Académique Documents
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Global e ntial
t Po t
Marke
Integrated demand
Market Size
Commercial Geography
Transactions
Movements
Transport Geography
Global GDP, 2002
32.3%
34.2%
UnitedStates
Japan
Germany
Other G7
Restof theworld
12.3%
15.1%
6.1%
Share of Global GDP Growth, 1995-
2002
25
20
15
10
0
China US Other Asia EU Japan Restof the
World
World GDP per Capita, 2000 ($US)
Not Available
Less than $2,000
$2,000 to $5,000
$5,000 to $12,000
$12,000 to $20,000
More than $20,000
Increases in U.S. Commercial Freight
Shipments and
Related Growth Factors, 1993–2002
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
World Trade Flows, 2001 (billion
$US)
255
Western Europe 195
188
(1,677)
252
312
North America 376 Asia / Pacific
(391) (722)
207
333
205 96
Rest of the
287 World 174
(285)
Share of Asia in World Trade, 1980-
2003
28
26 Exports
Imports
24
22
20
18
16
14
12
10
1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Value of U.S. Merchandise Trade with
Canada and Mexico: 1994-2000
2000
1800
1600
1400
1200
Total TradewithCanada
1000 Total TradewithMexico
800 Total U.S. International Trade
600
400
200
0
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Global Inflows of Foreign Direct
Investments, 1990-2003 (in millions of
$US)
1,600,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Worldwide Mergers and Acquisitions,
1980-2001
4,000 45%
All Mergers
3,500 40%
Cross Border Mergers
%Cross Border 35%
3,000
Billions of 2000$US
30%
2,500
25%
2,000
20%
1,500
15%
1,000
10%
500 5%
0 0%
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1991
1992
1993
1994
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
1988
1989
1990
1995
1996
Transportation and the Supply and
Distribution Chain
Supplier Customer
Transport Transport
Trends in International Standards by
Technical Fields, 1980-1990
2500
1985
2000 1990
1500
1000
500
0
Mechanical Basic chemicals Non-metallic Ores andmetals Information Agriculture Others
engineering materials processing,
graphics and
photography
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Chemicals
General
machinery
Electrical
machinery
Communication
and electronics
equipment
millions $US)
Motor vehicles
Other
transportation
equipments
Value of Japanese Technology
Imports with North America (in
Precision
instruments
1989
1986
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Chemicals
General
machinery
Electrical
machinery
Communication
and electronics
equipment
millions $US)
Motor vehicles
Other
transportation
equipments
Value of Japanese Technology
Exports with North America (in
Precision
instruments
1989
1986
Consumer Expenditures in the US by
Age Group, 1988
100%
90%
80%
70% Automobile related
60% Savings
50% Living related
40% Education-related
30% Medical
20%
10%
0%
Under 24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 Over 65
years old years old
Consumer Expenditures in the Japan
by Age Group, 1990
100%
90%
80%
70% Automobile related
60% Savings
50% Living related
40% Education-related
30% Medical
20%
10%
0%
Under 24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 Over 65
years old years old
Concept 2
Transport Costs
Components of Transport Cost
Transaction Costs
Friction of Distance
A B
Shipment
Fixed and Operating Transport Costs
1 2
Zone Change
Costs
Fixed Costs
Distance
3 4
Transshipment Costs
Different Components of Transport
Time
Ti Transport Time Timing
me
Distance
Punctuality Frequency
Average Length of Haul by Major
Commodity Group, 2002
Gravel andcrushed stone
Fuel oils
Wasteand scrap
Alcoholic beverages
Fertilizers
Basic chemicals
Woodproducts
Coal
Cereal grains
Pharmaceutical products
Machinery
High Low
10000000
Shipment Size (lbs)
1000000
Transport Charges ($/ton)
100000
10000
1000
100
10
1
Parcel LTL Truck Truckload Railcar Multi- Unit train Barge load
load railcar
Top 10 Commodity Groups Ranked by
Value Per Ton, United States, 2002
Pharmaceutical products
Tobacco products
Machinery
CFS total
Services
Wholesale&Retail
Communications &Utilities
Manufacturing
Construction
Mining
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Transport costs per output (%)
FOB and CIF Transport Costs
Freight-on-Board
Costs
Cost-Insurance-Freight
}
Production Costs
Distance
Estimates of Total Imports Freight Costs
Relative to Imports (CIF), 1997
14
12
10
0
Total Developed Developing Africa Asia Europe South Oceania
America
Zonal Freight Rates
D1
Flat zonal rate
Costs
D2
I II III IV
Distance
Fixed and Variable Costs and Service in
the Transportation System
13,000
Averageannual miles traveledper vehicle
12,500
12,000
11,500
R2 =0.8825
11,000
10,500
10,000
9,500
9,000
$0.06 $0.08 $0.10 $0.12 $0.14 $0.16 $0.18 $0.20
AverageCost Per Vehicle-Mile(2001dollars)
Concept 3
Relational
Distribution
Network Structures
Feeder Node
Hub / Interface
Link
Flow
Corridor
Distribution
Warehousing
Financial / Insurance
Retail / Wholesale
Centrifugal and Centripetal Networks
Centrifugal Centripetal
Point-to-Point and Hub-and-Spoke
Networks
Point-to-Point Hub-and-Spoke
Hub
Detour Level in a Hub-and-Spoke
Network
D
B
C
Impacts of Integration Processes on
