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DECISION MAKING
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Figure 7.2
Characteristics
Characteristics Of
Of Managerial
Managerial Decisions
Decisions
Risk Uncertainty
Lack of
Conflict
Structure
Causes of Incomplete Information
• Ambiguous Young Woman
Information or Old Woman
– Information whose
meaning is not clear
allowing it to be
interpreted in multiple
or conflicting ways.
Figure 7.3
Causes of Incomplete Information
• Risk
– The degree of probability that the possible outcomes of
a particular course of action will occur.
• Managers know enough about a given outcome to be able to
assign probabilities for the likelihood of its failure or success
• Uncertainty
– Probabilities cannot be given for outcomes and the
future is unknown.
• Many decision outcomes are not known such as the success of
a new product introduction.
The Nature of Managerial Decision
Making
• Decision Making
– The process by which managers respond to opportunities
and threats by analyzing options, and making decisions
about goals and courses of action.
• Decisions in response to opportunities—occurs when managers
respond to ways to improve organizational performance.
• Decisions in response to threats—occurs when managers are
impacted by adverse events to the organization.
Decision Making Defined
• The process through which managers identify and
resolve problems and capitalize on opportunities.
Making a Decision
Evaluate the
Allocate weights
alternatives
to the criteria
Develop
alternatives
The
The Stages
Stages Of
Of Decision
Decision Making
Making
Identifying and
diagnosing
the problem
Generating
alternative
solutions
Evaluating
alternatives
Making the
choice
Implementing
the decision
Evaluating
the decision
1.Recognising and defining the situation
Some stimulus indicates that a decision must be made.
The stimulus may be positive or negative.
recognize that a problem exists and must be solved
problem - discrepancy between current state and past
performance, current performance of other organizations, or
future expected performance
decision maker must want to resolve the problem and have the
resources to do so
may realize
predict the consequences that will occur if the various options are
decision maker
contingency plans - alternative courses of action that can be
return
satisfice- choose an option that is acceptable although not
necessarily the best or perfect
compare the choice with the goal, not against other options
search for alternatives ends when an okay solution is found
Not far away, the cheetah stretches out this powerful muscles and
thinks of the day ahead, He knows that if he does not run faster
than the slowest gazelle, he will surely starve.
Jack Welch
Type of Reinforcement
3. Reinforcement theory a. Positive
b. Avoidance
c. Extinction
Maslow ‘s Hierarchy of Needs
• Maslow assumes that what
motivates people is unmet needs.
• According to Maslow, the needs
that motivate people fall into five
basic categories:
– physiological needs (the most basic
need),
– security needs,
– social needs,
– esteem needs, and
– self-actualization needs (the highest-
level need).
Abraham Maslow’s Hierarchy
General Organizational
Examples Examples
Self-
Self-fulfillment actualization Challenging Job
High achievers are driven by the prospect of performance-based satisfaction rather than by monetary
gain.
McClelland found that people with high needs for Affiliation tend to be warm and friendly in their
relationships. BUT, unless they are balanced with some Power and Achievement, they can be seen
as ineffective in some settings…….why?
Culture growth is due to the level of need for Achievement inherent in its population. McClelland
suggested that an increase in Achievement themes may precede an increase in economic growth.
McClelland’s Acquired-Needs Theory
• Specific needs are acquired or learned over time and are shaped
by life experiences. The following are the main categories of
acquired needs:
– Achievement (nAch): People with a high need for achievement like
challenging projects with attainable goals and lots of feedback.
– Affiliation (nAff): People with high need for affiliation desire
harmonious relationships and need to feel accepted by others, so
managers should try to create a cooperative work environment for them.
– Power (nPow): People with a need for power desire either personal
power (not good) or institutional power (good for the organization).
Provide institutional power seekers with management opportunities.
Characteristics of High Need
Achievers
Tend to Set Want Immediate,
Moderately Specific Feedback
Difficult Goals and on Their
Make Moderately Performance
Risky Decisions
Research
Instruct
Need for
Belongingness Relatedness
Affiliation
Safety Hygienes
Existence
Physiological
Relationship of Various Needs Theories
A group of theories that explain how employees select behaviors with which to meet
their needs and determine whether their choices were successful.
• Equity Theory
• Expectancy theory
• Goal setting theory
Expectancy Theory of Vroom’s
This model assumes that people make decisions based on economic realities……seems simple so far….
Victor Vroom’s model argues: The physiological force on an employee to exert effort is a function of his or her
expectancies about the future and the attractiveness of specific future outcomes.
