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Lars Jessen
Banking and Debt Management
Agenda
3
The MTDS Toolkit
Supports a structured approach to developing a
medium-term debt management strategy
– Requires a clear description of the framework within which
the strategy is developed, including objectives for debt
management, macro-economic issues, etc.
INPUT
•Existing debt cash
flows
•Financial variables
– Interest rates
–
The Basic Structure of the
Analytical Tool (2)
Excel-based
Developed on the basis of scenario-analysis models
used by debt management offices
– Structurally, it is similar to deterministic and stochastic
scenario models used in practice
Four separate spreadsheets
– SDModel0XL.xls – the engine
– Strategy_Test.xls – specifies strategies to be tested
– ScenarioXLTest.xls – stress scenarios
– ScenarioAnalysis.xls – comparison of strategies
Measurement of Cost
Cost
Risk Scenario
1 Risk1,X
Time
Time
Example of Output
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