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Return =
P1 - Po + D1 Po
Return =
P1 - Po + D1 Po D1 + Po
P1 - Po Po
Return =
P1 - Po + D1 Po D1 + Po
P1 - Po Po
Capital Gain
Return =
P1 - Po + D1 Po D1 + Po Dividend Yield
P1 - Po Po
Capital Gain
Dilemma: Should the firm use retained earnings for: a) Financing profitable capital investments? b) Paying dividends to stockholders?
Return =
If
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
Return =
If
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
Return =
If
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
we retain earnings for profitable investments, dividend yield will be zero, but the stock price will increase, resulting in a higher capital gain.
Return =
If
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
we pay dividends,
Return =
If
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
Return =
If
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
we pay dividends, stockholders receive an immediate cash reward for investing, but the capital gain will decrease, since this cash is not invested in the firm.
much of the firms earnings should be distributed to shareholders as dividends, and How much should be retained for capital investment.
D1 Po = kc - g
Dividend
D1 Po = kc - g
Dividend
D1 Po = kc - g
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, an increase in dividends means less money will be invested, so the growth rate declines.
D1 Po = kc - g
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, an increase in dividends means less money will be invested, so the growth rate declines.
D1 Po = kc - g
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, an increase in dividends means less money will be invested, so the growth rate declines. The increase in D1 is offset by the decrease in g.
D1 Po = kc - g
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, an increase in dividends means less money will be invested, so the growth rate declines. The increase in D1 is offset by the decrease in g. Consequently, dividend policy does not affect stock price.
Return =
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, investors do not care if returns come in the form of dividend yields or capital gains.
Return =
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, investors do not care if returns come in the form of dividend yields or capital gains.
Return =
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
Dividend
irrelevance: In perfect markets, investors do not care if returns come in the form of dividend yields or capital gains.
investors may prefer a certain dividend now over a risky expected capital gain in the future.
investors may prefer a certain dividend now over a risky expected capital gain in the future.
Return =
P1 - Po Po
D1 Po
are taxed immediately. Capital gains are not taxed until the stock is sold. Therefore, taxes on capital gains can be deferred indefinitely.
Do Dividends Matter?
Other Considerations: 1) Residual Dividend Theory: The firm pays a dividend only if it has retained earnings left after financing all profitable investment opportunities. This would maximize capital gains for stockholders and minimize flotation costs of issuing new common stock.
Do Dividends Matter?
2) Clientele Effects: Different investor clienteles prefer different dividend payout levels. Some firms, such as utilities, pay out over 70% of their earnings as dividends. These attract a clientele that prefers high dividends. Growth-oriented firms which pay low (or no) dividends attract a clientele that prefers price appreciation to dividends.
Do Dividends Matter?
3) Information Effects: Raising a firms dividend usually causes the stock price to rise and decreasing the dividend causes the stock price to fall. Dividend changes convey information to the market concerning the firms future prospects.
Do Dividends Matter?
4) Agency Costs: Paying dividends may reduce agency costs between managers and shareholders. Paying dividends reduces retained earnings and forces the firm to raise external equity financing. Raising external equity subjects the firm to scrutiny of regulators (SEC) and investors and therefore helps monitor the performance of managers.
Do Dividends Matter?
5) Expectations Theory: Investors form expectations concerning the amount of a firms upcoming dividend. Expectations are based on past dividends, expected earnings, investment and financing decisions, the economy, etc. The stock price will likely react if the actual dividend is different from the expected dividend.
Dividend Policies
1) Constant Payout Ratio Policy: if directors declare a constant payout ratio of, for example, 30%, then for every dollar of earnings available to stockholders, 30 cents would be paid out as dividends. the ratio remains constant over time, but the dollar value of dividends changes as earnings change.
Dividend Policies
2) Stable Dollar Dividend Policy: the firm tries to pay a fixed dollar dividend each quarter. firms and stockholders prefer stable dividends. Decreasing the dividend sends a negative signal!
Dividend Policies
3) Small Regular Dividend plus Year-End Extras the firm pays a stable quarterly dividend and includes an extra year-end dividend in prosperous years. By identifying the year-end dividend as extra, directors hope to avoid signaling that this is a permanent dividend.
Jan.4
Declare dividend
Jan.28 Feb.1
Ex-div. Record date date
Mar. 11
Payment date
Dividend Payments
1) Declaration Date: the board of directors declares the dividend, determines the amount of the dividend, and decides on the payment date.