Networks and Flows
Before Integration After Integration
International border
Network
Flows
Cost, Revenue and Level of Network
Coverage
5 4 Cost: 10
A 10Revenue: 15
3 Benefit: 5
7
Cost: 12
B Revenue: 18
Benefit: 6
Cost: 14
C Revenue: 25
Benefit: 11
Cost: 19
D Revenue: 29
Benefit: 10
Transport Rates and Network
Structure
Rate
Low Average High
Topology of a Network
Unidirectional link
Bi-directional link
Node
Types of Network Topology
Mesh Hub-and-Spoke
Linear Tree
Network Geometry and Number of
Links
For each node to be linked to anotherFor
node
all the nodes to be linked together
Even number of nodesOdd number of nodes
A
A C
Average Path Length
B D
B or C
Geographic Barrier
Network Length
A Typology of Transportation
Networks - I
Concrete Abstract
1 4 3
7 6 5
4
2 1
5 6
3 2
A Typology of Transportation
Networks - II
Continuous 8000
t/hr t/hr
3500
Divided
A Typology of Transportation
Networks - III
Linear
Random
Mesh
Transport Networks and Space
Transport Network
Space
Accessibility
Mode of Territorial Occupation by
Transport Networks
Overlap
Air corridor e”
Rail servic
“No
Road
Cellular coverage
c or ridor
a r it ime
M
A B C
D E F
Absolute and Relative Distance in a
Network
10 km 30 minutes
Networks and Spatial Continuity
A B
C
Concept 4
Aij
i Modal Supply
j
Intermodal
Supply
Tij
i Realized Demand j
Potential Demand
Ton-Miles of Freight Transported
within the United States, 1975-2000
(millions)
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
Air
2,500,000 Water
2,000,000 Pilelines
Truck
1,500,000
Rail
1,000,000
500,000
0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000
Ton-Miles of Transported Freight,
United States, 1960-2003 (millions)
16,000
1,600,000
Intercity truck
14,000
1,400,000 Rail
Coastal 12,000
1,200,000 Air
10,000
1,000,000
Air
8,000
800,000
6,000
600,000
400,000 4,000
200,000 2,000
0 0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
Passenger-Miles Transported within
the United States, 1975-2004
(millions)
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
Rail
2,500,000
Urban Transit
2,000,000 Bus
Car
1,500,000
Air
1,000,000
500,000
0
1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2004
Growth Factors in Transport Demand
s
Passengers k m
Freight on-
Growth in r t
production r o
e
and
e ng
s
consumptio
Pas
n
Income
growth
Industrial relocation
Economic specializationKM
Suburbanization
Average Distance
Factors behind Freight Transport
Demand
Economy General derived demand impact. Linked with the GDP. Function of
the structure of the economy in terms of resources, goods, and
Industrial Effect on ton-kms and on modal choice.
services.
location
Spatial Structure Effect on ton-kms. Function of international trade structure.
Containerization and intermodal transportation.
International Both concerning trade and transportation. Economic specialization.
Agreements Increased transborder traffic. Simplified custom procedures.
JIT practices and Decreased inventories. More shipments. Smaller line hauls. Shift to
warehousing faster and more reliable modes. Use of 3rd party logistics providers.
Strategic Between carriers, shippers and often producers and retailers. Lower
alliances
Packaging and distribution costs.
Increased transportability of products. Lower freight density.
recycling
Regulation and Reverse
Increaseddistribution.
competition, level of service and lower costs. Growth of
deregulation intermodal transportation.
Fuel costs, taxes Large and volatile cost components, specifically for energy intensive
and subsidies modes. Preferred mode or carrier.
Infrastructure Efficiency, operating costs and reliability.
and congestion
Safety and Operating speed, conditions and costs. Capacity and weight limits.
environmental
policies
Technology Containerization, double-stacking, automation and robotics, handling
and interchange systems and automated terminals. Information
systems (IDE). Lower costs, increased efficiency and reliability and
new opportunities.
Share of Total Domestic Freight Activity
by Mode, G7 Countries, 1996
100%
%of total domestic metric ton-km
80%
Road
60% Rail
Oil Pipeline
40% Water
Air
20%
0%
Canada France Germany Italy Japan United United
Kingdom States
Share of Total Domestic Passenger
Activity by Mode, G7 Countries, 1996
100%
%of total domestic passenger-km
80%
60%
Rail
Road
40% Air
20%
0%
Canada France Germany Italy J apan United United
Kingdom States
Major Supply Variables for
Transportation Modes
VehiclesTerminals Routes
•Width •Grade •Locks
•Speed limit
Atmospheric Conditions
Impacts of Modal Competition and
Intermodal Capacity on Transport Supply
1
C C = T(A) + T(B)
Traffic T(A)
Modal Competition
Mode A Mode B
T(B)
Assignment
C(A) 2
Capacity
C(B)
Intermodal Capacity
T(AB) = C(B)
Terminal A Terminal B
Classic Transport Demand / Supply
Function
Cost
Demand Supply
T 2 − T1
Elasticity =
D C 2 − C1
S1
S2
Equilibrium
C1
C2
T1 T2 Traffic
Transport Elasticity by Activity
100% Emergency
Commuting
Major Purchase
Social Activities
Recreation
0%
Cost
Transport Supply, Demand and
Travel Time
Traffic
Transport Demand (T)
Morning Afternoon
peak peak
Travel time
T>A
T<A
Time of the Day