How likely is it
How much do I
How will my that my
value an
effort affect X performance X
increase in
performance? will be
this reward?
rewarded?
Expectancy Theory of Motivation
E-to-P P-to-O Outcomes
Expectancy Expectancy & Valences
Outcome 1
+ or -
Outcome 2
Effort Performance + or -
Outcome 3
+ or -
Two Kinds of Expectations with Vroom’s Theory
Effort – Performance Expectancy (E----P)
Here employees will consider whether their effort will translate into a desired accomplishment. If obstacles are too
big, their motivation will be diminished.
What are some examples as to how you fit into this or what you have seen in the workplace?
Valence (V)
These are the outcomes an employee receives in terms of their values or attractiveness.
They vary from person to person, so it’s important to ask a person about the valences that he or she attaches to
anticipated outcomes.
How Expectancy Theory
Works
My professor offers me $1 million if I memorize the textbook by tomorrow morning.
Effort Performance Link Performance Rewards Link Rewards Personal Goals Link
No matter how much effort My professor does not look There are a lot of wonderful things
I put in, probably not possible like someone who has $1 million I could do with $1 million
to memorize the text in 24 hours
E=0 I=0 V=1
Conclusion: Though I value the reward, I will not be motivated to do this task.
Valence
• Perception of the desirability of receiving
increased amounts of a reward (e.g., a
bonus).
• This is the measure of whether the
salesperson cares about the reward you
are offering.
Instrumentality
• Estimate of the probability that an
improvement in performance on some
dimension will lead to a specific increase in
the amount of a particular reward.
• It is the expected relationship between
performance and rewards.
Expectancy
Assumes that people will strive to restore equity if they feel an imbalance exists.
The basic belief, therefore, is that employees monitor the degree of equity or inequity that exists in their working conditions by comparing
their own outcomes and inputs with those of another person.
Outcomes = Anything an employee views as being provided by their jobs or the organization.
• Pay
• Office with a window
• Company car
• Incentive plans
• Time off
Elements of Equity Theory
• Outcome/input ratio
– inputs -- what employee contributes (e.g. skill)
– outcomes -- what employees receive (e.g. pay)
• Comparison other
– person/people we compare ratio with
– not easily identifiable
• Equity evaluation
– compare outcome/input ratio with
the comparison other
Goal-Setting Theory
• The theory that specific and difficult goals lead to
higher performance.
– Goals tell an employee what needs to be done and how much
effort will need to be expended.
• Specific goals increase performance.
• Difficult goals, when accepted, result in higher performance than do
easy goals.
• Feedback leads to higher performance than does nonfeedback.
– Specific hard goals produce a higher level of output than does
the generalized goal of “do your best.”
• The specificity of the goal itself acts as an internal stimulus.
Locke’s Model of Goal Setting
Directing attention
Source: Adapted from E. A. Locke and G. P. Latham, A Theory of Goal Setting and Task
Performance (Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall, 1980). Reprinted by permission of Edwin A.
Locke.
Reinforcement theory
Type of Reinforcement
a. Positive
b. Avoidance
c. Extinction
d. Punishment
Motivating Employees Through
Reinforcement
• Skinner suggested that people learn how to behave
to get something they want or to avoid something
they don’t want.
• This idea is known as operant conditioning.
– Behaviour is influenced by the reinforcement or lack of
reinforcement brought about by the consequences of
the behaviour.
Methods of Shaping Behaviour
• Positive reinforcement
– Following a response with something pleasant.
• Negative reinforcement
– Following a response by the termination or withdrawal of
something unpleasant.
• Punishment
– Causing an unpleasant condition in an attempt to eliminate
an undesirable behaviour.
• Extinction
– Eliminating any reinforcement that is maintaining a
behaviour.
Types of Reinforcement
Commanding people
Guiding people
Meaning
Leadership is defined as the
ability to influence people
toward the attainment of
Organisational Goals
- Richard L.Daft
Leadership seems to be the
Marshalling of skills possessed by
A majority but used by a minority
Examples
Inspirational:Churchil
and Martin
Luther
King
www.bbc.co.uk/history/war/wwtwo/
Theories of Leadership
1.Trait Theory
2.Behavioral Theory
3.Contingency Theory
Perceived Leader characteristics
Inspiring Confident
Visionary Single minded
Charismatic Change champion
Dynamic Unconventional
Communicator Risk takers
Trait Theory
.
