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Philip Verhagen VU University Amsterdam (NL) Tom Brughmans University of Southampton (UK) Laure Nuninger CNRS, UMR6249, Besanon (F)
PHC Van Gogh 2010/2011 - Introducing the human (f)actor in predictive modelling for archaeology
Frans-Nederlandse Academie / Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (NWO) Ministres des Affaires trangres et europennes (MAEE) / Enseignement suprieur et de la Recherche (MESR).
predictive modelling mainly based on environmental factors socio-cultural factors too difficult to integrate?
accessibility is a potential factor to include, but how to define it?
interest: determine areas where local and regional accessibility are opposed
predicting the possible location of fords and passes, or defendible
positions in the landscape understanding why certain portions of the landscape are not occupied
least cost path calculations usually applied to determine routes between known locations
exception: Whitley and Burns (2008)
paths calculated within a certain radius from a randomly or systematically selected sample of starting points
creates multiple cost paths for a region at various scale levels no preferred start or end points
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can network analysis techniques say something more about the structure?
e.g. identify corridors and bottlenecks
local measures
closeness and betweenness centrality
freeware (UCL)
cumulative cost path based networks contain a lot of noise, need post-processing to extract the general structure
for this exercise:
select 10% and 20% most frequently chosen paths simplify network structure (expand linear raster features
chosen paths
some network analysis measures can be interesting for better understanding potential foci of movement in the landscape
in particular betweenness (choice) and control