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Chapter 3 VC Returns
IRR (%)
20.00 40.00 60.00 80.00 100.00 120.00 -20.00 0.00 1980 1981 1982 1983
1984
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991
1992
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Median IRR top quartile IRR
VE Benchmarks
Value multiple = realization ratio = investment multiple = multiple of money = times money = absolute return
Value multiple =
Total distributi ons to LPs value of unrealized investments invested capital management fees Total distributions to LPs invested capital management fees value of unrealized investments invested capital management fees
1.
2. 3.
Sum them to date to get total distributions to LPs Get value of unrealized investments (after exits) = portfolio value (before exits) - total exits in year t. This is an estimate value of illiquid investments and not a market/transaction value.
4. 5.
1. 2. 3.
4.
Calculate net cash flows = Distributions to LPs - new investments - fees For the IRR of a fund that is T years into its life and is still alive, the value of unrealized (i.e., remaining) investments at the end of year T is counted as if it is a positive cash flow. This is an estimate value of illiquid investments and not a market/transaction value.
Cash flow if final year of IRR calculations = Distributions to LPs new investments - fees + portfolio value of remaining unrealized investments
5.
Example of a J-curve
Carried interest
Contributed capital = invested capital + management fees that have been paid to date
For a fully-invested and completed fund, contributed capital = investment capital + lifetime fees = committed capital
GP Clawback
Given the often complex formulas for distributions, GPs could end up with more than their share of profits (excess carry) at the end of the funds life. Clawback ensures that LPs get back what is promised to them in the agreement by requiring GPs to return any excess carry.
Most funds have a clawback clause.
Many top-quartile funds raised in the late 90s enjoyed early carry distributions during the boom years, but then had the clawback kick in in later years.
Industry Returns
Industry returns are constructed as time-weighted returns (e.g., annualized compound returns)
Nice for comparison with market indices Nice for making risk adjustments
3 sources:
Sand Hill Econometrics (SHE): portfolio comp level Cambridge Associates (CA): fund level Venture Economics (VE)
Return Definitions
Periodic returns =
Rt ( Pt Dt ) 1 Pt 1
Gross returns = returns before subtracting fees and carry Net returns = returns after subtracting fees and carry Realized returns = historical returns
A Gross-Return Index
2500
5000
1000
250
500
100
25 50
A Net-Return Index
CA index
1981 Q1 1982 Q1 1983 Q1 1984 Q1 1985 Q1 1986 Q1 1987 Q1 1988 Q1 1989 Q1 1990 Q1 1991 Q1 1992 Q1 1993 Q1 1994 Q1 1995 Q1 1996 Q1 1997 Q1 1998 Q1 1999 Q1 2000 Q1 2001 Q1 2002 Q1 2003 Q1 2004 Q1 2005 Q1 2006 Q1 2007 Q1 2008 Q1
9.0%1, 7.9%2
13.0%1, 16.2%2
1Only
Note: There have been no publicly available updates of KPCB funds since December 2004. Fund IXs performance as of March 2004 (-23.3% IRR) does NOT reflect its subsequent profit from the investment it made in Google.
Value multiple = Total distributi ons to LPs value of unrealized investments invested capital management fees GVM is the raw investment return; value multiple is how much money LPs makes, net of fees and carry
If GPs report their track records in terms of GVM, what would that imply about value multiple?
Total distributions = GVM*investment capital Carried interest = carry%*(total distributions carry basis)
Value multiple Total distributi ons to LPs Committed capital
GVM * investment capital - carry% * (GVM * investment capital - Carry basis) Committed capital
GP%
Carried interest Total distributions carry% * (GVM * investment capital - Carry basis) GVM * investment capital
GP% is the percentage of the total distributions that gets paid to GPs as carried interest.