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Estimated Total Foreign Tourist Arrival to India during 1010 Year Most likely scenario 5532180 Optimistic scenario 5854723 5224443. Couple of regions, West Europe and North America are the major source regions. Opening up of the economy and initiatives towards promoting Indian tourism are major reasons Incredible India campaign has also played a significant positive role.
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Foreign Tourists Arrivals 240510 Ppt Lower Version
Estimated Total Foreign Tourist Arrival to India during 1010 Year Most likely scenario 5532180 Optimistic scenario 5854723 5224443. Couple of regions, West Europe and North America are the major source regions. Opening up of the economy and initiatives towards promoting Indian tourism are major reasons Incredible India campaign has also played a significant positive role.
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Estimated Total Foreign Tourist Arrival to India during 1010 Year Most likely scenario 5532180 Optimistic scenario 5854723 5224443. Couple of regions, West Europe and North America are the major source regions. Opening up of the economy and initiatives towards promoting Indian tourism are major reasons Incredible India campaign has also played a significant positive role.
Droits d'auteur :
Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
Formats disponibles
Téléchargez comme PPT, PDF, TXT ou lisez en ligne sur Scribd
Year Most Optimistic Pessimistic scenario likely scenario scenario 2010 5532180 5854723 5224443
A few Issues Highlighted in this
presentation • Inflow from different regions of the world • Predominance of a few regions • Seasonality in tourist inflow A Few Observations
• Couple of regions, West Europe and North America
are the major source regions.
• These two regions account for about 70% of the
total inbound tourists to India
• West Europe is the region which contributes about
45 to 50% of the total tourists
• However, the gap between West Europe and North
America in terms of number and share to total tourists is reducing over time consistently, though the gap is still significantly large. • A Few Observations
• Amongst the lesser important region in terms of
inbound tourists to India, South East Asia and East Asia are coming up Significantly.
• A close look at the numbers suggest that a
significant change in foreign tourist arrivals have taken place from 2002/03 onwards. This is true for almost every source region.
• Opening up of the economy and initiatives towards
promoting Indian tourism are the major reasons
• Incredible India campaign has also played a
significant positive role. A Few Observations
• If one looks at year to year
change in number of number of tourists from different regions, an erratic movement can be identified. • • This involves several internal as well as external reasons which includes macro- economic situations of the source regions coupled with internal factors such as terrorist activities as well as some policy issues.
•The direction of growth fro
almost every source country is more or less similar though in varying degree. Seasonality in arrivals of foreign tourists
• Foreign tourists arrivals in India is characterized with marked
seasonal differences • The data on inbound tourists arrivals to India are available for four quarters of the year, viz., 1) January to March,2) April to June, 3) July to September and 4) October to December • For every region under study, it was observed that the quarter October to December received maximum number of inbound tourists followed by January to March. This trend has prevailed for through out the time span reported in this presentation. • In case of a couple regions, West Europe, South East Asia and East Asia, number of tourist arrivals are almost similar during these two quarters. • Perhaps the most important reason behind concentration of inbound tourists during these two quarters are the weather, especially for liesure tourism purpose. • The only exception is West Asia, where July to September quarter is higher than other quarters significantly. Perhaps, this is dominated more by the business tourists compared to leisure tourists. For Whom These Trends are Important
•Hotels and other accommodation related
industries
• Logistics and transport operators
• People involved with cultural and in production
process of other local products like handicrafts etc.
• Researchers to understand the tourism trajectory
• And, of course the planning professionals
What can be done with this data •Likely foreign tourist arrivals can be projected using proper econometric forecasting technique/s
• Forecasting should take care of macro-economic
conditions of the source countries as well as India
• While forecasting, seasonality aspects need to
considered. Recently I forecasted annual inbound tourists to India for 2010 through 2015. Instead of a panel of quarterly data for several years or pulled quarterly data, annual tourist data from source regions proved to be a better option.
• Apart from non-availability of several select
macro-economic data, huge variation across the What can be done with this data • However, effort for forecasting tourist arrivals from source regions for particular quarters can be worth doing from planning point of view of several stakeholders, especially, hospitality and transport operators