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EPC Contracting Strategy balancing Risk & Rewards for Customers and Contractors
Juan Ccahuana Tito, Director Fossil Power Sector Energy, OOO Siemens Moscow
, 2006
Extraordinary growth in Europe, Russia, China, Middle East and RSA Market boom in S/E Asia replaced by USboom Overestimation of demand, impacts of oil price crises
Drivers, uncertainties
Economic growth Energy prices Ecology awareness Power plant types Commodity prices Liberalization Customer behavior Replacements Regional markets Grid extension Production capacity
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
Source: Siemens Energy GS4 Base Case scenario Status: April 2008
Customer / Market
Steep Market Increase
203 144 178 GW/a
05-07
08-10
11-13 135%
200 200 200 200 200 5 7 Lead times and cost have increased significantly (+35%) within4 3 years 6 last 4
Erection/Commissioning
100% 105%
112%
125%
Feb
Oct
Aug
Jul
Feb
- Current EPC business models need to be rethought by industry e.g. -> EPC-M - Develop alternative business models - Siemens is strengthening its product business by providing pre-engineered product packages to the market.
, 2006
Siemens offering
Entire Power Plant as Turnkey business from Siemens -Models: Customer award for an EPC full scope delivery will be served from Siemens and a partner (e.g. EPC Consortium). - Models: Customer awards reduced scope. Integration to complete Power Plant is under responsibility of customer or a 3rd party contracted by the customer (e.g. EPC-M, Architect Engineer)
xa
Entire PP
2a
3a Partner needed
4a
2b 3b
xb
t se uqer r e m t s u C o
Reduced scope
4b
Model
20-30%
Scope of delivery
50-60% 70-80% 100%
Applied principle
1 2a 2b 3a 3b 4a 4b
Power Block Power Block
Entire power plant as General Contractor Appropriate rebalance risk tools to be applied Control over Power Block design (incl. 3D model) Model to cooperate with construction companies Carve-out of civil & erection to ensure ~40% partner scope Control over Power Block design (incl. 3D model) Customer is responsible for scope outside power block Control over process: Min. scope for gross perf. guarantee Model to cooperate with AE/EPC capable of power plant eng. Consortium partner responsible for plant integration Control over process: Min. scope for gross perf. guarantee Customer responsible for plant integration No Siemens plant design Model to cooperate with EPCs in multi block projects Min. scope for SAG (~40%) only in case of multi block projects No Siemens plant design Delivery of components (GTs, STs plus e.g. electrical equipment, I&C, etc.)
3 1 4 2
Power Island Power Island Ext. Power Train Ext. Power Train SAG Customer
SGT-PAC
Gas fuel and auxiliaries Air intake / exhaust system Gas fuel system Modules Connectiong lines Generator and auxiliary systems Fire extinction system of GT plant Electric and I&C equipment Options
, 2006
Shared Risk
Focus on Customer Value and balanced risk Focus on Customer Value and balanced risk
, 2006
Aker Kaeverner Kiewit Worley Parsons Fresh Meadow BE&K Al Ghanim ASTE ETA Doosan Heavy Samsung Daewoo Marubeni HHI HDEC SNC Techint Al Rahji NCC Saudi
Duro Felguera Partner with SAG experience Partner w/o SAG experience Bold Strategic Partner Normal Project Partner
, 2006
Step 1 Identify Partners with sales for regions and countries Collect feedback from existing projects with the partners Get partner consent in taking part in program
Step 2 Perform partner workshop, discuss experience and find common ways for future cooperation, identify co-operation development plan and sign a MOU
, 2006