Jan.4
Declare dividend
Jan.28 Feb.1
Ex-div. Record date date
Mar. 11
Payment date
Dividend Payments
2) Ex-Dividend Date:
Jan.4
Declare dividend
Jan.28 Feb.1
Ex-div. Record date date
Mar. 11
Payment date
Dividend Payments
2) Ex-Dividend Date: To receive the dividend, you have to buy the stock before the ex-dividend date. On this date, the stock begins trading exdividend and the stock price falls approximately by the amount of the dividend.
Jan.4
Declare dividend
Jan.28 Feb.1
Ex-div. Record date date
Mar. 11
Payment date
Dividend Payments
3) Date of Record:
Jan.4
Declare dividend
Jan.28 Feb.1
Ex-div. Record date date
Mar. 11
Payment date
Dividend Payments
3) Date of Record: 4 days after the exdividend date, the firm receives the list of stockholders eligible for the dividend. often, a bank trust department acts as registrar and maintains this list for the firm.
Jan.4
Declare dividend
Jan.28 Feb.1
Ex-div. Record date date
Mar. 11
Payment date
Dividend Payments
4) Payment Date: date on which the firm mails the dividend checks to the shareholders of record.
dividend: payment of additional shares of stock to common stockholders. Example: Citizens Bancorporation of Maryland announced a 5% stock dividend to all shareholders of record on March 27, 1987. For each 100 shares held, shareholders received another 5 shares. Did the shareholders wealth increase?
Split: the firm increases the number of shares outstanding and reduces the price of each share. Example: Joule, Inc. announced a 3-for-2 stock split. For each 100 shares held, shareholders received another 50 shares. Does this increase shareholder wealth? Are a stock dividend and a stock split the same?
Splits and Stock Dividends are economically the same: the number of shares outstanding increases and the price of each share drops. The value of the firm does not change. Example: A 3-for-2 stock split is the same as a 50% stock dividend. For each 100 shares held, shareholders receive another 50 shares.
on Shareholder Wealth:
on Shareholder Wealth: these will cut the company pie into more pieces but will not create wealth. A 100% stock dividend (or a 2-for-1 stock split) gives shareholders 2 half-sized pieces for each full-sized piece they previously owned.
on Shareholder Wealth: these will cut the company pie into more pieces but will not create wealth. A 100% stock dividend (or a 2-for-1 stock split) gives shareholders 2 half-sized pieces for each full-sized piece they previously owned. For example, this would double the number of shares, but would cause a $60 stock price to fall to $30.
bother? Proponents argue that these are used to reduce high stock prices to a more popular trading range (generally $15 to $70 per share). Opponents argue that most stocks are purchased by institutional investors who have $millions to invest and are indifferent to price levels. Plus, stock splits and stock dividends are expensive!
outstanding: 1,000,000 net income = $6,000,000; P/E = 10 25% stock dividend. An investor has 120 shares. Does the value of the investors shares change?
Before the 25% stock dividend: EPS = 6,000,000/1,000,000 = $6 P/E = P/6 = 10, so P = $60 per share. Value = $60 x 120 shares = $7,200 After the 25% stock dividend: # shares = 1,000,000 x 1.25 = 1,250,000. EPS = 6,000,000/1,250,000 = $4.80 P/E = P/4.80 = 10, so P = $48 per share. Investor now has 120 x 1.25 = 150 shares. Value = $48 x 150 = $7,200
Stock Repurchases
Stock
Repurchases may be a good substitute for cash dividends. If the firm has excess cash, why not buy back common stock?
Stock Repurchases
Stock
Repurchases may be a good substitute for cash dividends. If the firm has excess cash, why not buy back common stock?
Stock Repurchases
Repurchases
drive up the stock price, producing capital gains for shareholders. Repurchases increase leverage, and can be used to move toward the optimal capital structure. Repurchases signal positive information to the market - which increases stock price.
Stock Repurchases
Repurchases
may be used to avoid a hostile takeover. Example: T. Boone Pickens attempted raids on Phillips Petroleum and Unocal in 1985. Both were unsuccessful because the target firms undertook stock repurchases.
Stock Repurchases
Methods: Buy shares in the open market through a broker. Buy a large block by negotiating the purchase with a large block holder, usually an institution. (targeted stock repurchase) Tender offer: offer to pay a specific price to all current stockholders.