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BUSINESS STATISTICS
f o u r t h e d i t i o nf o u r t h e d i t i o n
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Aczel
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
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Using Statistics Percentiles and Quartiles Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Variability Grouped Data and the Histogram Skewness and Kurtosis Relations between the Mean and Standard Deviation Methods of Displaying Data Exploratory Data Analysis Using the Computer
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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Descriptive Statistics
Collect Organize Summarize Display Analyze
Inferential Statistics
Predict and forecast values of population parameters Test hypotheses about values of population parameters Make decisions
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Quantitative Measurable or Countable: Examples are Temperatures Salaries Number of points scored on a 100 point exam
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Scales of Measurement
Nominal Scale - groups or classes Gender Ordinal Scale - order matters Ranks Interval Scale - difference or distance matters Temperatures Ratio Scale - Ratio matters Salaries
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
A population consists of the set of all measurements in which the investigator is interested. A sample is a subset of the measurements selected from the population. A census is a complete enumeration of every item in a population.
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Sampling from the population is often done randomly, such that every possible sample of equal size (n) will have an equal chance of being selected. A sample selected in this way is called a simple random sample or just a random sample. A random sample allows chance to determine its elements.
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The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
Irwin/McGraw-Hill
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Population (N)
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Sample (n)
Aczel
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Why Sample?
Census of a population may be:
Impossible Impractical Too costly
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Given any set of numerical observations, order them according to magnitude. The Pth percentile in the ordered set is that value below which lie P% (P percent) of the observations in the set. The position of the Pth percentile is given by (n + 1)P/100, where n is the number of observations in the set.
Aczel
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
Irwin/McGraw-Hill
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
6 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 24
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To find the 80th percentile, determine the data point in position (n + 1)P/100 = (20 + 1)(80/100) = 16.8. Thus, the percentile is located at the 16.8th position. The 16th observation is 19, and the 17th observation is also 20. The 80th percentile is a point lying 0.8 of the way from 19 to 20 and is thus 19.8.
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Quartiles
Quartiles are the percentage points that break down the data set into quarters. The first quartile is the 25th percentile. It is the point below which lie 1/4 of the data. The second quartile is the 50th percentile. It is the point below which lie 1/2 of the data. This is also called the median. The third quartile is the 75th percentile. It is the point below which lie 3/4 of the data.
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
The first quartile (25th percentile) is often called the lower quartile. The second quartile (50th percentile) is often called median or the middle quartile. The third quartile (75th percentile) is often called the upper quartile. The interquartile range is the difference between the first and the third quartiles.
Aczel
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
Irwin/McGraw-Hill
COMPLETE
1-17
BUSINESS STATISTICS
Quartiles
First Quartile
(20+1)25/100=5.25
13 + (.25)(1) = 13.25
Median
(20+1)50/100=10.5
16 + (.5)(0) = 16
Third Quartile
(20+1)75/100=15.75
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
yMode
yMean
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Sorted Sales 6 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 24
16 + (.5)(0) = 16
The median is the middle value of data sorted in order of magnitude. It is the fiftieth percentile.
Aczel
The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
COMPLETE
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
. .
--------------------------------------------------------------6 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 24
Mode = 16 The mode is the most frequently occurring value. It is the value with the highest frequency.
Irwin/McGraw-Hill
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Sample Mean
x!
x
i !1
x
i !1
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
x!
x
i !1
317 ! 1585 . 20
317
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. .
--------------------------------------------------------------6 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 24
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Range
Difference between maximum and minimum values
Interquartile Range
Difference between third and first quartile (Q3 - Q1)
Variance
Mean* squared deviation from the mean
Standard Deviation
Square root of the variance
population variance and sample variance differ slightly.
Definitions of
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Sorted Sales 6 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 16 16 16 17 17 18 18 19 20 21 22 24
Range
Maximum - Minimum = 24 - 6 = 18
Q1 = 13 + (.25)(1) = 13.25
Interquartile Range
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
W 2 ! i!1
(x Q)
N
2
s !
2
(x x)
i !1
n 1
! W!
x
i!1
( x)
N i !1
( ) x
n 2
n x i !1
i !1
n 1
2 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 1999
s! s
Aczel
Irwin/McGraw-Hill
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
xx
-9.85 -6.85 -5.85 -3.85 -2.85 -1.85 -1.85 -0.85 0.15 0.15 0.15 1.15 1.15 2.15 2.15 3.15 4.15 5.15 6.15 8.15 0
(x x) 2
97.0225 46.9225 34.2225 14.8225 8.1225 3.4225 3.4225 0.7225 0.0225 0.0225 0.0225 1.3225 1.3225 4.6225 4.6225 9.9225 17.2225 26.5225 37.8225 66.4225 378.5500
x2
36 81 100 144 169 196 196 225 256 256 256 289 289 324 324 361 400 441 484 576 5403
s !
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378.55 (20 1)
378.55 ! 19.923684 19 x
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100489 317 5403 5403 20 ! 20 ! 19 20 1
5403 5024.45 378.55 ! ! 19.923684 19 19 s ! s ! 19.923684 ! 4.46 !
2
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Skewness
Measure of asymmetry of a frequency distribution Skewed to left Symmetric or unskewed Skewed to right
urtosis
Measure of flatness or peakedness of a frequency distribution Platykurtic (relatively flat) Mesokurtic (normal) Leptokurtic (relatively peaked)
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Skewness
Skewed to left
Mean < median < mode
3 0
F re q ue nc y
2 0
1 0
0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 6 0 0
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Skewness
Symmetric
Mean = median = mode
3 0
F re q ue nc y
2 0
1 0
0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 6 0 0
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Skewness
Skewed to right
Mode > median > mean
3 0
F re q ue nc y
2 0
1 0
0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 0 0 4 0 0 5 0 0 6 0 0
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Kurtosis
Platykurtic - flat distribution
7 0 0 6 0 0 5 0 0
F re q u e n c y
4 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 - 3 .5 - 2 .7 - 1 .9 - 1 .1 - 0 .3 0 .5 1 .3 2 .1 2 .9 3 .7
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Kurtosis
Mesokurtic - not too flat and not too peaked
5 0 0
4 0 0
F re q u e n c y
3 0 0
2 0 0
1 0 0
0 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Kurtosis
Leptokurtic - peaked distribution
2 0 0 0
F re q u e n c y
1 0 0 0
0 -1 0 0 1 0
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Pie Charts
Categories represented as percentages of total
Bar Graphs
Heights of rectangles represent group frequencies
Frequency Polygons
Height of line represents frequency
Ogives
Height of line represents cumulative frequency
Time Plots
Represents values over time
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Pie Chart
Fig. 1-8 Telecommunications Headquarters Other (8.0%) U.S. (30.0%)
Europe (25.0%)
Britain (8.0%)
Japan (29.0%)
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BUSINESS STATISTICS
Bar Chart
Fig. 1-9 Airline Operating Expenses and Revenues
12
10
USAir
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Ogive
0.0 0 10 20 30 40 50
0.0 0 10 20 30 40 50
Sales
Sales
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Time Plot
M o n thly S te e l P ro d u c tio n (P ro b le m 1 -4 6 )
8.5
Millions of Tons
7.5
6.5
5.5 Month J F M A M J J A S ON D J F M A M J J A S ON D J F M A M J J A S O
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Aczel