cyclones to Food
• Cyclones and heavy rains bring severe flooding
and increase runoff and soil erosion, reducing
soil fertility, damaging crops and altering
productivity, especially during La Nina years.
• An estimated annual GDP loss of up to 2.2% is
projected by 2100 due to extreme weather
events.
Based from the study of Philippine Statistics Agency ( PSA), total damages
caused by these typhoons within the 10-year period up to 2015 is already a
staggering Php P374.199. This amount is 21.6 times the 2018 GDP value.
 Climate Projections: Sea Level Rise
(Source: PAGASA, 2018)

- From 1993 to 2015, sea level has risen in some parts

by nearly double the global average rate.
- 5.7 to 7.0 mm/yr in the Philippine Sea (AVISO
altimetry) vs. 2.8 to 3.6 mm/yr global rate (1993 to
2010) – research what this means in terms of hectares of land or percent of land
mass loss in the Philippines to visualize the impact
- Projected SLR under an RCP8.5 scenario is
estimated at 20 cm. research what this means in terms of hectares of
land or percent of land mass loss in the Philippines to visualize the impact
 Impacts of Rising Sea Level to Food
• Could worsen the impacts of storm surges
• Loss of coastal land due to inundation
• Salt-water intrusion and increased salinity levels in
agricultural land
• Salt water intrusion of coastal aquifiers affects
water quality in about 25% of coastal municipalities
in Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao
• Increased salinity and sea level could also damage
mangroves
 ON FLOODING AND SEA LEVEL RISE
By 2030, 74.16 million people or more than half of the Year 2030 projected 123.6 Million
population will be affected by sea-level rise as 60% of the Philippine population live in
coastal areas. This will be 10 of every 16 Filipinos who will be living in 2030
experiencing this problem. By 2030, almost all of the population will be experiencing
severe to extreme and various types of water problem as this finite resource will be
destabilized by sea-level rise and the continuing destruction of forests and watersheds.
This alone will trigger myriads of problem. Health and malnutrition will be one of them
affecting more than half of the population since 50% of the animal protein intake of the
Filipinos are derived from marine fisheries.
Settlements for the 74.16 million population affected by sea-level rise will be a
nightmare for the government by 2030. And this problem will be more pronounced in
all the megacities of the Philippines since all the major cities are in the shorelines.
Coastal towns will not be spared also from the sea level rise since 50% of the towns
are in coastal areas and not less than 37% of the coastal areas or 167,000 hectares of
the total 450,000 will be submerged. The submerged coastal area is almost 3x the
size of Metro Manila. Human settlements, land, and housing including food and water
will be a tremendous problem by 2030. This build-up and accumulation of the climate
crisis impact part of what will become the "tipping point" that The Philippines by 2030
will experience do not account yet other major impacts, like typhoons stronger than
Yolanda and worst flooding and landslides associated with it.
Rural Coastal More than 167,000 hectares of coastland --
Households about 0.6% of the country's total area -- are
projected to go underwater in the Philippines,
Cognition of Sea especially in low-lying island communities,
Level Rise: A Case according to research by the University of the
of Zambales Philippines.

By : Taguiam and 2030

Quiambao
123.6 Million
Population 74.16
Million
affected by
SLR

2019
102 Million
Population

15 million
affected by SLR
 Global Flood Map Simulator

http://flood.firetree.net/?ll=16.3412,97.3388&z=12&m=7
 Declare a Climate Emergency
Right now there is an upsurge in different climate movements to campaign for climate
emergency.

As of July 2019, there are 967 jurisdictions in 18 countries have declared a climate emergency.
Populations covered by jurisdictions that have declared a climate emergency amount to 212 million
citizens, with 47 million of these living in the United Kingdom. This means in Britain now roughly 70
per cent of the population lives in areas that have declared a climate emergency.

In New Zealand, the percentage is even higher: 73 per cent of the population.

It’s 24 per cent in Switzerland and Spain. These countries felt that by declaring climate emergency
cities are adopting more powers to help curb the effects of climate change and the national
government needs to declare an emergency and put resources in place to enable councils
to help reduce carbon emissions.

While seeing that there is not yet a global consensus in solving the climate crisis, it is but
important that the Philippine Government must go ahead, plan and prepare its people for
the expected impacts. The Philippines being a country that always in the top list of the most
vulnerable to impacts of climate change.
Highly impacted communities from
coastal , urban communities, rural
communities to raise the issue of
sea level rise, flooding, landslides
and demand that government
declare a climate emergency