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Leap and
Reap
Rapidly
Current Process
Low Value
Automation
increases probability
but decreases possibility.
- Lewis Mumford
©
Determinism: A Short Cut
The long term sneaky way to change the
world without ever asking permission or
having to try to convince those who will be
forced to change and already hate the
idea, whatever it is and no matter what it
is, before you even thought of it.
Change key, interconnected tools, and the
rest of the system will change.
Technological Determinism
Technological systems are
interconnected webs.
The history of such systems shows a
consistent repeating pattern.
Changes in the speed, power or
complexity of one part causes
comparable changes in all other parts to
which it is connected.
One Word: Database
Tools are viral containers of ideas.
How we think differently from their use is often
even more important than what they actually do.
– Do you remember the first time you clicked instead
of typed?
– Do you remember pocket protector wearers saying
GUI was a waste of time and resources, and was
the SAME AS TYPING COMMANDS?
– The viral idea was the connection between
interface, function and data, and they could not see
it.
The dominant tool, metaphor, idea of our time is
the database.
Convergence
The coming together or merging of:
– Jurisdictions
– Industries
– Companies
– Tools and technologies
– Products and devices
– Professions and skills
– Jobs
The viral spread of IT across and within
industries and elements of life
Analog: Standardization
Nut, screws and bolts
Rails
Electricity
Auto tires
Paper
Plumbing and lumber
Drove the greatest expansion of
human productive capacity in
history and a lot of extinctions
Digital: Standardization
Data (XML in every industry)
Networks (IP everything)
Software (Web Services and SOA)
Storage (the one file holy grail)
Human Computer Interface (see me,
feel me)
Processing (Gird for the Virtual Grid)
And the effect will be at least as large…
Technological bow waves…
Government and Education As A Service
Public Developers Private Developers
Domestic, Global and Domestic, Global and
Open Source Open Source
Object Market
Functional and Software Lego Bricks
Both
Public Both Public Only Both Private Only Only Only
Only
Domestic and Global Economy of Scale Layer
Common, Interchangeable, Customizable Software and Hardware Services
Steps to GAAS UP
Consolidate (across boundaries
and industries)
Broker (think “Plastics…”)
Standardize (what and how)
Automate (no human can…)
Innovate (no machine used to…)
Steps to GAAS UP
Document rules (rules are made to
be coded)
Virtualize (it happens somewhere)
Eliminate (processes and systems)
Re-deploy resources (harvest)
E-Forms Functional Summary
Forms
Engines
to:
“COUNT” Data to
First •Submit
Data
Agencies
Form
Citizens A to:
•Apply
u Business
•Extract t Rules • Accept
Data h
e •Sign
•Apply
n •Share
Business •Submit
“COUNT” Rules t
i •Route
Businesses First
•Validate
•Reuse
Form c
•Sign a Data
t Analysis,
•Query
•Submit i Sharing
o
“COUNT” •Route
n
and •Manage
Customer First Public
Agents Form Access
•Safeguard
Direct
Privacy
Data
Transfers
Data Management Improvement
Process Harmonize and Reduce
Determine Core Data Elements
and Business Rules
Identify
Scope
Forms and Select Forms
Select Industry Harmonize Data Elements and
Paperwork and
Industry or Segment or Business Rules; Coordinate With
Processes Processes to Industry Standards
Government Government
Within Be
Function Function
Segment or Addressed Finalize and Publish XML
Function Schema for Data Elements,
Business Rules and Presentation
Formats
Work With:
• Business and Industry Associations
• Industry Solutions Vendors
• Federal, State and Local Governments
• Customer Agents
Publish Data Create
• Industry XML and Data Standards
Bodies
Routing Harmonized
Processes Forms
Customer Agents
Agency Processing,
Private Industry Solutions,
Applications,
Systems, Services and
Databases and Legacy
Software Modules
Systems
The Next 50 Years
Devices per chip continue to double every
12 months.
The pace of change continues to accelerate.
100 years happens in 20 at the current rate.*
Use to ubiquity.
Distinctive to disposable.
Peripheral to integral.
Wire Wireless
Services and
Content
Processing Storage
Universal Access
Anyone, anywhere, anytime will be
able to instantaneously talk, write
and send visual and audio
information to anyone else.
IP replaces Esperanto.
Please put my universal translator
engine in my cell phone in my ear
rather than a Babel Fish…
The Digital Majority
Watch the Third Screen
Like Starbucks' relentless attempts to sell itself
as the "third place," the wireless industry is
trying to sell itself as the "third screen."
2010:
•500 Million Broadband
Users
•2.3 Billion Cell Phones
Spare Parts
Availability dates:
Artificial Brain Cells 2017
Artificial Brain 2035
Artificial Eyes 2010
Artificial Eye Implant 2024
Permanent Mechanical Heart 2010
Synthetic Muscles 2019
Lungs And Kidneys 2015
DATA: BRITISH TELEPHONE LABS in Business Week, March 200 and in The Register, February 2005
Now Picking Up a Spare…
Over 100,000 Cochlear
Ear Implants
Bionic limbs moved by thought
Exoskeletons
Limbs, joints and bones
Carbon nanotubes
Brain Computer Interface
Information
Assessment
Technology
Learners
Neuroscience
Ummm…No
What Is Most Out of Whack?
