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Power/Electrification Sector
Waterfront Insular Hotel, Davao City 8 November 2011
OUTLINE
I. Mindanao Power Sector Situation
Power Supply and Demand Draft 2011 Mindanao Power Development Plan Update Private Sector Initiated Power Projects Major Transmission Projects
Hydro 53%
Geothermal 5%
Agus Complex = 727 MW Installed Capacity 36.89 % of Mindanao Total Installed Capacity
Load Centers: South Eastern Mindanao = 431 MW (34.5% Total Load) South Western Mindanao = 185 MW (14.8 % Total Load)
MWh Coal 1,091,024 Oil-based 941,150 Geothermal 592,743 Hydro 3,455,004 Solar 868 Total Generation6,080,790
Note: Preliminary data for the January-September 2011 Excludes generation from embedded and off-grid for the January - September 2011
1,400
1,200
800
600
Max MO = 478 MW
Max FO = 202 MW
400
200
0 W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9W10 W12 W14 W16 W18 W20 W22 W24 W26 W28 W30 W32 W34 W36 W38 W11 W13 W15 W17 W19 W21 W23 W25 W27 W29 W31 W33 W35 W37 W39
JAN
Geothermal Coal
FEB
Hydro Oil-based
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
MINDANAO GRID
SupplySupply-Demand Assumptions
New capacities
Minergy Oil-based Power Plant (2x13.75 MW) by 2011 Cabulig HEP (8 MW) by 2011 Mt. Apo Geothermal (50 MW) by 2014 Conal Coal-fired 200 MW Unit 1 (100 MW) by 2014 and Unit 2 (100 MW) by 2015
Normal hydro condition No retirement of existing power plants Electricity Demand projected at 4.56 % Annual Average Growth Rate (AAGR) Required Reserve Margin
4 % Load Following and Frequency Regulation Spinning Reserve ( Largest Generating Unit, 105 MW) Back-up Reserve (Largest Generating Unit, 105 MW)
Note: Assumptions in the Draft PDP 2011 Update
MW
1658 1685 1693 1693 1843 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 1943 269 272 275 277 280 283 286 289 293 297 300 304 309 313 318 322 327 333 338 344
1484 1550 1616 1686 1755 1829 1906 1987 2071 2163 2259 2360 2465 2575 2690 2811 2937 3069 3207 3351
MINDANAO
Why Mindanao?
At least two locations in South Mindanao with good prospects for siting a terminal Locational advantage to major sources of LNG supply, sits astride trade routes
World Bank Study shows that South Mindanao has multiple terminal siting possibilities
Mindanao Shunt Mindanao Shunt Reactors & Capacitors Reactors & Capacitors (2012) (2012)
80 km
Uprating of Agus VI The rehabilitation of the two units of Agus VI will increase the HEP Units 1 and 2 installed generating capacity from 50 MW to 62 MW and extend the
units economic life to another 30 years. Based on the 14 September 2011 letter of NEDA to NPC, the Investment Coordinating Committee-Cabinet Committee (ICC-CC) has already approved the implementation of this project. NPC is ready for the tendering process once NEDA Board s endorsement/approval is received.
Operate Iligan Diesel The City of Iligan conducted a pre-bid conference on 17 August 2011. The interested bidders are currently Power Plant (IDPP)
conducting due diligence. The bids are supposed to be submitted on 13 October 2011 but was re-set to a later date since the City of Iligan has yet to receive the COA approval for the sale of IDPP. It is expected that the award of the facilities to the winning bidder will be by December 2011.
Electrification Program
Electrification Status
(As of 31 October 2011)
LUZON 20,466 --------- = 99.90% 20,486 27 Unelectrified Barangays VISAYAS 11,442 --------- = 100% 11,442 0 Unelectrified Barangays MINDANAO 10,031 --------- = 99.84% 10,047 18 Unelectrified Barangays
PHILIPPINES
41,939 --------- = 99.91% 41,975 41,975*
Potential Barangays Based on DOE s Target
36
Unelectrified Barangays
Electrification Commitment
100% barangay electrification; 90% household electrification by 2017
Energy Regulations No. 1-94 (ER 1-94) 1It is the implementing rules and regulations of Section 5 (i) of R. A. No. 7638, or the DOE Act of 1992 Sec. 5(i) of R.A. 7638 provides,
That the Department shall devise ways and means of giving direct benefits to the province, city, or municipality, especially the community and people affected, and equitable preferential benefit to the region that hosts the energy resource and/or energy-generating facility:Provided, however, that the other provinces, cities, municipalities, or regions shall not be deprived of their energy requirements .
That the provision of financial benefits to host communities and the obligations of the power generating facilities and/or energy resource developers as defined in R.A. 7638 and its IRR shall continue.
ER 1-94 is part of the rate imposed on the electricity end-users, duly approved by the ERC.
DLF EF
Resettlement Area
Host Municipality/City
Host Barangay
5% 20%
35%
30% 10%
Host Province Host Region
EF Electrification Fund DLF Development and Livelihood Fund RWMHEEF Reforestation, Watershed Management, Health and/or Environment Enhancement Fund 20
DLF
Resettlement Area
12.5%
RWMHEEF
12.5%
EF
75%
Note:
EF Electrification Fund DLF Development and Livelihood Fund RWMHEEF Reforestation, Watershed Management, Health and/or Environment Enhancement Fund 21
26 June 1994 25 June 2011 ( Validated Electricity Sales ) Total Accrued Financial Benefit Obligated Available/ Collectible Balance 943.35 515.61 427.74 EF 440.69 269.87 170.82 DLF 233.46 105.47 127.99 RWMHEEF 269.2 140.27 128.93
22
End of Presentation