Leadership Trait Theory
Leadership trait theory: assumes that there are distinctive physical
and psychological characteristics accounting for leadership
effectiveness.
Creativity Originality
Research concluded the most effective leaders were those with high degree
of interpersonal relationships who achieved greater success in achieving
goals
High Low
Leader’s Consideration
Low High
Initiating Structure
MICHIGAN STUDIES
LEADERSHIP TYPES:
– 1. Production Oriented Leaders:
• Focus on the technical or task aspects of the job
• See people as a means to goal accomplishment
– 2. Employee Oriented Leaders:
• Emphasize interpersonal relations
• Take a personal interest in subordinate needs
CONCLUSION:
– Leadership effectiveness is associated with
employee oriented leadership behaviors.
Two-Dimensional Leadership Styles
Ohio State University University of Michigan
Studies Studies
Initiating Job centered –
structure – the same as initiating
extent to which the structure
leader takes charge – Concern for
as the employee production
performs the task Employee
Consideration – centered – same as
the extent to which consideration
the leader – Concern for people
communicates to
Early Leadership Theories
Behavioral Theories
– knowing what effective leaders do would provide the
basis for training leaders
– University of Iowa Studies - Kurt Lewin
• explored three leadership styles
– autocratic - leader dictated work methods
– democratic - involved employees in decision making
• used feedback to coach employees
– laissez-faire - gave the group complete freedom
• results were mixed with respect to performance
– satisfaction higher with democratic leader
What are the trait and behavioral
leadership perspectives?
Leadership Grid.
– Developed by Robert Blake and Jane Mouton.
– Built on dual emphasis of consideration and
initiating structure.
– A 9 x 9 Grid (matrix) reflecting levels of
concern for people and concern for task.
• 1 reflects minimum concern.
• 9 reflects maximum concern.
Blake & Mouton Model
Authoritarian-Obedience: task oriented with little
attention to co-operation & collaboration
Grid 9
1,9 management
Thoughtful attention to
9,9 management
Work accomplisment is
needs of people for from committed people.
8 satisfying relationships Interdependence through
leads to a comfortable, a "common stake" in
friendly organization organization purpose
7
atmosphere and work
Low 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leader-Member Relations
The degree of confidence, trust, and
respect subordinates have in their leader.
Task Structure
The degree to which the job assignments
are procedurized.
Position Power
Influence derived from one’s formal
structural position in the organization;
includes power to hire, fire, discipline,
promote, and give salary increases.
Hersey and Blanchard’s
Situational Theory
(skill level of subordinates)
Subordinates vary in their readiness level.
– Low task readiness:
• Limited skill
• Lack of training
• Insecurity
– High task readiness:
• Ability
• Skill
• Confidence
• Willingness to work
Hersey and Blanchard’s
Situational Theory
Adopt a style appropriate to subordinate
abilities
– Low level of task readiness:
• Tell them what to do
• How to do it
• When to do it
– High level of task readiness:
• Provide general direction
• Delegate sufficient authority to do the task
• Expect followers to complete the task as they see fit
Hersey and Blanchard’s
Situational Leadership Theory
Situational Leadership Theory (SLT)
A contingency theory that focuses on
followers’ readiness.
Unable and Unable but Able and Able and
Unwilling Willing Unwilling Willing
Follower readiness:
ability and willingness
• Position • Practices/Behaviors
• Compliance • Commitment
• Do things right • Do the right thing
• Status quo • Change
• Short-term • Long-term
• Means • Ends
• Builders • Architects
• Instruction • Inspiration/motivation
• Control • Empower
Managers vs. Leaders
Managers Leaders
Focus on things Focus on people
Do things right Do the right things
Plan Inspire
Organize Influence
Direct Motivate
Control Build
Follows the rules Shape entities
Differences between Leaders
and Managers
LEADERS MANAGERS
Innovate Administer
Develop Maintain
Inspire Control
Long-term view Short-term view
Ask what and why Ask how and when
Originate Initiate
Challenge the status quo Accept the status quo
Do the right things Do things right
The Boss
The Boss drives his men,
The Leader inspires them.
The Boss depends on authority.
The Leader depends on goodwill.
The Boss evokes fear
The Leader radiates love.
The Boss says “I”.
The Leader says “We”.
The Boss shows who is wrong.
The Leader shows what is wrong.
The Boss knows how it is done.
The Leader knows how to do it.
The Boss demands respect.
The Leader commands respect.
So be a leader,
Not a Boss.