The Carnegie Unit credit hours
Linearity
Grades
Subjects
Learning to remember rather than
learning to learn
Education is expected to cure all
with out concomitant resources
What Is Most Out of Whack?
Assessment is misapplied with too
many high-stakes low-yield tests
and not enough low-stakes
high-yield tests.
The policy response is inadequate
to the amount of change, the size of
the challenge and the importance of
the outcome.
Courseware
1: Each academic program has an
articulated curriculum.
2: Each class has specified goals
and objectives.
3: Standards and the method of
assessment are agreed upon.
4: Student achievement level and learning
style are assessed.
More Courseware Steps...
5: Learning and instruction plan
is customized and matched to goals,
objectives and student learning style.
6: Search for, acquire and develop
courseware to meet the learning and
instruction plans.
7: Training in the use of the courseware
and courseware tools is delivered.
Final Courseware Steps
8: Courseware is delivered.
9: Continuous assessment based on
standards is used to determine level of
achievement of goals and objectives.
10--Results of the assessment are fed
back into the curriculum articulation and
writing process.
Repeat the cycle.
Courseware Layers
Experience, Information and Knowledge
Objects
Modules
Units
Courses or Competencies
Degrees, Certificates and Documented
Achievement
Digital Content—Essential Raw Material
Why have states not mandated that all text
books and educational materials purchased
must be in both analog (paper) or digital form?
Furthermore, since most of the cost of paper
materials is NOT in the content development
but in the manufacture and distribution,
states should pay less for the digital
copy and subscribe to updates like other
software maintenance.
If you feel lonely, put a trigger to make sure 10
or some number of states pass it before it
goes into effect.
Searching for Optimal Efficiency and Quality
Discussion/Class
Cost
Courseware
Lecture
Play
Outsourced Workers Outsourced Machines
Richard J. H. Varn
rjmvarn@msn.com
Education Technology Objectives
Classroom and Institution Management
– You want the grading and paperwork processes of teaching
to be easier and more automated.
– You want learners and their families to be able to do
self-service on classroom and institutional processes.
– You want to know more about your learners before they
show up for class. You want to know the results of your
specific programs and effort with as much cause and effect
analysis as possible.
– You want your results based system to roll its results up to
various mandated reports like NCLB and to teachers,
researchers, educational leaders, policy makers and
the public.
Education Technology Objectives
Better Lectures and Presentations
– You want to hold the attention of learners
during lectures and presentations and
appropriately use various media to enhance
learning rather than just entertain.
Reflect Work Conditions
– You want your learners to learn using the
same tools, techniques and systems they will
use in the workplace.
Education Technology Objectives
Remediation
– You want to spend less class time on
bringing everyone up to the same
level and on addressing general study
skill issues, subject matter gaps and
literacy problems.
Education Technology Objectives
Technical Training
– You want learners to learn to use tools and
systems that are not in themselves part of the
curriculum by using self-paced, virtual and
hands-on tutorials.
Customized Learning
– You want use technology to match the
teaching and learning methods and materials
to be tailored to the individual knowledge,
skills, learning styles and objectives of
each learner.
Education Technology Objectives
Diagnostic Model of Education
– You want to use brain research, assessment,
real time feedback and (if it becomes
commonly available) physical indication of
learning activity in the brain to know if a learner
is in fact learning and responds accordingly.
Extended Learning
– You want the exceptional and the motivated
learners to go beyond what is required in the
class or program and beyond what you have
time to teach them.
Education Technology Objectives
Self-Directed Learners
– You want learners who can and will learn
on their own to be able to do so and
receive credit for what they learn. You
want to be able to spend more time
being a mentor, motivator, creator, guide,
evaluator and/or expert learner.
Education Technology Objectives
Collaborative Learning
– You want your learners to work in
collaborative teams and networks that are
not bound by the walls and grounds of
your location.
More Learning
– You want your learners to learn more
than previously possible through print
technology and gain greater mastery over
the subject matter.
Education Technology Objectives
More Cost-Effective Learning
– You want learning the amount of learning
per dollar spent to be greater.
Education Technology Objectives
Differentiating Roles and Specializing
– You want to allow each person to focus
more on the more narrowly defined role,
specialize, and improve the quality of
their work on their areas of expertise
(e.g., assessment, curriculum
development, discussion, administrative
processes, lecture, mentoring,
counseling, etc.) and use technology to
help free up time and reorganize the
work to make this possible.
Education Technology Objectives
Virtual Reality
– You want to be able to simulate real
environments that are too dangerous,
expensive and/or remote to provide at
your school.
Education Technology Objectives
Courseware Development
– You want to do what was once only the
province of textbook companies,
moviemakers and computer specialists:
make multimedia courseware.
Education Technology Objectives
Reach New Markets
– You want to export your unique and high
quality programs into areas beyond the
magic 30-minute, 30-mile barrier.
Education Technology Objectives
Expand Offerings
– You want to be able to increase your
offerings beyond what is possible and/or
affordable with conventional educational
delivery systems. You want to do this to
attract and keep more students and
increase the value of your programs.
Education Technology Objectives
Survival
– You want to make sure you are not
bypassed by other delivery systems
and that your school is equal to or better
than the competition in the use and
availability of education materials and
information technology.